sharpside
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0x567

0x6b4…3647
Weather
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$5,020vol $822k
PnL 30d−$2,383gains $8,839 · losses $4,759
PnL 7d+$812win rate 7d 56.7%
Win rate56.7%adj 56.4% · 30d 56.7%
Open value$7,606cash n/a
Positions575 / 9,413open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 6h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$4,920below peak −$4,976Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 56.7% · shrunk toward 50%41
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 12?No39368.2¢100¢$393+$125−$9.98
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?No34868.6¢98.1¢$341+$103−$34
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 11?No27261.6¢100¢$272+$104−$9.74
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 12?No24965.4¢100¢$249+$86−$32
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 12?No24079.4¢97.5¢$234+$43−$35
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 12?No40061.8¢58¢$232−$15−$2.20
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C or higher on October 12?No22784.4¢89.5¢$203+$12−$18
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 12?Yes26020.7¢78¢$203+$149+$19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 12?No20084.5¢100¢$200+$31$0
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 12?No27850.2¢69¢$191+$52+$2.83
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 12?No17281.7¢100¢$172+$32−$43
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 12?No20274¢73.6¢$149−$0.89−$58
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 12?No27385.1¢52.8¢$144−$88$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?No20071.7¢65¢$130−$13−$65
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 11?No12883.3¢100¢$128+$21−$64
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 12?No15379.5¢73¢$112−$9.94−$23
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 11?No11085.4¢100¢$110+$16−$26
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 12?No10569.2¢93.5¢$98+$25−$33
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 12?No25945.2¢37.5¢$97−$20−$6.83
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 11?No9748.4¢100¢$97+$50+$3.07
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on October 12?No10581.5¢80.5¢$84−$1.06−$44
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 12?No13366.5¢60.5¢$80−$7.98$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 12?No12365.5¢65¢$80−$0.62−$20
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 11?Yes7929.1¢100¢$79+$56+$106
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 12?No11855¢67¢$79+$14−$4.30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12?No11476.4¢68¢$78−$9.59−$17
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 12?Yes18347.5¢42¢$77−$10+$7.13
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 12?Yes37622.5¢20¢$75−$9.45+$2.59
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 12?No8083.8¢84.5¢$68+$0.60$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 12?No10870.5¢62.5¢$67−$8.61−$3.23
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 12?No11067¢61¢$67−$6.58−$33
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 12?No7456.3¢88¢$65+$24−$9.86
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?Yes6523.8¢100¢$65+$50+$108
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 11?Yes6369.8¢100¢$63+$19−$21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 12?No5956.9¢100¢$59+$25−$28
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 12?No12839.8¢46¢$59+$7.86+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12?No7180.7¢81.5¢$58+$0.59−$1.59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 12?No5972.3¢94.5¢$56+$13−$2.82
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 11?Yes5535¢100¢$55+$36+$21
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 12?No6784.5¢82¢$55−$1.67−$2.10
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 12?No7065.9¢78¢$55+$8.51−$2.57
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 12?Yes13843.9¢39.5¢$55−$6.05+$6.85
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 12?No8470¢64.5¢$54−$4.64−$16
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 12?No18958.2¢28.5¢$54−$56$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 11?Yes5222.5¢100¢$52+$40+$9.78
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 12?No11836.9¢39.5¢$47+$3.04+$21
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 12?No7665.6¢60¢$45−$4.27−$10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 12?Yes17824.5¢25.5¢$45+$1.78+$16
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 11?Yes4536.5¢100¢$45+$29+$58
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 12?No6083¢73¢$44−$6.02−$26
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 12?No8757.3¢49.5¢$43−$6.80−$2.88
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 12?No5461.2¢78.5¢$43+$9.40$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 12?No7069¢59.9¢$42−$6.35−$1.33
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 12?No8634.2¢47.5¢$41+$11−$0.84
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 12?No5455.5¢67.5¢$37+$6.49−$3.21
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 12?No6465¢56.5¢$36−$5.45−$35
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 12?No5472¢65.5¢$35−$3.48−$15
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 12?No4970.6¢65.5¢$32−$2.49−$70
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 13?No4572.5¢69¢$31−$1.58−$5.09
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 12?No3167.5¢99.8¢$31+$10−$3.16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 12?No5355¢57¢$30+$1.06−$2.54
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 12?No5138.9¢58¢$30+$9.82+$12
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 12?No6262.7¢47¢$29−$9.74−$9.39
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 12?No6070.4¢48¢$29−$13−$2.16
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 12?Yes20016.5¢14¢$28−$5.00+$26
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 11?No2866.7¢100¢$28+$9.31$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 12?No4071¢69.5¢$28−$0.60$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 13?No4066.1¢67.5¢$27+$0.56−$2.61
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 12?No24043.9¢11¢$26−$79−$0.41
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 12?Yes4517.6¢54.5¢$25+$17+$37
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12?No5344¢45.5¢$24+$0.81+$8.73
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 12?Yes5245.3¢45.5¢$24+$0.09+$0.98
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 12?No3477¢70¢$24−$2.37−$18
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 12?No3471.8¢69¢$23−$0.96−$12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12?Yes5544.3¢42.5¢$23−$1.00+$1.31
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 12?No4357.3¢52.5¢$23−$2.08−$1.15
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 12?Yes6238.5¢34.5¢$21−$2.47+$19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12?No6351¢33¢$21−$11+$19
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 12?No4846.2¢43.5¢$21−$1.31−$0.79
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 12?Yes4715.2¢43.9¢$21+$13$0
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 12?No3261.8¢64.5¢$21+$0.86−$4.05
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 12?No2085¢95.3¢$19+$2.06$0
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 12?No2677.1¢73.5¢$19−$0.93−$13
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 12?Yes4444¢42.5¢$19−$0.66−$1.25
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 13?No2579¢73¢$18−$1.50−$12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 13?No4252.5¢43¢$18−$3.98$0
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 13?No3263.6¢54¢$17−$3.10$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 12?Yes13935.1¢12.5¢$17−$31$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 12?No2186.8¢82.5¢$17−$0.89$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 13?Yes5232.1¢32.5¢$17+$0.20+$3.02
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 12?No2080¢82.6¢$17+$0.52$0
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 13?No2073¢80¢$16+$1.40−$5.60
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 12?Yes10015.1¢16¢$16+$0.87+$22
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on October 13?No2087¢79.5¢$16−$1.50$0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 12?No2378.1¢68¢$16−$2.35−$13
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 12?No3638.1¢42.5¢$15+$1.58+$3.67
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 12?No2178¢71.5¢$15−$1.39−$31
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 12?Yes4831.4¢31.5¢$15+$0.04+$3.60
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 12?Yes18813.5¢8¢$15−$10+$25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 13?No1781¢87.5¢$15+$1.11−$7.13

Recent trades

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TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11?99.9¢8$7.7957%35
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 11?99.9¢13$1357%35
SELL NoWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?99.9¢15$1557%35
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 11?99.9¢15$1557%35
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on October 11?99.9¢17$1757%35
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 11?99.9¢38$3857%35
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 11?99.9¢45$4457%35
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 11?99.9¢96$9657%35
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 11?99.9¢54$5457%35
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 11?99.9¢123$12357%35
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 11?99.9¢131$13157%35
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 11?99.9¢154$15457%35
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 11?99.9¢162$16257%35
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 11?99.9¢205$20557%35
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 11?99.9¢215$21557%35
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 11?99.9¢54$5357%35
SELL NoWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 11?99.9¢60$6057%35
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 11?99.9¢68$6857%35
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 11?99.9¢85$8557%35
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 11?99.9¢85$8557%35