sharpside
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Snoopy121

0x6a8…e2ad
<14d old<30d oldPoliticsSportCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$101vol $18.1k
PnL 30d+$123gains $31 · losses $45
PnL 7d+$29win rate 7d 25.0%
Win rate33.3%adj 43.8% · 30d 33.3%
Open value$3,143cash n/a
Positions35 / 47open / all-time
Max drawdown−12.1%of equity peak
Account age12dlast trade 7h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$172below peak −$36Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

23/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 33.3% · shrunk toward 50%9
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable56
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 35

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No46492¢91.5¢$424−$2.32$0
Will Arch Manning be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft?No48680.3¢86.5¢$421+$30$0
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?No43594.2¢92.3¢$402−$8.30$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Attorney General election?Yes57738.3¢46.5¢$268+$48$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes53444.9¢41.9¢$224−$16$0
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Yes60330.2¢34.5¢$208+$26$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?No18676¢80.5¢$150+$8.31$0
Will Bad Bunny release an album in 2026?No18564.1¢79.5¢$147+$29$0
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?Yes18074.7¢61.5¢$111−$24$0
Will SZA have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?No11882.9¢86.5¢$102+$4.20$0
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes48918¢20.5¢$100+$12$0
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?No7368.1¢12.5¢$92+$33$0
Will Mexico win the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup?No11532.5¢53¢$61+$23$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes27417.7¢21.5¢$59+$10$0
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes3927.4¢13.6¢$53+$24$0
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes31414¢16¢$50+$6.25−$1.15
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No5507.5¢7.4¢$41−$0.74−$3.74
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat?No8191.1¢3.9¢$32+$23$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?No3782¢81.5¢$30−$0.18$0
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes3545.2¢8¢$28+$9.83$0
Will San Jose Sharks be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?Yes2825.8¢7.6¢$21+$5.01$0
Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship?No7123.5¢26.5¢$19+$2.12$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-08 House election by 65%-70%?No2372¢69¢$16−$0.69$0
Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes8015.5¢19.5¢$16+$3.17$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?Yes1808¢7.5¢$14−$0.90$0
Will Sonny Styles win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes11211¢11.6¢$13+$0.62$0
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No9512.2¢11.8¢$11−$0.40−$9.13
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes6810¢15.7¢$11+$3.93$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 40%-45%?Yes4510¢22.5¢$10+$5.61$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-20 House seat?Yes1104.6¢4.2¢$4.56−$0.50$0
Will the Republican Party win the NH-02 House seat?Yes995.4¢3.4¢$3.35−$2.00−$0.40
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?No1801.2¢1.4¢$2.52+$0.36$0
Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes286.9¢2¢$0.54−$1.38−$6.17
Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?No8967¢0¢$0−$59−$0.98
Will NRG win VALORANT Champions 2026?Yes3318.8¢0¢$0−$6.17−$0.25

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Nathan MacKinnon record 100+ points?6.2¢243$1533%23
BUY NoWill Nathan MacKinnon record 100+ points?9.9¢243$2433%23
BUY YesWill San Jose Sharks be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?5.8¢282$1633%23
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?67¢357$23933%23
BUY NoWill Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?92¢464$42733%23
SELL YesWill Trinidad Chambliss win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?6.1¢110$6.7133%23
SELL YesWill Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?1.1¢99$1.0833%23
SELL YesWill Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?6.6¢193$1333%23
BUY YesWill Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?14¢313$4433%23
SELL YesWill Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?0.1¢573$0.6733%23
SELL YesWill Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?0.7¢570$3.8333%23
SELL NoWill John Brennan be arrested before 2027?77¢240$18533%23
SELL NoWill Cole Caufield win the 2026-27 Ted Lindsay Award?87.6¢80$7033%23
SELL NoWill Justin Allgaier win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?70¢10$7.0033%23
SELL NoWill Justin Allgaier win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?70¢63$4433%23
BUY YesWill Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?31¢460$14333%23
BUY YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?44.9¢534$24033%23
BUY NoWill Cole Caufield win the 2026-27 Ted Lindsay Award?87.8¢80$7033%23
SELL YesBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?17¢374$6433%23
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?8.1¢368$3033%23