PnL all-time+$675vol $269k
PnL 30d+$21gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$7.74win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate54.9%adj 54.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,694cash n/a
Positions8 / 304open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$850below peak −$551Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale40
Adjusted win rateraw 54.9% · shrunk toward 50%36
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable83
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will BNB dip to $600 in March? · Yesclosed+$1,066Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-17? · Yesclosed+$428Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · Yesclosed+$349Will the 2025–2026 edition of Dick Clark's New Year's Rockin' Eve have between 22.5 million and 25 million viewers? · Yesclosed+$322Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? · Noclosed+$319
Worst markets
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 10 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000? · Noclosed−$733Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$681San Diego Toreros vs. Pepperdine Waves · Pepperdine Wavesclosed−$536Will Israel strike Gaza on March 6, 2026? · Noclosed−$401Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw? · Noclosed−$337
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 736 | 80¢ | 96.6¢ | $711 | +$122 | $0 | |
| Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | No | 702 | 74¢ | 100¢ | $702 | +$183 | $0 | |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B? | No | 157 | 67¢ | 95.9¢ | $151 | +$45 | $0 | |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 100 | 91¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$8.95 | $0 | |
| Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | No | 30 | 88¢ | 99.6¢ | $30 | +$3.46 | $0 | |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 14 | 36¢ | 3.3¢ | $0.46 | −$4.58 | +$15 | |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 4 | 31¢ | 9.9¢ | $0.40 | −$0.84 | −$6.89 | |
| Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026? | Yes | 1 | 20¢ | 6.5¢ | $0.07 | −$0.14 | −$11 |
Recent trades
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