sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #2,218

pop

0x640…f250
SharpWhalePnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsOtherSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$25.6kvol $1.80M
PnL 30d+$2,162gains $5,190 · losses $10.0k
PnL 7d−$2,433win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate69.0%adj 67.8% · 30d 62.5%
Open value$68.8kcash n/a
Positions97 / 386open / all-time
Max drawdown−37.5%of equity peak
Account age4.3ylast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$32.9kbelow peak −$7,859Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

70/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale63
Adjusted win rateraw 69.0% · shrunk toward 50%70
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable86
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity63

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 97

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No26.8k42.1¢57.5¢$15.4k+$4,126$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes15.3k39.4¢57.9¢$8,840+$2,824$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No10.4k83.6¢83.5¢$8,667−$6.12+$720
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No4,50080¢81.5¢$3,668+$68+$1,838
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?No3,70079.3¢99¢$3,663+$728$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes5,00065.5¢62.5¢$3,125−$150$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No3,70065¢63.5¢$2,350−$56$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No3,12072¢70.5¢$2,200−$47$0
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?No2,50072¢71.5¢$1,788−$13$0
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No3,70056.7¢47.5¢$1,757−$340$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No2,50064¢62.5¢$1,563−$38$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No2,18762.5¢69.5¢$1,520+$153$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No2,50056.2¢51.6¢$1,289−$116$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No2,50043¢44.5¢$1,112+$37$0
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?No1,20083¢90.5¢$1,086+$90$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes2,40043¢44.5¢$1,068+$36$0
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes5,30028.3¢18.5¢$980−$518$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes37.5k2.9¢2.6¢$956−$136$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes17.8k8¢5.1¢$898−$520$0
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No93156.5¢93.5¢$871+$344+$3,607
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes90086¢79.5¢$716−$59$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes2,50027¢28.5¢$713+$38$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes81079.6¢87.3¢$707+$62+$209
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No1,00067¢61.5¢$615−$55$0
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No80068¢73.5¢$588+$44$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No63879¢81¢$517+$13$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,50016.7¢15.1¢$376−$41$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No1,20041¢29.5¢$354−$138$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes80041¢42.5¢$340+$12$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,50011.6¢10.2¢$254−$36$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes1,20052¢20.5¢$246−$378$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?No80027.7¢26.3¢$210−$12$0
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes63420.6¢21.5¢$136+$5.43−$87
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No12659¢70.5¢$89+$15−$28
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Yes45027¢16.5¢$74−$47$0
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?No8324.3¢71.2¢$59+$39$0
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?No6946¢45¢$31−$0.69$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes27.1k4.1¢0¢$0−$1,121$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes11.0k0.5¢0¢$0−$55$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes9,0811.1¢0¢$0−$102$0
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No8,0241.9¢0¢$0−$152$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes5,5000.6¢0¢$0−$33$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Yes5,4022.8¢0¢$0−$151$0
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes5,0001.8¢0¢$0−$90$0
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No5,00065¢0¢$0−$3,250$0
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes4,90046.5¢0¢$0−$2,280−$6.48
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Yes3,69915.3¢0¢$0−$567$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes3,65938.9¢0¢$0−$1,422$0
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes2,53564.8¢0¢$0−$1,642$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No2,50046¢0¢$0−$1,150$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?Yes2,5005¢0¢$0−$125$0
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes2,34222.7¢0¢$0−$533−$168
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes2,00011¢0¢$0−$220$0
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No2,00069¢0¢$0−$1,380$0
UFC 318: Costa vs. KopylovKopylov 1,50067¢0¢$0−$1,005$0
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. San Diego PadresYes1,25054.4¢0¢$0−$679$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No1,2006¢0¢$0−$72$0
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes1,20039¢0¢$0−$468$0
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes1,20028¢0¢$0−$336$0
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes1,20051.4¢0¢$0−$617$0
Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas AcesPhoenix Mercury1,20027¢0¢$0−$324−$12
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?No1,20030¢0¢$0−$360$0
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)Phoenix Mercury1,20053¢0¢$0−$636−$0.14
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Yes1,20038¢0¢$0−$456−$2.12
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No1,08980¢0¢$0−$872$0
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksYes1,05049.3¢0¢$0−$518−$0.62
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No90056.8¢0¢$0−$511$0
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota TwinsYes80247¢0¢$0−$377$0
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. New York YankeesYes80048¢0¢$0−$384$0
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes80037¢0¢$0−$296$0
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5)Phoenix Mercury80057¢0¢$0−$456−$0.18
LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonSentinels80073¢0¢$0−$584$0
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Yes80023¢0¢$0−$184$0
Will one person dissent the July Fed decision?Yes80022¢0¢$0−$176$0
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas RangersNo80049¢0¢$0−$392$0
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes80029¢0¢$0−$232$0
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego PadresYes80042¢0¢$0−$336$0
Will James Fishback win 25–30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes6030.8¢0¢$0−$4.82$0
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes59640¢0¢$0−$238$0
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes52647¢0¢$0−$247$0
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle MarinersYes51145¢0¢$0−$230$0
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes50025¢0¢$0−$125$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes50028¢0¢$0−$140$0
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff before July?Yes50030¢0¢$0−$150$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes50017¢0¢$0−$85$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?No45070¢0¢$0−$315$0
Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (H.B. 1598) signed in 2025?Yes27435¢0¢$0−$96+$83
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami MarlinsYes26040¢0¢$0−$104$0
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo25546¢0¢$0−$117$0
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington NationalsYes22848.9¢0¢$0−$112−$2.49
Will James Fishback win 15–20% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes22210¢0¢$0−$22+$6.16
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Atlanta BravesYes15950¢0¢$0−$79$0
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. New York YankeesYes14747¢0¢$0−$69$0
LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 WinnerShopify Rebellion7932¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will James Fishback win 20–25% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes481.7¢0¢$0−$0.82$0
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco GiantsYes3048¢0¢$0−$14−$0.37
Will Levi Strauss & Co. say "Inventory" 10+ times during earnings call?Yes2098¢0¢$0−$20−$0.02

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?19.9¢800$15969%70Sharp
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?21¢1,736$36469%70Sharp
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85.6¢3,300$2,82569%70Sharp
BUY NoAny of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?72¢2,500$1,80069%70Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?66¢2,500$1,65069%70Sharp
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85¢10.4k$8,82269%70Sharp
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House27¢2,500$67569%70Sharp
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?15¢1,704$25669%70Sharp
BUY NoIsrael accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?83¢1,200$99669%70Sharp
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?60.8¢77$4769%70Sharp
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?64¢2,000$1,28069%70Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?43¢1,200$51669%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?46¢40$1869%70Sharp
BUY NoPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?79¢638$50469%70Sharp
BUY YesWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?86¢900$77469%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?57¢8,000$4,56069%70Sharp
SELL NoUS strike on Cuba by December 31?84¢24$2069%70Sharp
BUY YesWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?11.6¢2,500$29069%70Sharp
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85¢8,000$6,80069%70Sharp
BUY YesClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?8¢3,288$26369%70Sharp