sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

zetbetter

0x651…5291
PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$14.5kvol $836k
PnL 30d+$4,554gains $5,077 · losses $732
PnL 7d+$2,026win rate 7d 92.3%
Win rate61.7%adj 61.3% · 30d 85.3%
Open value$28.3kcash n/a
Positions95 / 682open / all-time
Max drawdown−51.9%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$13.7kbelow peak −$3,009Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

62/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale59
Adjusted win rateraw 61.7% · shrunk toward 50%53
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable94
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity48

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 95

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No21.8k50¢82.4¢$18.0k+$7,074$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes21.8k50¢17.6¢$3,843−$7,074$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No2,00071.5¢65.5¢$1,310−$120$0
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes1,48855¢53.5¢$796−$22$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No1,31339.6¢48.7¢$639+$119$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,78918¢8.6¢$501−$541$0
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?No50088¢88.5¢$443+$2.50$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes44086.4¢81.5¢$359−$21−$16
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes1,09629.2¢32.5¢$356+$37$0
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No1,48859¢21¢$312−$565$0
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?No32776¢95.5¢$312+$64$0
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No50062¢61.5¢$308−$2.50$0
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No30981¢84.5¢$261+$11$0
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No20084.9¢85.3¢$170+$0.70$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No15537¢88.5¢$137+$80$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1,00011¢11.5¢$115+$5.00$0
Iran leadership change by November 30?No10694¢94.5¢$101+$0.53$0
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No10094.9¢98.8¢$99+$3.85$0
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Yes34529¢27.5¢$95−$5.17$0
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes12870¢62.5¢$80−$9.60$0
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No7468¢71.5¢$53+$2.57$0
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No10054¢49.5¢$50−$4.50$0
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes773¢58.5¢$4.01−$0.99$0
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,0002.5¢0¢$0−$50$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No2,00074¢0¢$0−$1,480$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No1,80094.2¢0¢$0−$1,695$0
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?Yes1,5003.1¢0¢$0−$46$0
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?Yes1,5004¢0¢$0−$60$0
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No1,48820¢0¢$0−$298$0
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes1,4886¢0¢$0−$89$0
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?Yes1,48810.1¢0¢$0−$150$0
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No1,40084¢0¢$0−$1,176$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes1,40038.9¢0¢$0−$544$0
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Yes1,40023¢0¢$0−$322$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes1,2500.8¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.50
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?No1,00053.1¢0¢$0−$531−$280
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Yes1,00014¢0¢$0−$140$0
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes1,00016¢0¢$0−$160$0
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Under80052¢0¢$0−$416$0
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?No66639¢0¢$0−$260$0
Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5Over64349¢0¢$0−$315$0
Spread: FK Krasnodar (-1.5)FK Krasnodar60036¢0¢$0−$216$0
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets50050¢0¢$0−$250$0
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Khamzat Chimaev50081.2¢0¢$0−$406$0
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes50058¢0¢$0−$290$0
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)76ers50044¢0¢$0−$220$0
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder45046¢0¢$0−$207+$18
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München44443.5¢0¢$0−$193$0
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Yes44453¢0¢$0−$235$0
Will Russia win on 2026-05-28?Yes44427¢0¢$0−$120$0
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Under44449¢0¢$0−$218$0
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons43951¢0¢$0−$224−$0.60
Knicks vs. SpursSpurs40063¢0¢$0−$252$0
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Yes40048¢0¢$0−$192$0
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Yes40014¢0¢$0−$56−$1.44
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?No40034¢0¢$0−$136$0
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes34926.4¢0¢$0−$92+$56
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes33310.8¢0¢$0−$36−$1.28
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina28741.7¢0¢$0−$120−$3.50
Rockets vs. LakersRockets22867¢0¢$0−$153$0
Spread: Norway (-1.5)Norway22823¢0¢$0−$52+$19
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Under21147.5¢0¢$0−$100−$1.57
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?No2007¢0¢$0−$14$0
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Under20044¢0¢$0−$88$0
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)76ers20049¢0¢$0−$98$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No17956¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?No17638¢0¢$0−$67$0
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5Over15632¢0¢$0−$50−$1.02
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes15090¢0¢$0−$135−$0.41
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 11?Yes13767¢0¢$0−$92−$0.75
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes10837.2¢0¢$0−$40−$1.26
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes10419.3¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?No10031.4¢0¢$0−$32−$0.85
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes10047¢0¢$0−$47$0
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes8067¢0¢$0−$54−$18
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes7713¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETUp6050¢0¢$0−$30$0
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 213.5Under605¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETUp6050¢0¢$0−$30$0
Lions vs. PanthersLions5867¢0¢$0−$39$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETUp5050¢0¢$0−$25$0
China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian MannarinoMiomir Kecmanovic4951¢0¢$0−$25−$0.61
Thunder vs. SpursThunder4743¢0¢$0−$20−$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11?Yes4687¢0¢$0−$40−$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 12?Yes392.1¢0¢$0−$0.81−$0.01
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Yes3330.6¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.28
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 13?Yes3230¢0¢$0−$9.59+$3.24
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 12?Yes3013.2¢0¢$0−$4.00−$0.17
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12?Yes253.9¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.05
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes1769¢0¢$0−$12−$0.15
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)Tatsuro Taira1161¢0¢$0−$7.00−$0.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETDown1050¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETDown1050¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 14?Yes713.9¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.04
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?No580¢0¢$0−$4.00$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?37.2¢108$4062%62
BUY NoIran leadership change by November 30?94¢106$10062%62
BUY LionsLions vs. Panthers67¢58$3962%62
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?99.3¢500$49762%62
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?8.4¢24$2.0062%62
SELL YesWill Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?87.3¢248$21662%62
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?8.5¢47$4.0062%62
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?11.5¢262$3062%62
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84¢238$20062%62
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?94.4¢106$10062%62
BUY YesWill Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?84¢39$3362%62
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?9¢400$3662%62
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84.1¢140$11862%62
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?7¢372$2662%62
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?82¢122$10062%62
BUY YesWill Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?66¢15$1062%62
BUY NoWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?54¢1$0.7562%62
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?16¢113$1862%62
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?17¢201$3462%62
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?26¢115$3062%62