sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,054

TheGreekTraderPM

0x677…45fb@TheGreekTrader
SharpPnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$43.1kvol $2.43M
PnL 30d+$688gains $1,365 · losses $331
PnL 7d−$96win rate 7d 57.1%
Win rate66.6%adj 65.9% · 30d 69.6%
Open value$43.9kcash n/a
Positions34 / 876open / all-time
Max drawdown−8.5%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$45.4kbelow peak −$2,701Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

77/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale66
Adjusted win rateraw 66.6% · shrunk toward 50%65
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable98
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity92

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 34

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No23.0k50¢81¢$18.6k+$7,119$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?No5,00098.4¢98.7¢$4,933+$13$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No4,62893¢95.5¢$4,420+$116$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes23.0k50¢19.1¢$4,382−$7,119$0
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No4,07295.9¢97.5¢$3,969+$61$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No1,82595.5¢96.7¢$1,764+$21$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes2,50045¢61.5¢$1,538+$413$0
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes89066¢70¢$623+$36$0
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No72477.4¢84.5¢$612+$51+$19
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes80545¢75¢$604+$242$0
Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?Yes77835.9¢74¢$576+$297+$47
Will Canada participate in Eurovision 2027?Yes36784.4¢96.5¢$354+$44$0
Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?Yes34486¢90¢$310+$14$0
Will Kyriakos Velopoulos be the next Prime Minister of Greece?No29090.6¢93.4¢$271+$8.00+$0.64
Will Zoe Konstantopoulou be the next Prime Minister of Greece?No24783.5¢99.1¢$244+$38+$19
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Yes1,20821.9¢19¢$230−$35$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes1,13127¢16.5¢$187−$118−$49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes1,00064¢15.5¢$155−$485$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes38137¢18.5¢$70−$70$0
Will Stefanos Kasselakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?No1197¢98¢$10+$0.11$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No193.3¢97.8¢$1.19+$0.05+$40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?No1180.6¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.65$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No3,02218.1¢0¢$0−$547$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes1,13759¢0¢$0−$671+$73
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes1,06032¢0¢$0−$339−$1,161
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit50037¢0¢$0−$185+$134
Will Trump praise Dana White in August?No5001.1¢0¢$0−$5.50$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes44524.3¢0¢$0−$108−$12
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Yandex3210.8¢0¢$0−$2.71−$0.09
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Yes25238.8¢0¢$0−$98$0
Trump renames AI by October 31?No1021.1¢0¢$0−$1.16+$8.64
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?No10053¢0¢$0−$53−$1.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes6023¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?No221.3¢0¢$0−$0.49−$8.86

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?98.4¢2,500$2,46067%77Sharp
BUY NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?98.4¢2,500$2,46067%77Sharp
BUY YesWill Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?66¢159$10567%77Sharp
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?0.6¢118$0.7167%77Sharp
BUY YesBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?6¢10$0.6067%77Sharp
SELL YesBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?6¢227$1467%77Sharp
BUY YesBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?6¢227$1467%77Sharp
BUY YesBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?6¢1,000$6067%77Sharp
SELL YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?23¢40$9.2067%77Sharp
SELL YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?23¢10$2.3067%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his rally in Oklahoma?22.9¢176$4067%77Sharp
SELL YesWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?64¢66$4267%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?95.5¢1,825$1,74367%77Sharp
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?25¢4,000$1,00067%77Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?71¢3,500$2,48567%77Sharp
SELL NoTrump renames AI by September 30?68.5¢925$63367%77Sharp
BUY NoTrump renames AI by September 30?53¢925$49067%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?97.9¢205$20167%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?97.8¢150$14767%77Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?52¢10$5.2067%77Sharp