sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #11,680

tms2016

0x677…2ff6
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$10.2kvol $308k
PnL 30d−$124gains $3,228 · losses $2,266
PnL 7d−$178win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate88.8%adj 87.3% · 30d 86.1%
Open value$25.7kcash n/a
Positions155 / 727open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$8,198below peak −$10.4kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

44/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 88.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable95
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No15.1k80.8¢82.5¢$12.5k+$257+$877
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No5,12084.8¢89.5¢$4,583+$243+$363
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes2,97797.1¢100¢$2,975+$85$0
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes2,39594.3¢95.3¢$2,282+$22$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes1,50383.2¢80.5¢$1,210−$40$0
US announces military base in Israel in 2026?No54391.7¢96.2¢$522+$24$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes63794.1¢81.5¢$520−$80$0
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?No34789.9¢97.5¢$339+$26+$149
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Yes21593¢90.5¢$195−$5.38$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No11289.1¢92.5¢$104+$3.76$0
Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Yes10595.1¢94.9¢$100−$0.21$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes10893¢90.5¢$97−$2.69$0
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes10694.6¢91.5¢$97−$3.30$0
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes8464¢79.5¢$67+$13$0
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?Yes3488¢94.5¢$32+$2.22$0
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes3754¢39.5¢$15−$5.37$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo1187¢90.5¢$10+$0.40$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes1187¢86.5¢$9.94−$0.06$0
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Yes2678¢38.5¢$9.87−$10$0
Will Coventry City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Yes1378¢63.5¢$8.14−$1.86$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes3826¢2.8¢$1.08−$8.92$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?No7,18666.7¢0¢$0−$4,795−$381
Randers FC vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 2.5Over3,71561.8¢0¢$0−$2,297−$44
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,40010.2¢0¢$0−$245−$5.90
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No1,49354.1¢0¢$0−$808−$19
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance1,19859.9¢0¢$0−$718−$14
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-09-06?Yes1,09155¢0¢$0−$600−$14
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?Yes91760¢0¢$0−$550−$11
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes69955.3¢0¢$0−$387−$8.62
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?Yes62866.9¢0¢$0−$420−$4.18
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5Under44656¢0¢$0−$250−$5.50
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-08-28?No37461.7¢0¢$0−$231−$4.42
Dundee FC vs. St Johnstone FC: O/U 2.5Over37054¢0¢$0−$200−$4.60
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05?Yes37081¢0¢$0−$300−$2.85
Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?Yes36754.5¢0¢$0−$200−$4.55
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?No35756¢0¢$0−$200−$4.40
Rot-Weiss Essen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5Over35662¢0¢$0−$221−$4.20
AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5Over34559¢0¢$0−$203−$4.17
FC Lugano vs. Servette Geneva: O/U 2.5Over33959¢0¢$0−$200−$4.10
CA Paranaense vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5Under33959¢0¢$0−$200−$4.10
SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5Over32960.8¢0¢$0−$200−$3.92
Kilmarnock FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 2.5Over32861¢0¢$0−$200−$3.90
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No32093.8¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?No28071.5¢0¢$0−$200−$2.85
SC Internacional vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5Under25678¢0¢$0−$200−$2.20
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Under25678¢0¢$0−$200−$2.20
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes24952.2¢0¢$0−$130−$1.86
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Over24249.7¢0¢$0−$120−$22
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Yes22951.6¢0¢$0−$118−$34
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-05?Yes22245¢0¢$0−$100−$2.75
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over20064.9¢0¢$0−$130−$2.28
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes19577¢0¢$0−$150−$1.03
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Over19362.3¢0¢$0−$120−$1.36
France vs. England: Team to WinFrance19063¢0¢$0−$120−$2.22
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?No18953¢0¢$0−$100−$1.41
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreNo18254.8¢0¢$0−$100−$1.36
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?No18050¢0¢$0−$90−$1.35
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-08-29?Yes17557¢0¢$0−$100−$2.15
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-09-06?Yes17458¢0¢$0−$101−$2.12
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?No16890.1¢0¢$0−$151−$0.67
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceEngland16753.7¢0¢$0−$90−$2.08
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No16760¢0¢$0−$100−$2.00
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5Under16461¢0¢$0−$100−$1.17
Will Japan win on 2026-09-12?Yes16461¢0¢$0−$100−$1.95
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-09-05?No16162¢0¢$0−$100−$1.90
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes15266¢0¢$0−$100−$1.02
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?Yes14967¢0¢$0−$100−$1.65
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes14831.7¢0¢$0−$47−$1.19
FK Fakel Voronezh vs. FK Baltika Kaliningrad: O/U 2.5Under14768¢0¢$0−$100−$1.60
MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Lugano: O/U 2.5Over14757.7¢0¢$0−$85−$102
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes14342¢0¢$0−$60−$1.74
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-09-02?Yes14370¢0¢$0−$100−$1.50
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Over14171¢0¢$0−$100−$1.45
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No13936¢0¢$0−$50−$0.96
France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5Over13644¢0¢$0−$60−$1.68
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?No13238¢0¢$0−$50−$0.93
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Yes12969.8¢0¢$0−$90−$0.82
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?Yes12923.3¢0¢$0−$30−$0.69
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Under12687.7¢0¢$0−$111−$0.68
FC Barcelona vs. OL Lyonnes: O/U 2.5Under12564.1¢0¢$0−$80−$0.86
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceSenegal12241¢0¢$0−$50−$0.89
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?Yes11944.6¢0¢$0−$53−$0.33
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?Yes11742.8¢0¢$0−$50−$0.86
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?No11371¢0¢$0−$80−$0.70
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes10893¢0¢$0−$100−$0.21
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?Yes10666.1¢0¢$0−$70−$1.19
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?No10249¢0¢$0−$50−$0.76
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Under9981¢0¢$0−$80−$0.46
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?No8936.9¢0¢$0−$33−$0.06
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-09-11?No8857¢0¢$0−$50−$1.07
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-03?No8372¢0¢$0−$60−$0.50
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreNo7468¢0¢$0−$50−$0.48
Spread: Belgium (-3.5)New Zealand7077¢0¢$0−$54−$17
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Under6987¢0¢$0−$60−$0.23
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5Under6974.3¢0¢$0−$51−$0.39
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Under6870¢0¢$0−$48+$2.95
Will France win on 2026-06-04?Yes6280.8¢0¢$0−$50−$0.29
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?No6083¢0¢$0−$50−$0.26
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC5992¢0¢$0−$54−$9.02
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Under5654¢0¢$0−$30−$0.41

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?96.5¢518$50089%44
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?98¢997$97789%44
SELL NoWill the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?97.7¢1,000$97789%44
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?96.8¢832$80589%44
SELL NoWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?99.9¢806$80589%44
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?96.8¢8$8.0089%44
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?96.8¢176$17089%44
BUY NoWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?99.9¢200$20089%44
BUY NoWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?99.8¢200$20089%44
BUY NoWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?99.9¢100$10089%44
BUY NoWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?98.2¢305$30089%44
SELL NoWill the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?97.9¢1,000$97989%44
BUY OverES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.559¢12$7.0089%44
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?96.4¢923$89089%44
SELL NoWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?89¢1,000$89089%44
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?96.4¢41$4089%44
BUY YesWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?57¢12$6.8589%44
BUY NoWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-10?71¢14$1089%44
BUY YesWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?90¢33$3089%44
BUY YesWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?63¢16$1089%44