sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,687

Vespuccii

0x712…9fe6@VespucciPM
WhaleWR 60+1y+CulturePolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$7,983vol $1.29M
PnL 30d+$7,614gains $15.5k · losses $4,939
PnL 7d+$5,107win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate60.5%adj 59.7% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$130kcash n/a
Positions18 / 254open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 7h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$6,117below peak −$64Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

50/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 60.5% · shrunk toward 50%49
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 18

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No30.0k95.3¢96.5¢$28.9k+$370$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No40.0k69.5¢63.5¢$25.4k−$2,400$0
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No20.0k90¢90.5¢$18.1k+$100$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No15.0k84.3¢84.5¢$12.7k+$25+$1,000
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No15.0k65¢63.5¢$9,525−$225$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo10.0k92¢91.5¢$9,150−$50$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes8,00080¢73.5¢$5,880−$520$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes7,46962.1¢63.5¢$4,743+$106$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes32.1k14¢13.5¢$4,334−$160$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes6,92442.4¢41.9¢$2,898−$35$0
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes3,00076¢73.5¢$2,205−$75$0
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?No3,00070.2¢72.8¢$2,184+$78$0
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes4,00061¢48.5¢$1,940−$500$0
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes4,47629.8¢28.5¢$1,276−$58$0
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No1,08484¢86.5¢$938+$27$0
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No33113¢89¢$295+$252−$18
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes4,00015¢0¢$0−$600$0
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?Yes75726¢0¢$0−$197+$168

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?14¢32.1k$4,49461%50
SELL NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?86¢10.0k$8,60061%50
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85¢10.0k$8,50061%50
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?90.1¢208$18861%50
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?54.5¢385$21061%50
SELL YesGemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?29¢1,000$29061%50
BUY NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?99.9¢60.0k$59.9k61%50Whale
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?0.7¢20.0k$14061%50
BUY Washington NationalsColorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals70¢5,000$3,50061%50
BUY LegacyCounter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B42¢1,000$42061%50
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?61¢1,495$91261%50
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?15.1¢1,906$28861%50
SELL YesUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?67.1¢1,039$69761%50
BUY YesWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?99.8¢8,068$8,05161%50
SELL YesWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?33.6¢1,145$38561%50
BUY YesWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?99¢1,285$1,27261%50
BUY NoWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?44.9¢5,678$2,55261%50
SELL YesWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?80¢1,005$80461%50
BUY NoWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 162m and 167m?98¢1,835$1,79861%50
BUY YesWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 167m and 172m?98.1¢124$12161%50