| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 3,931 | 20.4¢ | 6.5¢ | $255 | −$546 | +$4.25 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 1,400 | 18.6¢ | 17.5¢ | $245 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? | No | 237 | 18¢ | 89¢ | $211 | +$168 | +$34 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 3,781 | 9.1¢ | 4.3¢ | $163 | −$182 | $0 | |
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | Yes | 3,889 | 7.1¢ | 4¢ | $156 | −$119 | $0 | |
| Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? | Yes | 1,800 | 13.7¢ | 6.4¢ | $115 | −$132 | $0 | |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 2,224 | 6.2¢ | 5¢ | $111 | −$27 | −$132 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 2,450 | 13.7¢ | 3.7¢ | $89 | −$247 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 250 | 15.2¢ | 28.5¢ | $71 | +$33 | +$9.87 | |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31? | Yes | 200 | 55¢ | 32.5¢ | $65 | −$45 | $0 | |
| Will the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix take place? | No | 190 | 15.7¢ | 31¢ | $59 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? | Yes | 2,846 | 12.3¢ | 1.9¢ | $54 | −$295 | $0 | |
| Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? | Yes | 698 | 24.5¢ | 7.5¢ | $52 | −$118 | $0 | |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2,201 | 3.5¢ | 2.4¢ | $52 | −$26 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 50 | 18.5¢ | 85.5¢ | $43 | +$34 | +$92 | |
| Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? | No | 50 | 13¢ | 74.5¢ | $37 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 530 | 9.9¢ | 6.5¢ | $34 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 4,479 | 3.5¢ | 0.8¢ | $34 | −$122 | $0 | |
| Will India have an Ebola case in 2026? | Yes | 223 | 18¢ | 13.5¢ | $30 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? | Yes | 129 | 51¢ | 18.5¢ | $24 | −$42 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 50 | 29¢ | 47.5¢ | $24 | +$9.25 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 224 | 43.2¢ | 10.5¢ | $24 | −$73 | $0 | |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 9,201 | 0.9¢ | 0.3¢ | $23 | −$56 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 591 | 6¢ | 3.5¢ | $21 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | Yes | 450 | 5.4¢ | 4.5¢ | $20 | −$4.25 | $0 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 1,100 | 6.2¢ | 1.8¢ | $19 | −$49 | $0 | |
| Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31? | Yes | 532 | 9.9¢ | 3.5¢ | $19 | −$34 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | No | 50 | 24¢ | 33.5¢ | $17 | +$4.75 | $0 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 1,061 | 7.9¢ | 1.6¢ | $16 | −$67 | −$135 | |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 10.5k | 0.5¢ | 0.2¢ | $16 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | Yes | 350 | 20.1¢ | 4.5¢ | $16 | −$55 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 700 | 8.6¢ | 2.3¢ | $16 | −$45 | $0 | |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31? | Yes | 400 | 10¢ | 3.7¢ | $15 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 800 | 7.6¢ | 1.7¢ | $13 | −$48 | −$20 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 100 | 14¢ | 11.5¢ | $12 | −$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 7,000 | 0.5¢ | 0.2¢ | $10 | −$23 | $0 | |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | Yes | 70 | 15.3¢ | 14.5¢ | $10 | −$0.57 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 200 | 23¢ | 4.5¢ | $9.00 | −$37 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,500 | 3.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $7.50 | −$51 | $0 | |
| Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31? | Yes | 261 | 3.3¢ | 2.8¢ | $7.17 | −$1.43 | $0 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 100 | 27¢ | 5.5¢ | $5.50 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? | Yes | 200 | 10.4¢ | 2.5¢ | $5.00 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 255 | 6¢ | 1.8¢ | $4.60 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 30 | 20¢ | 13.5¢ | $4.05 | −$1.95 | $0 | |
| US x China Military clash before 2027? | Yes | 150 | 7¢ | 2.6¢ | $3.82 | −$6.67 | $0 | |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | Yes | 150 | 11¢ | 2.4¢ | $3.52 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 11¢ | 3.5¢ | $3.50 | −$7.49 | $0 | |
| Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? | Yes | 133 | 8.1¢ | 2.6¢ | $3.40 | −$7.34 | −$37 | |
| Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | Yes | 100 | 9¢ | 2.9¢ | $2.95 | −$6.05 | $0 | |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | Yes | 65 | 8.8¢ | 3.5¢ | $2.27 | −$3.42 | $0 | |
| Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026? | Yes | 168 | 33.9¢ | 0.6¢ | $1.00 | −$56 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 100 | 7.3¢ | 1¢ | $1.00 | −$6.30 | $0 | |
| Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? | Yes | 7 | 20¢ | 9¢ | $0.64 | −$0.78 | +$0.87 | |
| Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games? | Yes | 202k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$203 | −$6.10 | |
| Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 36.2k | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$502 | −$0.82 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? | Yes | 22.4k | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$339 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 19.8k | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$308 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 19.2k | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$131 | −$2.28 | |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | Yes | 18.9k | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$340 | +$373 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | Yes | 16.1k | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$484 | −$8.50 | |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | Yes | 16.0k | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$300 | −$7.01 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? | Yes | 14.3k | 4.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$615 | +$147 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | Yes | 11.8k | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$330 | +$1,230 | |
| Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? | Yes | 10.9k | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$107 | $0 | |
| Will Tesla deliver less than 300000 vehicles in Q2 2026 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | $0 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? | Yes | 9,225 | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$116 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22? | No | 9,028 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$273 | −$1.74 | |
| Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | Yes | 8,310 | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$99 | −$2.08 | |
| Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? | Yes | 8,090 | 4.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$337 | −$5.53 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? | Yes | 7,970 | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$203 | +$422 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 7,723 | 9.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$723 | +$87 | |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | Yes | 7,197 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$139 | −$2.78 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | Yes | 7,061 | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$148 | +$136 | |
| Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026 | Yes | 7,052 | 8.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$623 | +$107 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | Yes | 7,000 | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$94 | −$2.83 | |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | Yes | 6,898 | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$169 | −$2.68 | |
| Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | Yes | 6,500 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$26 | $0 | |
| Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026 | Yes | 6,390 | 8.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$540 | −$2.52 | |
| Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026 | Yes | 6,291 | 8.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$541 | −$8.78 | |
| Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)? | No | 6,225 | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$82 | +$1.96 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | No | 6,057 | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$151 | +$42 | |
| Will Tesla deliver between 300000 and 325000 vehicles in Q2 2026 | Yes | 5,758 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | Yes | 5,565 | 6.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$364 | −$4.97 | |
| World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? | Yes | 5,478 | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$119 | +$6.45 | |
| Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 5,075 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$1.01 | |
| Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026 | Yes | 4,647 | 13.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$627 | +$11 | |
| Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 3,763 | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$47 | −$0.83 | |
| Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026 | Yes | 3,575 | 10.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$370 | +$231 | |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? | No | 3,545 | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$88 | −$1.20 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of July 13 2026? | Yes | 3,507 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? | Yes | 3,400 | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$53 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by May 31? | Yes | 3,255 | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$43 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? | No | 3,133 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | +$14 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | Yes | 3,125 | 8.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$254 | −$5.20 | |
| Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | Yes | 2,923 | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$54 | −$0.31 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July? | Yes | 2,900 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27 | $0 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 2,704 | 18.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$493 | +$17 | |
| Will Tesla deliver between 325000 and 350000 vehicles in Q2 2026 | Yes | 2,626 | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | $0 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26? | Yes | 2,600 | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$75 | $0 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | Yes | 2,591 | 6.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$178 | $0 | |