sharpside
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Traders/Rank #16,926

avatar12

0x6ab…ae32
WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCryptoSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$361vol $115k
PnL 30d+$64gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$25win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate71.9%adj 69.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$5,396cash n/a
Positions122 / 300open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 3mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,291below peak −$3,820Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

33/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 71.9% · shrunk toward 50%74
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable83
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes2,00065¢99.3¢$1,985+$685$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes41959.6¢98¢$411+$161$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,53235.5¢15.5¢$391−$509$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,43428.7¢22.2¢$318−$94$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3,38120.1¢9¢$306−$374$0
Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026?Alcaraz54634.8¢50¢$273+$83$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,4488.3¢14.8¢$214+$94$0
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?No20064¢78.5¢$157+$29$0
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes37063.3¢35.5¢$131−$103$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No11595.4¢98¢$113+$2.95$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No11893¢86.9¢$103−$7.27$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No10496.1¢95.5¢$99−$0.68$0
Perena FDV above $100M one day after launch?No15041.7¢65.5¢$98+$36$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No10496.2¢93.9¢$98−$2.44$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes1,30423¢6.5¢$85−$215$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,0006¢7.9¢$79+$19$0
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes20089.5¢38¢$76−$103$0
Perena FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes20031¢34.5¢$69+$7.00$0
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No5197.3¢98.3¢$50+$0.49$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes50018¢9.5¢$48−$43$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No12041.7¢28.6¢$34−$16$0
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?Yes50035¢6.5¢$32−$143$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No3197.4¢98.8¢$30+$0.42$0
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?Yes10033¢29.5¢$30−$3.50$0
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?No3165¢94.5¢$29+$9.08$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes21347¢12.5¢$27−$73$0
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?Yes10024¢21.5¢$21−$2.50$0
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes1,7352.9¢1.2¢$21−$29$0
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8002.5¢2.4¢$19−$1.20$0
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,5001.4¢0.5¢$14−$21$0
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?No2028¢64.5¢$13+$7.30$0
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?No950¢88.5¢$8.03+$3.49$0
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes3,3330.6¢0.2¢$5.00−$15$0
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes8933.6¢4¢$3.57−$26$0
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes1,00030¢0.4¢$3.50−$296$0
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2,0001¢0.2¢$3.00−$17$0
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes10,0000.9¢0¢$0−$90$0
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,53114.5¢0¢$0−$800$0
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes3,25016¢0¢$0−$520$0
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes3,0001.7¢0¢$0−$51$0
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes3,0005.6¢0¢$0−$168$0
Will stablecoins hit $400B by December 31?Yes2,7033.7¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes1,6671.8¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?Yes1,05161.8¢0¢$0−$650$0
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes1,0009¢0¢$0−$90$0
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes9002.4¢0¢$0−$22+$55
Will Daniil Medvedev win Wimbledon 2025?Yes8072.5¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes57832.9¢0¢$0−$190$0
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes55618¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes5231.9¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?Yes50010¢0¢$0−$50$0
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?Yes46321.6¢0¢$0−$100$0
Maduro out in 2025?Yes46023.9¢0¢$0−$110$0
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes44422.5¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes43546¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes38825.8¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes35645¢0¢$0−$160$0
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Yes34828.7¢0¢$0−$100$0
Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes3452.9¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes33959.1¢0¢$0−$200$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes32331¢0¢$0−$100$0
Congress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?Yes2803.6¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will Revolut launch their own stablecoin in 2025?Yes27818¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?Yes22548.8¢0¢$0−$110$0
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?No20848¢0¢$0−$100$0
US government shutdown in 2025?No20848¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes19210.4¢0¢$0−$20$0
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Yes1725.8¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Solana all time high before 2026?Yes15465¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes1476.8¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes1437¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes13315¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Trump create a DOGE dividend in 2025? Yes13023¢0¢$0−$30$0
WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?No12540¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will no leader be out in 2025?Yes1258¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?Yes12580.1¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes12424.3¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?Yes11643¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Yes11643.3¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?Yes11172¢0¢$0−$80$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes1119¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes10020¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes10032¢0¢$0−$32$0
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes9960.9¢0¢$0−$60$0
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes9830.7¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes9610.4¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes9122¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?Yes872.3¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-22?Yes8547.2¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?No8312¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
OpenAI browser in 2025?No8336¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?Yes7713¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No7114¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-12-21?Yes7128¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?Yes6730¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes6715¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?Yes6715¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?No6561.7¢0¢$0−$40$0
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?Yes6340¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? No5917¢0¢$0−$10.00$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?18¢500$9072%33
BUYGermany to score first vs. Paraguay? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? AND Germany leading at halftime?48.8¢202$9872%33
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?53¢200$10672%33
BUY YesWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?59.6¢419$25072%33
BUY YesWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?72¢139$10072%33
BUY YesIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?23¢1,304$30072%33
BUY YesWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?65¢619$40372%33
BUY YesWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?65¢1,000$65072%33
BUY YesWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?30¢526$15872%33
BUY YesUSD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?62.1¢161$10072%33
BUY YesWill Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?33.6¢89$3072%33
BUY NoWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?41.7¢120$5072%33
BUY YesWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?36¢278$10072%33
BUY YesWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?16.3¢2,454$40072%33
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?31¢323$10072%33
BUY YesMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?34.2¢1,463$50072%33
BUY NoWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?72¢139$10072%33
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?2.9¢1,735$5072%33
BUY YesUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?22¢91$2072%33
BUY YesBase FDV above $2B one day after launch?90¢100$9072%33