| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 250k | 50¢ | 85¢ | $212k | +$87.4k | $0 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 55.0k | 82¢ | 97.8¢ | $53.8k | +$8,663 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 250k | 50¢ | 15.1¢ | $37.6k | −$87.4k | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 23.2k | 79.9¢ | 84.5¢ | $19.6k | +$1,063 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 18.0k | 75.9¢ | 84.5¢ | $15.2k | +$1,549 | +$2,867 | |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 294k | 3.9¢ | 5.1¢ | $14.9k | +$3,467 | $0 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 15.0k | 80.3¢ | 93.5¢ | $14.0k | +$1,981 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 7,621 | 69.1¢ | 88.5¢ | $6,745 | +$1,479 | +$1,012 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 10.2k | 59¢ | 62.5¢ | $6,354 | +$356 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 6,335 | 45.8¢ | 98.9¢ | $6,263 | +$3,358 | $0 | |
| Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 5,628 | 94.5¢ | 96.6¢ | $5,434 | +$116 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 7,123 | 57¢ | 62.5¢ | $4,452 | +$392 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 53.4k | 11.7¢ | 8.1¢ | $4,301 | −$1,972 | −$8.62 | |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 156k | 2.3¢ | 2.8¢ | $4,290 | +$692 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4,407 | 44.7¢ | 95.5¢ | $4,207 | +$2,236 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 24.0k | 14.3¢ | 15.5¢ | $3,712 | +$288 | $0 | |
| Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? | Yes | 4,947 | 47.8¢ | 68.5¢ | $3,389 | +$1,025 | $0 | |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 115k | 2.1¢ | 2.7¢ | $3,040 | +$671 | +$418 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 14.7k | 20.6¢ | 19.9¢ | $2,918 | −$117 | +$1,049 | |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 20.0k | 14¢ | 14.5¢ | $2,900 | +$100 | $0 | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 2,799 | 5.2¢ | 96¢ | $2,687 | +$2,541 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 3,606 | 60.3¢ | 68.5¢ | $2,470 | +$295 | +$51 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 5,603 | 9¢ | 41.3¢ | $2,311 | +$1,807 | +$424 | |
| Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 2,241 | 92.4¢ | 97.3¢ | $2,180 | +$108 | +$8.78 | |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | No | 1,963 | 91.4¢ | 98.5¢ | $1,933 | +$140 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.6k | 15.8¢ | 17.8¢ | $1,886 | +$213 | $0 | |
| Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 1,881 | 94.7¢ | 99.5¢ | $1,870 | +$89 | $0 | |
| Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 1,775 | 92.2¢ | 97.6¢ | $1,732 | +$95 | +$4.63 | |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 1,675 | 91.7¢ | 98.4¢ | $1,648 | +$113 | $0 | |
| Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 1,452 | 93.7¢ | 98.7¢ | $1,434 | +$73 | +$10 | |
| Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 1,405 | 93¢ | 99¢ | $1,390 | +$84 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? | No | 1,379 | 94.9¢ | 98¢ | $1,351 | +$41 | $0 | |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 1,386 | 66.1¢ | 93.1¢ | $1,290 | +$374 | +$234 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 20.8k | 4.6¢ | 5.9¢ | $1,217 | +$255 | $0 | |
| Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 1,222 | 93.3¢ | 96.1¢ | $1,174 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 162k | 1.3¢ | 0.7¢ | $1,132 | −$918 | $0 | |
| Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany? | No | 1,294 | 75.4¢ | 86.5¢ | $1,120 | +$143 | +$111 | |
| Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 1,101 | 96¢ | 99.2¢ | $1,092 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | No | 1,037 | 94.2¢ | 97.2¢ | $1,008 | +$31 | $0 | |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 1,024 | 81¢ | 96.9¢ | $992 | +$162 | $0 | |
| Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 1,000 | 90.5¢ | 97.7¢ | $977 | +$72 | $0 | |
| Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | No | 980 | 94¢ | 97.8¢ | $958 | +$37 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 954 | 93.5¢ | 98.9¢ | $944 | +$52 | $0 | |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 938 | 91.8¢ | 96.8¢ | $908 | +$46 | $0 | |
| Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 937 | 92.4¢ | 95.7¢ | $897 | +$30 | +$25 | |
| Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 917 | 88.5¢ | 95.4¢ | $875 | +$63 | $0 | |
| Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 852 | 95.1¢ | 96.5¢ | $821 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 512k | 0.3¢ | 0.2¢ | $769 | −$556 | $0 | |
| Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 771 | 90¢ | 93.4¢ | $720 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 721 | 94.5¢ | 96.1¢ | $693 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | No | 3,000 | 19¢ | 23¢ | $690 | +$119 | +$2.79 | |
| Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 688 | 94¢ | 96¢ | $661 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 5,471 | 1¢ | 12¢ | $657 | +$602 | +$712 | |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 669 | 94.8¢ | 97.3¢ | $651 | +$16 | +$6.50 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes | 6,824 | 25¢ | 9.5¢ | $648 | −$1,058 | −$134 | |
| Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year? | No | 669 | 84.2¢ | 94.5¢ | $632 | +$69 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | No | 6,573 | 8¢ | 9.5¢ | $624 | +$99 | $0 | |
| Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 616 | 93¢ | 97.7¢ | $602 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 7,530 | 1¢ | 7.5¢ | $565 | +$489 | +$399 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,000 | 8.1¢ | 18¢ | $539 | +$296 | +$2,691 | |
| Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 522 | 87.6¢ | 95¢ | $496 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 511 | 25¢ | 96.1¢ | $490 | +$363 | $0 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 528 | 91.2¢ | 89.9¢ | $474 | −$7.35 | $0 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,000 | 6.2¢ | 15.1¢ | $452 | +$264 | +$2,511 | |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 21.8k | 1.2¢ | 2.1¢ | $446 | +$185 | +$48 | |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | No | 555 | 69¢ | 73.5¢ | $408 | +$25 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 1,527 | 32.4¢ | 23¢ | $351 | −$144 | $0 | |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026? | No | 351 | 88.7¢ | 96.4¢ | $338 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 444 | 60¢ | 69.5¢ | $308 | +$42 | $0 | |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 179k | 0.5¢ | 0.2¢ | $269 | −$598 | +$564 | |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | Yes | 6,051 | 19.9¢ | 4.3¢ | $260 | −$942 | $0 | |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 9,262 | 2.2¢ | 2.8¢ | $255 | +$51 | +$591 | |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? | No | 257 | 47.1¢ | 98.3¢ | $252 | +$131 | +$3,218 | |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? | Yes | 221 | 64.9¢ | 98.5¢ | $217 | +$74 | $0 | |
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 196 | 81.7¢ | 97.4¢ | $191 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 7,427 | 1.9¢ | 2.6¢ | $189 | +$47 | +$425 | |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | Yes | 5,436 | 18.3¢ | 3.1¢ | $169 | −$827 | $0 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 3,000 | 31¢ | 5.5¢ | $165 | −$765 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | Yes | 552 | 7.9¢ | 26.4¢ | $145 | +$102 | $0 | |
| ECB rate cut in 2026? | No | 146 | 59.3¢ | 96¢ | $140 | +$54 | $0 | |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 18.3k | 18.2¢ | 0.8¢ | $137 | −$3,187 | −$17 | |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | No | 144 | 80¢ | 95¢ | $137 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Reus retire before 1 July 2027? | No | 160 | 51¢ | 82.8¢ | $132 | +$51 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 3,345 | 10.2¢ | 4¢ | $132 | −$209 | +$401 | |
| Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 103 | 70.8¢ | 92.5¢ | $95 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 47% in 2026? | No | 72 | 91.9¢ | 96¢ | $70 | +$2.97 | $0 | |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026? | No | 72 | 84.5¢ | 95.1¢ | $68 | +$7.65 | $0 | |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | Yes | 1,484 | 17.9¢ | 4.5¢ | $67 | −$198 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? | Yes | 90 | 70¢ | 68¢ | $61 | −$1.80 | $0 | |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | Yes | 1,044 | 29.8¢ | 5.5¢ | $57 | −$253 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | OpenAI | 1,171 | 34.6¢ | 4¢ | $46 | −$359 | $0 | |
| Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 46 | 76¢ | 90¢ | $41 | +$6.44 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | No | 514 | 16¢ | 7.5¢ | $39 | −$44 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 818 | 39¢ | 4.6¢ | $37 | −$282 | $0 | |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 379 | 11.5¢ | 9.5¢ | $36 | −$7.47 | $0 | |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026? | No | 33 | 97.2¢ | 96.8¢ | $32 | −$0.16 | $0 | |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 38 | 42¢ | 84.5¢ | $32 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 50.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $25 | −$325 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 744 | 4¢ | 2.9¢ | $21 | −$8.76 | −$3.46 | |
| SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? | OpenAI | 82 | 0.7¢ | 24.3¢ | $20 | +$19 | $0 | |
