Traders/Rank #1,689

Prickly-Eyrie

0x66e…8bcd

WhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+PoliticsSport

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$82.4kvol $5.27M

PnL 30d+$3,432gains $4,379 · losses $10.9k

PnL 7d+$689win rate 7d 11.5%

Win rate11.5%adj 13.0% · 30d 11.5%

Open value$281kcash n/a

Positions1,508 / 20,470open / all-time

Max drawdown−14.3%of equity peak

Account age7molast trade 3m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$62.8kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

60/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70

Adjusted win rateraw 11.5% · shrunk toward 50%0

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Noopen+$8,697 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · Noopen+$3,032 Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · Yesopen+$2,842 Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · Yesopen+$2,267 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Noopen+$1,920

Worst markets

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Noopen−$1,622 Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? · Noclosed−$1,553 Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Noopen−$1,378 Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? · Noopen−$985 Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Noopen−$815

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	25.7k	47.9¢	81.5¢	$21.0k	+$8,648	+$49	3mo
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	19.5k	73.2¢	90.5¢	$17.6k	+$3,371	−$338	52d 18h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	13.4k	81.8¢	98.3¢	$13.1k	+$2,200	−$280	22d 13h
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	4,683	91.8¢	94.6¢	$4,430	+$133	−$252	6mo
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	8,784	12.2¢	39.6¢	$3,474	+$2,402	+$440	36d 13h
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3,606	75.3¢	85.7¢	$3,088	+$372	+$1,094	ended
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?	No	2,751	94.6¢	98.2¢	$2,702	+$99	$0	25d 13h
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	6,591	47.1¢	37.5¢	$2,472	−$631	$0	25d 13h
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	5,503	14.8¢	44.5¢	$2,449	+$1,632	+$635	21d 13h
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Yes	3,535	40¢	62¢	$2,192	+$776	+$428	52d 13h
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	4,129	45.6¢	52.5¢	$2,168	+$286	+$150	25d 13h
Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?	Yes	2,458	62.8¢	86.8¢	$2,133	+$589	+$9.93	3mo
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	4,949	30.4¢	42.5¢	$2,103	+$600	+$35	25d 13h
Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?	No	2,059	96.6¢	98.4¢	$2,025	+$37	$0	25d 13h
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	4,196	50.5¢	45.5¢	$1,909	−$209	−$68	25d 13h
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	4,947	47¢	37.5¢	$1,855	−$470	−$30	25d 13h
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?	Yes	2,245	77.6¢	80.5¢	$1,807	+$64	$0	25d 13h
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	2,155	73.2¢	81.5¢	$1,756	+$179	$0	25d 13h
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	4,890	46.8¢	35.5¢	$1,736	−$553	−$57	25d 13h
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?	No	2,015	77.2¢	81.9¢	$1,650	+$93	+$9.07	25d 13h
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	3,894	47.3¢	41.5¢	$1,616	−$227	+$1,778	3mo
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	No	2,070	76.5¢	76.6¢	$1,586	+$2.86	−$987	21d 13h
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	3,059	44.5¢	51.5¢	$1,576	+$213	+$190	25d 13h
Will the Denver Nuggets be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?	No	1,678	92¢	93.5¢	$1,569	+$25	$0	9mo
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	3,449	48.4¢	45.5¢	$1,569	−$100	−$69	25d 13h
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	2,280	64.4¢	61.5¢	$1,402	−$65	−$0.01	25d 13h
Will the Republican Party win the MS-02 House seat?	No	1,350	93.4¢	97.5¢	$1,316	+$56	$0	25d 13h
Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat?	No	1,302	94.2¢	98.3¢	$1,280	+$53	−$402	25d 13h
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?	Yes	2,770	51.5¢	46¢	$1,274	−$152	+$5.12	25d 13h
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-27 House seat?	No	1,314	91.8¢	94.4¢	$1,239	+$34	−$42	25d 13h
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-03 House seat?	No	1,273	94¢	97.1¢	$1,236	+$40	−$128	25d 13h
Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?	Yes	1,237	94.1¢	95.4¢	$1,179	+$15	$0	25d 13h
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?	Yes	1,198	93.8¢	98.2¢	$1,177	+$52	$0	25d 13h
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?	No	1,297	88.2¢	89.5¢	$1,161	+$17	$0	9mo
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	1,276	88.6¢	87.5¢	$1,116	−$14	−$106	9mo
Will the Washington Wizards be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	No	1,121	95¢	97.4¢	$1,092	+$26	−$73	9mo
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	No	1,458	69.4¢	73.5¢	$1,071	+$59	+$5.77	25d 13h
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-08 House seat?	No	1,097	91.6¢	97.4¢	$1,068	+$63	−$71	25d 13h
Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?	Yes	1,054	97.2¢	98.5¢	$1,038	+$14	$0	25d 13h
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-09 House seat?	No	1,062	95¢	96.3¢	$1,023	+$14	−$57	25d 13h
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?	Yes	1,551	68.3¢	65.5¢	$1,016	−$43	−$2.70	25d 13h
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	2,533	39.1¢	40.1¢	$1,014	+$25	+$70	3mo
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?	Yes	1,057	93.3¢	95.9¢	$1,013	+$27	$0	25d 13h
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	1,763	62.7¢	57¢	$1,005	−$100	−$1,522	3mo
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-04 House seat?	Yes	1,019	89.7¢	97.1¢	$989	+$75	+$23	25d 13h
Will the Republican Party win the NV-04 House seat?	No	1,007	90¢	97.6¢	$983	+$77	+$1.50	25d 13h
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	4,279	17.1¢	22.5¢	$961	+$229	+$58	3mo
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	5,139	19.5¢	18.5¢	$951	−$49	+$53	25d 13h
Will the Republican Party win the MO-03 House seat?	Yes	967	93.6¢	97¢	$938	+$33	+$0.08	25d 13h
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-04 House seat?	No	954	92.8¢	95.3¢	$909	+$23	$0	25d 13h
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-01 House seat?	Yes	942	94¢	96.4¢	$908	+$22	$0	25d 13h
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	3,783	15.4¢	23.5¢	$891	+$308	+$531	21d 13h
Will the Republican Party win the GA-07 House seat?	Yes	950	93¢	93.5¢	$888	+$4.84	−$44	25d 13h
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-24 House seat?	No	929	93.6¢	95.4¢	$886	+$17	+$0.31	25d 13h
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	No	1,095	81¢	80.5¢	$882	−$5.68	−$75	6mo
Will the Republican Party win the TX-25 House seat?	Yes	915	91¢	95.9¢	$877	+$45	$0	25d 13h
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Yes	5,490	16¢	15.9¢	$870	−$6.54	+$398	52d 13h
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?	No	1,328	67.8¢	65.5¢	$870	−$30	−$44	25d 13h
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-07 House seat?	No	910	92.7¢	94.5¢	$860	+$16	−$130	25d 13h
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	3,003	33.7¢	28.5¢	$856	−$156	−$11	25d 13h
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	2,001	31.8¢	42.5¢	$851	+$214	+$409	25d 13h
Will Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	No	861	96¢	97.5¢	$839	+$13	−$196	4mo
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	981	80.5¢	85¢	$834	+$44	−$127	3mo
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	3,565	21.9¢	22.5¢	$802	+$21	+$370	2mo
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	3,547	4.7¢	22.5¢	$798	+$630	$0	9mo
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?	Yes	1,216	62.9¢	65.5¢	$796	+$31	+$39	25d 13h
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-14 House seat?	No	830	95¢	95.4¢	$791	+$2.90	$0	25d 13h
Will the Republican Party win the IA-04 House seat?	Yes	832	93¢	95¢	$790	+$17	$0	25d 13h
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?	No	2,278	30.2¢	34.5¢	$786	+$99	+$37	25d 13h
Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat?	Yes	812	93.2¢	96.8¢	$785	+$29	+$0.22	25d 13h
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?	No	1,273	64.6¢	61.5¢	$783	−$40	−$19	25d 13h
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-07 House seat?	No	806	90.6¢	96.6¢	$778	+$48	+$4.22	25d 13h
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	7,966	6.2¢	9.8¢	$777	+$280	+$188	6mo
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	9,102	11.3¢	8.5¢	$774	−$259	−$32	25d 13h
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	2,001	32.5¢	38.5¢	$770	+$121	+$486	25d 13h
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	11.8k	9.8¢	6.5¢	$762	−$394	+$234	3mo
Will the Republican Party win the NY-18 House seat?	No	788	92.5¢	95.9¢	$756	+$26	−$37	25d 13h
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	4,078	20.2¢	18.5¢	$754	−$69	+$15	25d 13h
Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?	Yes	789	93.2¢	95¢	$749	+$14	+$1.28	25d 13h
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?	Yes	772	93.2¢	95.9¢	$740	+$21	−$7.52	25d 13h
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	4,000	6.2¢	18.5¢	$740	+$490	$0	9mo
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	928	78.1¢	77.5¢	$719	−$6.05	−$64	25d 13h
Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?	Yes	754	90.3¢	95¢	$717	+$35	−$14	25d 13h
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-04 House seat?	No	750	94¢	95.5¢	$716	+$11	$0	25d 13h
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	7,477	12¢	9.5¢	$710	−$188	+$110	25d 13h
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-05 House seat?	No	717	93.2¢	98.8¢	$708	+$40	+$13	25d 13h
Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?	Yes	757	89¢	92.5¢	$700	+$26	−$68	25d 13h
Will the Republican Party win the SC-04 House seat?	Yes	730	92.8¢	95.5¢	$698	+$20	$0	25d 13h
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	Yes	830	79.8¢	81.5¢	$677	+$14	−$117	25d 13h
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?	No	1,537	35.5¢	43.5¢	$669	+$123	+$67	25d 13h
Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?	Yes	697	88.9¢	95.5¢	$665	+$46	+$35	25d 13h
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	No	710	93.1¢	93.1¢	$660	−$0.35	−$64	4mo
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-26 House seat?	No	670	92.3¢	98.5¢	$660	+$41	+$11	25d 13h
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-01 House seat?	No	679	94¢	96¢	$652	+$14	$0	25d 13h
Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	No	690	93.9¢	94.5¢	$651	+$4.07	−$44	9mo
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	No	732	85.2¢	87.5¢	$641	+$17	−$237	25d 13h
Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?	Yes	673	92.8¢	95¢	$639	+$15	$0	25d 13h
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	4,696	23.8¢	13.5¢	$634	−$482	−$144	ended
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Yes	2,765	14¢	22.8¢	$630	+$244	+$84	52d 13h
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat?	No	667	93.9¢	94.5¢	$630	+$3.75	$0	25d 13h

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
3m ago	BUY Yes	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-18 House seat?	93.6¢	10	$9.36	12%	60
23m ago	BUY Yes	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	87¢	194	$169	12%	60
1h ago	BUY No	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	82.1¢	100	$82	12%	60
2h ago	BUY Yes	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	73¢	10	$7.30	12%	60
2h ago	BUY Yes	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	60¢	16	$9.34	12%	60
2h ago	BUY No	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September?	97.4¢	28	$27	12%	60
2h ago	BUY No	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?	89¢	28	$25	12%	60
2h ago	BUY No	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September?	97.4¢	40	$39	12%	60
3h ago	BUY No	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	66¢	20	$13	12%	60
3h ago	BUY Yes	Will the Democratic Party win the CO-02 House seat?	89.2¢	10	$8.92	12%	60
3h ago	BUY No	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	87¢	10	$8.69	12%	60
3h ago	BUY Yes	Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?	95.9¢	8	$7.85	12%	60
3h ago	BUY Yes	Will the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat?	2.5¢	129	$3.22	12%	60
4h ago	SELL Yes	Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	5.9¢	26	$1.54	12%	60
4h ago	BUY No	Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	94.1¢	100	$94	12%	60
4h ago	BUY No	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	83.2¢	63	$52	12%	60
4h ago	BUY No	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	82.9¢	15	$12	12%	60
4h ago	BUY Yes	Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?	21¢	100	$21	12%	60
4h ago	BUY No	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?	88¢	100	$88	12%	60
4h ago	BUY No	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?	54¢	20	$11	12%	60