PnL all-time−$864vol $86.2k
PnL 30d+$41gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$23win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate49.3%adj 49.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$249cash n/a
Positions11 / 92open / all-time
Max drawdown−89.7%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 9mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$746below peak −$620Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
21/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 49.3% · shrunk toward 50%23
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable65
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity10
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025) · Noclosed+$287Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31? · Yesclosed+$173Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division? · Noclosed+$156Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026? · Noopen+$115Over $22M committed to the Space public sale? · Noclosed+$85
Worst markets
Will the Brown University shooter not be arrested in 2025? · Noopen−$406Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December? · Noopen−$340Will Trump say "ISIS" or "Syria" while addressing the nation on December 17? · Noclosed−$336Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28? · Noopen−$277Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs? · Noopen−$123
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026? | No | 228 | 27¢ | 77.5¢ | $177 | +$115 | $0 | |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison? | No | 54 | 46.7¢ | 100¢ | $54 | +$29 | $0 | |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | No | 19 | 86¢ | 96.8¢ | $18 | +$2.04 | −$2.85 | |
| Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December? | No | 789 | 43.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$340 | $0 | |
| Will the Brown University shooter not be arrested in 2025? | No | 738 | 55¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$406 | $0 | |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28? | No | 369 | 75¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$277 | $0 | |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026? | Yes | 134 | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs? | No | 132 | 51¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$67 | −$56 | |
| GPT ads by March 31? | No | 68 | 79¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$54 | $0 | |
| Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison? | Yes | 7 | 26¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.82 | $0 | |
| Will Keon Ellis be traded this season? | No | 4 | 33¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.32 | $0 |
Recent trades
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