sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,374

0x6b2…7a69

0x6b2…7a69
PnL 10k+SportPoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$19.3kvol $1.23M
PnL 30d+$31.0kgains $13.7k · losses $16.6k
PnL 7d−$633win rate 7d 53.4%
Win rate52.2%adj 52.1% · 30d 52.2%
Open value$31.5kcash n/a
Positions228 / 4,178open / all-time
Max drawdown−37.0%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 57m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$29.8kbelow peak −$3,232Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale61
Adjusted win rateraw 52.2% · shrunk toward 50%30
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity63

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes10.1k55.9¢85.7¢$8,616+$2,989$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No5,40063.9¢86.5¢$4,671+$1,218$0
Thunder vs. HawksHawks3,8345.6¢62.6¢$2,402+$2,187$0
Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 66 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No1,15080.5¢94.2¢$1,083+$157$0
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Yes3,82926¢20¢$766−$230$0
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No3,10814.7¢23.3¢$723+$266−$45
Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?No70364.5¢99¢$696+$243$0
Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes81066.8¢85.5¢$693+$152$0
Thunder vs. HawksThunder1,63512.9¢37.4¢$611+$400−$29
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes58284.2¢91.5¢$532+$42$0
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No2,20038.6¢22.5¢$495−$354−$138
Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?Yes53470.2¢73.5¢$392+$18$0
Will Armin Willingmann be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No39397.2¢99.5¢$391+$8.77$0
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?No41477.4¢86¢$356+$35−$23
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes71220.2¢39.4¢$280+$136$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes1,80050.7¢15.5¢$279−$633$0
Will the Republican Party win the NV-04 House seat?No28491¢97.6¢$277+$19$0
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes26415.9¢98.6¢$260+$218$0
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-09?Yes3,6275.9¢7¢$254+$39$0
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Yes81562.5¢29¢$236−$273$0
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No31484.9¢75¢$235−$31$0
Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?Yes23085¢89¢$205+$9.14−$2.68
Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?Yes56150.2¢35¢$196−$86$0
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Yes23654.3¢76.4¢$181+$52$0
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No20263¢77.5¢$157+$29$0
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No15536.6¢98¢$152+$95$0
Will Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli win the next Lima mayoral elections?No14998¢99.9¢$149+$2.71$0
Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?Yes15467¢96.9¢$149+$46−$4.13
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?No28552.3¢50.5¢$144−$5.18$0
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September?No22569¢63.5¢$143−$12$0
Will Jorge Martin win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship?No20082¢71¢$142−$22$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?No18770¢73.5¢$137+$6.55$0
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes16067¢85.5¢$137+$30$0
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?No24857.6¢54¢$134−$8.87$0
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?Yes44226.7¢29.5¢$130+$12$0
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No16370.1¢78.5¢$128+$14$0
Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?Yes15480¢80.5¢$124+$0.77$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?Yes23053.8¢49.5¢$114−$9.86$0
Will Democrats win exactly 47 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?No14478¢79¢$113+$1.44$0
Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?Yes19355.5¢57¢$110+$2.86$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat?Yes98810.8¢10.9¢$107+$0.14$0
Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 15, 2026?No11490.4¢92.5¢$105+$2.37$0
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?No21241.6¢49.5¢$105+$17$0
Will Layne Riggs win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?No15661.9¢66.5¢$104+$7.26$0
Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?Yes17436.8¢57.5¢$100+$36$0
Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?Yes16637¢59¢$98+$37$0
W35 Wagga Wagga: Haruna Arakawa vs I Wen WanI Wen Wan9859¢100¢$98+$40$0
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No27545.5¢34.5¢$95−$30$0
Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes23827.9¢38¢$90+$24$0
Spread: Army (-20.5)Tulane10087¢88.5¢$89+$1.50$0
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Yes13964¢63.5¢$88−$0.69$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?No11159¢78.5¢$87+$22$0
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?No8885.5¢96.8¢$85+$9.90$0
Will Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?Yes15033.3¢55.5¢$83+$33$0
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?Yes9262¢88.5¢$81+$24$0
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Yes13267¢56.5¢$75−$14$0
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes18726.9¢40¢$75+$24$0
Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?No12273.4¢60.5¢$74−$16$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?No11175¢66¢$73−$10.00$0
Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes33216.6¢21.5¢$71+$16$0
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?No8079¢87.5¢$70+$6.80$0
Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes29627.9¢23.5¢$69−$13$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No48236.8¢14.4¢$69−$108$0
Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17?Yes7585.3¢88.4¢$66+$2.34$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?Yes7582¢88¢$66+$4.50$0
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes25639.5¢24.6¢$63−$38$0
Will Belarus vs. Italy end in a draw?No6392¢92.5¢$58+$0.31$0
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?No8950.8¢61.5¢$55+$9.52$0
Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?Yes23125¢23.5¢$54−$3.48$0
Will Greece win on 2026-10-09?Yes2,7432.5¢1.9¢$52−$16$0
W50 Burgas: Oana Georgeta Simion vs Sonja ZhenikhovaSonja Zhenikhova5287¢99.4¢$52+$6.42$0
Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election?Yes6866.7¢71.5¢$49+$3.25$0
South Carolina vs. Florida: O/U 59.5Over9946¢47.5¢$47+$1.49$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Attorney General election?Yes6268¢76.5¢$47+$5.24$0
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes13623¢34¢$46+$15$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?No5086.7¢86.9¢$43+$0.07$0
Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?No6846.1¢62.5¢$43+$11$0
Will Paper Rex win VALORANT Champions 2026?No4577.1¢91¢$41+$6.25$0
Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?No4087.8¢96.9¢$39+$3.64$0
Will Democrats win exactly 18 House seats in New York in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes50512.7¢7.3¢$37−$27$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?No1,13110.9¢3.3¢$37−$87$0
Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?No3969.1¢87¢$34+$6.98$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina by November 30, 2026?No3646¢93.8¢$34+$17$0
Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?No10045¢32.5¢$33−$13$0
Will Andrea Kaiser win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?No5060¢62.5¢$31+$1.25$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Attorney General election?Yes4054¢77.5¢$31+$9.40$0
Will Democrats win exactly 19 House seats in New York in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes12428¢25¢$31−$3.70$0
Kendre Miller: Anytime TouchdownNo6173¢50¢$31−$14$0
Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No3084.1¢100¢$30+$4.75−$1.04
Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?Yes5349.7¢56¢$30+$3.34$0
Atlanta Dream vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty5251¢56.5¢$30+$2.90$0
Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?Yes92514.7¢3.1¢$29−$107$0
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 30 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes5257.2¢55¢$28−$1.13$0
Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague?Yes5732.5¢48.5¢$28+$9.21$0
Will Oklahoma make College Football Playoff Quarterfinals?No3043¢92¢$28+$15$0
Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?No6136¢43¢$26+$4.28$0
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No3844¢65.5¢$25+$8.22$0
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes20023¢12.5¢$25−$21$0
Will the Yomiuri Giants win the 2026 Japan Series?No2824¢89¢$25+$18$0
Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?No4058¢61.5¢$25+$1.40$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?87¢11$9.5752%61
BUY NoWill Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?87¢101$8852%61
BUY YesWill Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-09?6¢60$3.5952%61
BUY YesWill Croatia win on 2026-10-09?7¢170$1252%61
BUY NoWill Belarus vs. Italy end in a draw?92¢63$5852%61
BUY Yiru ChenW15 Maanshan: Daria Egorova vs Yiru Chen5¢21$1.0752%61
SELL YesWill "Other Mommy" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?5¢5$0.2552%61
BUY YesWill Croatia win on 2026-10-09?6¢51$3.0652%61
BUY YesWill Croatia win on 2026-10-09?6¢66$3.9652%61
BUY YesWill Croatia win on 2026-10-09?6¢56$3.3652%61
BUY YesWill Croatia win on 2026-10-09?6¢58$3.4852%61
BUY YesWill Croatia win on 2026-10-09?6¢27$1.6252%61
BUY YesWill Croatia win on 2026-10-09?6¢66$3.9652%61
BUY YesWill Croatia win on 2026-10-09?6¢49$2.9452%61
BUY YesWill Croatia win on 2026-10-09?6¢51$3.0652%61
BUY YesWill Croatia win on 2026-10-09?6¢26$1.5352%61
BUY YesWill Croatia win on 2026-10-09?6¢23$1.4052%61
BUY YesWill Croatia win on 2026-10-09?6¢51$3.0652%61
BUY YesWill Croatia win on 2026-10-09?6¢49$2.9452%61
BUY YesWill Croatia win on 2026-10-09?6¢26$1.5352%61