sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,478

Noname333

0x6c1…6a7e
SharpPnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$14.2kvol $888k
PnL 30d+$767gains $4,340 · losses $1,805
PnL 7d+$427win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate74.3%adj 73.3% · 30d 88.9%
Open value$21.8kcash n/a
Positions19 / 476open / all-time
Max drawdown−13.9%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 54m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$15.2kbelow peak $0Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

79/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale59
Adjusted win rateraw 74.3% · shrunk toward 50%83
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable89
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 19

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No4,38073.9¢81.5¢$3,570+$332$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes3,36489.2¢90.5¢$3,045+$42$0
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No2,24689.8¢97.6¢$2,191+$175+$15
Kash Patel out by December 31?No2,73576.8¢79.5¢$2,174+$74$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes2,49176.3¢82.5¢$2,055+$155−$419
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No1,84678.6¢79.5¢$1,467+$16$0
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)No1,49480.4¢79.5¢$1,188−$13$0
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Yes2,79033.1¢40.5¢$1,130+$207$0
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No1,15872.6¢78¢$904+$63+$46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No1,38165.3¢63.5¢$877−$25$0
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?No88990¢82.6¢$734−$66$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes2,75734.9¢26.5¢$731−$231$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes88285¢79.5¢$701−$49−$403
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes80544.3¢43.7¢$352−$4.78+$18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes1,79219.4¢19.5¢$349+$1.08−$525
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?No23585¢81¢$190−$9.40$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes11884.8¢85.6¢$101+$0.94$0
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?No28417.3¢20¢$57+$7.64$0
Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026?Yes2,3724.6¢0¢$0−$110$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?78¢1,846$1,44074%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?64¢156$10074%79Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?91¢1,099$1,00074%79Sharp
SELL NoWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?88¢2,692$2,36974%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?44.3¢2,258$1,00074%79Sharp
SELL NoMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?90¢1,523$1,37174%79Sharp
SELL NoWill Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?97.4¢102$9974%79Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?82¢195$16074%79Sharp
SELL NoWill Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?97.2¢7$7.1574%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?97.3¢37$3674%79Sharp
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?19¢200$3874%79Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?79¢205$16274%79Sharp
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?19¢200$3874%79Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?78.9¢205$16274%79Sharp
BUY NoNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)82¢122$10074%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?65¢154$10074%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?97.3¢103$10074%79Sharp
BUY NoNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)81¢123$10074%79Sharp
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?19¢200$3874%79Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?79¢205$16274%79Sharp