sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,997

tonyboy108

0x6d1…1bec
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+WeatherPoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$532vol $104k
PnL 30d+$210gains $260 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$57win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate98.6%adj 92.6% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$7,412cash n/a
Positions36 / 185open / all-time
Max drawdown−2.2%of equity peak
Account age2molast trade 22h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$563below peak $0Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

79/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale39
Adjusted win rateraw 98.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable76
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 36

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No3,17499.4¢99.6¢$3,160+$6.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 10?No1,10899.9¢100¢$1,107+$0.55$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 9?No65199.8¢100¢$651+$0.98$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 10?No47399.8¢100¢$473+$0.71$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 10?Yes10498.1¢99.8¢$103+$1.73$0
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No7991¢93.5¢$74+$1.97$0
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes7991¢93.5¢$74+$1.97$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?No7497.2¢97.5¢$72+$0.22$0
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No7595.7¢96.1¢$72+$0.30$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes7595.9¢96.1¢$72+$0.11$0
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No7397.9¢97.7¢$72−$0.15$0
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes7596.2¢95.9¢$72−$0.29$0
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No7398.6¢98.4¢$72−$0.18$0
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?No7496.9¢96.7¢$72−$0.19$0
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?Yes7497.7¢97.3¢$71−$0.36$0
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes7497.3¢96.7¢$71−$0.43$0
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes7892¢91.5¢$71−$0.39$0
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?No7496.9¢96.4¢$71−$0.37$0
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?No7596.3¢95.7¢$71−$0.45$0
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes7497.1¢96.4¢$71−$0.55$0
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes7694.7¢94.1¢$71−$0.49$0
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?No7496.5¢95.7¢$71−$0.63$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes7694.3¢93.1¢$71−$0.95$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?No7694.8¢93.5¢$71−$1.02$0
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No7892¢90.5¢$71−$1.17$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes7892¢90.5¢$71−$1.17$0
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Yes7892¢88.5¢$69−$2.73$0
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?No7991¢87.5¢$69−$2.76$0
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No7098.6¢96.2¢$67−$1.71$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No3489¢97.4¢$33+$2.83$0
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes3488.1¢90.8¢$31+$0.92$0
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?No3487.9¢90.4¢$31+$0.86$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No3489¢90.5¢$30+$0.51$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes3489¢90.5¢$30+$0.51$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo3390¢91.5¢$30+$0.50$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 9?No2399.9¢100¢$23+$0.01$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 10?99.8¢123$12399%79Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 10?99.8¢350$34999%79Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 10?99.9¢1,108$1,10799%79Sharp
BUY YesWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 10?99¢8$8.3999%79Sharp
BUY YesWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 10?98¢95$9399%79Sharp
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 9?99.9¢23$2399%79Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 9?99.8¢651$65099%79Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 8?99.9¢51$5199%79Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 8?99.8¢5$5.4399%79Sharp
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 8?99.9¢74$7399%79Sharp
BUY YesWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 8?99¢32$3199%79Sharp
BUY YesWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 8?98.7¢75$7499%79Sharp
BUY YesWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 8?98.3¢18$1899%79Sharp
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 8?98.5¢100$9999%79Sharp
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 8?98.4¢55$5499%79Sharp
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 8?99.7¢225$22499%79Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 8?99.8¢38$3899%79Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 7?99.8¢83$8399%79Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 7?99.7¢10$1099%79Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 7?99.7¢10$1099%79Sharp