Traders/Rank #3,529

awgraewrfa

0x699…a7ec

<7d old<14d old<30d oldPoliticsSport

Polymarket

PnL all-time−$118vol $0

PnL 30d+$7,953gains $42 · losses $0

PnL 7d+$7,953win rate 7d 100.0%

Win rate100.0%adj 52.4% · 30d 100.0%

Open value$8,754cash n/a

Positions1,330 / 1,331open / all-time

Max drawdown0%of equity peak

Account age2d

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

14/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%31

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yesopen+$76 Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026? · Yesopen+$71 Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · Yesopen+$60 Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? · Yesopen+$54 Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026? · Yesopen+$51

Worst markets

Will the Democratic Party win the UT-02 House seat? · Yesopen−$400 Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yesopen−$321 Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yesopen−$291 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? · Yesopen−$234 Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yesopen−$198

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?	Yes	245	6.3¢	35.1¢	$86	+$71	$0	3mo
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Yes	122	3.3¢	65.5¢	$80	+$76	$0	52d 8h
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	247	2.8¢	27¢	$67	+$60	$0	17d 8h
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026?	Yes	245	6.3¢	27¢	$66	+$51	$0	3mo
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	9,198	2.1¢	0.7¢	$60	−$138	$0	18d 8h
Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?	Yes	175	20.2¢	33.5¢	$59	+$23	$0	25d 8h
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?	Yes	165	17.8¢	34.5¢	$57	+$28	$0	25d 8h
Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Yes	55	0.7¢	98.7¢	$54	+$54	$0	3mo
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?	Yes	56	50¢	96.6¢	$54	+$26	$0	25d 8h
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	166	8.3¢	32.5¢	$54	+$40	$0	25d 8h
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	256	25.2¢	21¢	$54	−$11	$0	3mo
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	96	2.9¢	55.5¢	$53	+$51	$0	29d 8h
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	750	1.7¢	7.1¢	$53	+$41	$0	21d 8h
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1,690	0.6¢	3.2¢	$53	+$44	$0	3mo
Will the Republican Party win the PA-10 House seat?	Yes	276	42.3¢	18.5¢	$51	−$66	$0	25d 8h
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	63	50¢	81.5¢	$51	+$20	$0	25d 8h
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?	Yes	153	9.3¢	32.8¢	$50	+$36	$0	3mo
Will Michael Dell be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	150	1.4¢	33.5¢	$50	+$48	$0	ended
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	95	2.8¢	52.5¢	$50	+$47	$0	3mo
Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?	Yes	95	7.1¢	52.5¢	$50	+$43	$0	25d 8h
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	98	46.2¢	50.5¢	$50	+$4.23	$0	25d 8h
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	Yes	155	16.3¢	31.5¢	$49	+$24	$0	25d 8h
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	572	14.9¢	8.5¢	$49	−$37	$0	25d 8h
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?	Yes	100	50.8¢	48.5¢	$48	−$2.35	$0	25d 8h
Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	158	6.3¢	30.5¢	$48	+$38	$0	15mo
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	75	50¢	64¢	$48	+$10	$0	15mo
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	75	7.1¢	63¢	$47	+$42	$0	25d 8h
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	121	7.5¢	38.5¢	$47	+$38	$0	25d 8h
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	98	8.1¢	47.5¢	$47	+$39	$0	25d 8h
Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	404	3.1¢	11.5¢	$46	+$34	$0	6mo
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?	Yes	64	8.3¢	72.5¢	$46	+$41	$0	3mo
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2026 NFC West?	Yes	150	50¢	30.5¢	$46	−$29	$0	3mo
Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	95	2.8¢	47.5¢	$45	+$42	$0	3mo
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	Yes	155	24.9¢	29¢	$45	+$6.35	$0	4mo
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	140	1.6¢	32¢	$45	+$43	$0	13mo
Will New York City FC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?	Yes	150	32.5¢	29.5¢	$44	−$4.46	$0	26d 8h
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	166	8.3¢	26¢	$43	+$29	$0	25d 8h
Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat?	Yes	150	7.1¢	28.5¢	$43	+$32	$0	25d 8h
Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	283	5.6¢	15¢	$42	+$27	$0	25d 8h
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	283	5.6¢	15¢	$42	+$27	$0	25d 8h
Will there be between 115m and 120m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?	Yes	132	4.5¢	32¢	$42	+$36	$0	25d 8h
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	339	1.3¢	12.5¢	$42	+$38	$0	16d 8h
Will Bernard Arnault be 3rd richest person on December 31?	Yes	300	1.4¢	13.8¢	$41	+$37	$0	3mo
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?	Yes	90	50¢	45.8¢	$41	−$3.83	$0	3mo
Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2026 NFC South?	Yes	113	12.5¢	36.2¢	$41	+$27	$0	3mo
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	166	8.3¢	24¢	$40	+$26	$0	25d 8h
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	65	2.8¢	61.5¢	$40	+$38	$0	3mo
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	74	7.1¢	53.5¢	$40	+$34	$0	3mo
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?	Yes	41	4.2¢	97.2¢	$40	+$38	$0	25d 8h
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?	Yes	145	6.3¢	27¢	$39	+$30	$0	3mo
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West?	Yes	150	12.5¢	26¢	$39	+$20	$0	3mo
Will Strava’s market cap be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	158	6.3¢	24¢	$38	+$28	$0	15mo
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	185	0¢	20.5¢	$38	+$38	$0	6mo
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	Yes	157	50¢	23.8¢	$37	−$41	$0	ended
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?	Yes	85	5.6¢	43.5¢	$37	+$32	$0	29d 8h
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	Yes	165	5.6¢	22.5¢	$37	+$28	$0	3mo
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?	Yes	146	7.1¢	25¢	$36	+$26	$0	25d 8h
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	104	50¢	34.5¢	$36	−$16	$0	25mo
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	Yes	165	5.6¢	21.7¢	$36	+$27	$0	3mo
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	157	50¢	22.7¢	$36	−$43	$0	3mo
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	74	7.1¢	47¢	$35	+$30	$0	3mo
Will Jensen Huang be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	142	1.4¢	24.5¢	$35	+$33	$0	3mo
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	150	1.6¢	23¢	$35	+$32	$0	3mo
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South?	Yes	113	12.5¢	30.5¢	$34	+$20	$0	3mo
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	Yes	90	8.3¢	38.2¢	$34	+$27	$0	3mo
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	652	5¢	5.3¢	$34	+$1.63	$0	ended
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?	Yes	46	7.1¢	74¢	$34	+$31	$0	25d 8h
Will Trump deport 500-600k people?	Yes	279	5.6¢	12.1¢	$34	+$18	$0	5mo
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?	Yes	83	7.1¢	40.3¢	$33	+$27	$0	3mo
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	285	5.6¢	11.5¢	$33	+$17	$0	25d 8h
Will Steve Ballmer be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	142	1.4¢	23¢	$33	+$31	$0	3mo
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	74	2.9¢	44¢	$32	+$30	$0	29d 8h
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?	Yes	132	50¢	24.5¢	$32	−$34	$0	3mo
Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?	Yes	122	7.1¢	26.5¢	$32	+$24	$0	3mo
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?	Yes	145	6.3¢	22.2¢	$32	+$23	$0	3mo
Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West?	Yes	145	12.5¢	22¢	$32	+$14	$0	3mo
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?	Yes	52	7.1¢	61.5¢	$32	+$28	$0	25d 8h
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	47	5.6¢	66.8¢	$32	+$29	$0	3mo
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	342	16.7¢	9.2¢	$31	−$26	$0	4mo
Will B.J. Callaghan win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?	Yes	100	1.1¢	31.4¢	$31	+$30	$0	3mo
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	139	7.7¢	22.5¢	$31	+$21	$0	25d 8h
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	58	8.3¢	53.5¢	$31	+$26	$0	3mo
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat?	Yes	40	70¢	76.5¢	$31	+$2.60	$0	25d 8h
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	49	3.3¢	61.5¢	$30	+$29	$0	52d 8h
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Yes	122	3.3¢	24.8¢	$30	+$26	$0	52d 8h
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	Yes	150	6.3¢	20¢	$30	+$21	$0	3mo
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?	Yes	81	7.1¢	37¢	$30	+$24	$0	7mo
Will Warren Buffett be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	142	1.4¢	20.8¢	$30	+$28	$0	3mo
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	283	5.6¢	10.4¢	$29	+$14	$0	25d 8h
Will Trump deport 300-400k people?	Yes	279	5.6¢	10.5¢	$29	+$14	$0	5mo
Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	283	5.6¢	10.3¢	$29	+$13	$0	25d 8h
Will Yoann Damet win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?	Yes	100	1.1¢	29¢	$29	+$28	$0	3mo
Will the Democratic Party win the UT-02 House seat?	Yes	680	63.1¢	4.3¢	$29	−$400	$0	25d 8h
Will New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	407	3.1¢	7¢	$28	+$16	$0	6mo
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-05 House seat?	Yes	30	90¢	94.8¢	$28	+$1.43	$0	25d 8h
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	45	2¢	63.5¢	$28	+$27	$0	4mo
Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	404	3.1¢	7¢	$28	+$16	$0	6mo
Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?	Yes	92	6.3¢	30.4¢	$28	+$22	$0	3mo
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	157	1.7¢	17.8¢	$28	+$25	$0	3mo
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	150	6.7¢	18.5¢	$28	+$18	$0	3mo

Recent trades

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Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp	Flags	Transaction
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