sharpside
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Traders/Rank #6,485

gamblito

0x645…30a1
1y+PoliticsCryptoSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$21.2kvol $33.4M
PnL 30d−$5,767gains $72 · losses $2,569
PnL 7d−$1,877win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate43.9%adj 44.2% · 30d 10.0%
Open value$18.4kcash n/a
Positions35 / 443open / all-time
Max drawdown−61.6%of equity peak
Account age3.6ylast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$20.5kbelow peak −$13.8kOct 11

SharpScore inputs

34/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 43.9% · shrunk toward 50%11
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable88
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity38

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 35

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo8,46088.6¢91.5¢$7,741+$241$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes2,06996.7¢96.6¢$1,998−$2.08$0
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No1,74086.2¢73.7¢$1,281−$219$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,15895¢80.5¢$932−$168−$49
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?No1,01565¢84.5¢$858+$198$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes4,07524.5¢19.5¢$795−$205$0
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?No85969.5¢84¢$721+$125$0
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes8,95111.2¢7¢$627−$373$0
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?No75866¢79.5¢$603+$103−$14
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?No1,80366.5¢28.5¢$514−$686$0
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes2,12223.5¢20.5¢$435−$65$0
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?No41590.5¢97.9¢$406+$30+$2.28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No1,44969¢16.5¢$239−$761$0
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?No1,48047.3¢16¢$237−$463$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes2,1229.5¢0.9¢$18−$183$0
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes90.9k1.1¢0¢$0−$1,000−$30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes28.6k0.7¢0¢$0−$200−$7.94
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes21.0k0.6¢0¢$0−$126−$2.14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes15.6k1.6¢0¢$0−$250−$12
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?Yes10.3k9.7¢0¢$0−$1,000−$63
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes7,77111.6¢0¢$0−$900−$24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes5,18034.3¢0¢$0−$1,778+$0.03
Spain vs. Austria: Team to AdvanceAustria4,08212.2¢0¢$0−$500−$13
Exact Score: Ghana 3 - 3 Panama?Yes2,0851.4¢0¢$0−$30−$0.89
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No1,94472¢0¢$0−$1,400−$200
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes1,57281¢0¢$0−$1,273−$7.26
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20?Yes1,27723.5¢0¢$0−$300−$11
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?Yes1,05547.4¢0¢$0−$500−$7.89
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?Yes1,0005¢0¢$0−$50−$1.43
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?Yes87023¢0¢$0−$200−$4.62
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?Yes76913¢0¢$0−$100−$2.61
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes54514.6¢0¢$0−$79+$98
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5250.2¢0¢$0−$1.07−$130
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?No45522¢0¢$0−$100−$2.34
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?No40537¢0¢$0−$150−$2.83

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?98¢2,041$2,00044%34
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?96.7¢2,069$2,00044%34
BUYWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-11? AND Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-12? AND Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-11?29.4¢1,642$48344%34
SELL YesWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?27.4¢2,170$59544%34
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?21.3¢1,176$25044%34
SELL Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House26¢4,948$1,28744%34
BUY YesWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?46.1¢2,170$1,00044%34
BUYWill Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-11? AND Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-12? AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?35.2¢1,376$48444%34
BUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-10-11? AND Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10? AND Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10?17.7¢1,628$28844%34
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?0.4¢5,556$2244%34
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?21¢1,429$30044%34
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?17¢1,471$25044%34
SELL NoWill Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?93¢1,064$98944%34
BUY NoWill Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?94¢1,064$1,00044%34
BUY NoPredict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?76.8¢651$50044%34
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?0.9¢5,556$5044%34
BUY NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?69¢1,449$1,00044%34
BUY YesWill Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20?24¢625$15044%34
BUY YesWill Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20?23¢652$15044%34
BUYWill Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20? AND Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? AND Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-20?45.4¢2,144$97344%34