| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 39.0k | 50¢ | 51.6¢ | $20.1k | +$605 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 39.0k | 50¢ | 48.4¢ | $18.9k | −$605 | $0 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 14.6k | 93.6¢ | 95.7¢ | $14.0k | +$300 | +$130 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | No | 11.5k | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | $11.4k | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 11.0k | 91.2¢ | 95.5¢ | $10.5k | +$472 | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 8,000 | 95.5¢ | 97.1¢ | $7,764 | +$125 | +$41 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 8,000 | 96.4¢ | 97.1¢ | $7,764 | +$48 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 8,000 | 83¢ | 84.5¢ | $6,760 | +$121 | +$1,455 | |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 6,571 | 96.9¢ | 98.7¢ | $6,482 | +$113 | +$63 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 6,132 | 90¢ | 85.5¢ | $5,243 | −$274 | +$113 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 4,591 | 83.8¢ | 90.5¢ | $4,155 | +$307 | +$22 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 4,000 | 90.2¢ | 90.5¢ | $3,620 | +$10 | +$35 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 3,907 | 87.6¢ | 91.5¢ | $3,575 | +$152 | $0 | |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 3,126 | 95¢ | 97.1¢ | $3,034 | +$64 | +$8.79 | |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 3,200 | 88.1¢ | 93.5¢ | $2,992 | +$171 | +$16 | |
| Will The Odyssey rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? | Yes | 3,100 | 90.1¢ | 94.5¢ | $2,930 | +$137 | +$0.04 | |
| Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? | Yes | 2,894 | 87.9¢ | 85.5¢ | $2,474 | −$70 | −$0.38 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 2,500 | 96.2¢ | 98.3¢ | $2,456 | +$52 | +$484 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4,836 | 62.2¢ | 47.9¢ | $2,316 | −$689 | −$269 | |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 3,213 | 82.5¢ | 71.5¢ | $2,297 | −$354 | $0 | |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,251 | 95.2¢ | 97.1¢ | $2,186 | +$43 | +$91 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | No | 1,997 | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | $1,996 | +$57 | +$55 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 2,042 | 96.2¢ | 95.8¢ | $1,955 | −$9.87 | +$2.29 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 2,100 | 86.1¢ | 92.5¢ | $1,942 | +$134 | +$23 | |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 2,000 | 92.3¢ | 94.5¢ | $1,890 | +$44 | +$45 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2,200 | 77.3¢ | 73.5¢ | $1,617 | −$83 | $0 | |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | No | 1,584 | 78.5¢ | 96.6¢ | $1,529 | +$286 | +$71 | |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 1,500 | 98.3¢ | 98.9¢ | $1,483 | +$7.75 | $0 | |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 1,433 | 96.4¢ | 97.9¢ | $1,402 | +$21 | +$91 | |
| Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | No | 2,077 | 74.4¢ | 60.5¢ | $1,256 | −$288 | −$0.08 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 6,884 | 32.5¢ | 17.5¢ | $1,205 | −$1,032 | −$434 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 1,256 | 93.6¢ | 95.1¢ | $1,194 | +$19 | +$147 | |
| Macron out by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,236 | 92.9¢ | 96.6¢ | $1,193 | +$45 | $0 | |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | No | 1,200 | 88.3¢ | 91.5¢ | $1,098 | +$38 | −$156 | |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 1,103 | 95.5¢ | 97.4¢ | $1,074 | +$21 | +$38 | |
| Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 1,166 | 74.7¢ | 91.5¢ | $1,066 | +$195 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,162 | 82.7¢ | 90¢ | $1,046 | +$85 | +$3.15 | |
| Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 1,000 | 99¢ | 99.5¢ | $995 | +$4.50 | $0 | |
| Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? | No | 950 | 92.9¢ | 97.9¢ | $930 | +$48 | +$24 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | No | 1,129 | 81.6¢ | 78.8¢ | $889 | −$33 | $0 | |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | 900 | 92.6¢ | 95.5¢ | $860 | +$27 | +$34 | |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 893 | 88.3¢ | 93.5¢ | $835 | +$46 | +$101 | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 800 | 94.1¢ | 96¢ | $768 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 750 | 95.4¢ | 97.8¢ | $734 | +$18 | +$1,790 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? | No | 724 | 92.6¢ | 97.4¢ | $706 | +$35 | +$8.41 | |
| Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | No | 812 | 72.2¢ | 81¢ | $658 | +$71 | $0 | |
| Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | Yes | 729 | 64.6¢ | 79¢ | $576 | +$105 | $0 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? | No | 659 | 70¢ | 87¢ | $573 | +$112 | +$13 | |
| Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 512 | 92.4¢ | 95.5¢ | $489 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | No | 471 | 90.2¢ | 97.6¢ | $459 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will Oliver Tree rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026? | Yes | 528 | 82.8¢ | 87¢ | $459 | +$22 | +$0.92 | |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 450 | 94.3¢ | 98.6¢ | $443 | +$19 | +$24 | |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $25B by December 31? | No | 469 | 92¢ | 88¢ | $413 | −$19 | +$12 | |
| Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 371 | 88.8¢ | 93.7¢ | $347 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? | No | 327 | 96.3¢ | 91.6¢ | $300 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | No | 316 | 94.9¢ | 94.7¢ | $299 | −$0.77 | +$0.05 | |
| Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? | No | 350 | 87.3¢ | 84.5¢ | $296 | −$9.75 | $0 | |
| Will Zendaya be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | No | 302 | 86.1¢ | 96¢ | $290 | +$30 | +$4.11 | |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? | No | 263 | 94.2¢ | 95.4¢ | $251 | +$3.07 | +$0.18 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? | No | 244 | 95.3¢ | 98¢ | $239 | +$6.69 | +$19 | |
| Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 254 | 90.8¢ | 93.6¢ | $238 | +$7.00 | $0 | |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026? | No | 231 | 95¢ | 96.4¢ | $223 | +$3.12 | $0 | |
| Will Trump endorse Renan Santos for President of Brazil? | No | 217 | 93.3¢ | 99.5¢ | $216 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will The Boys be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | No | 212 | 91.6¢ | 95.6¢ | $203 | +$8.32 | +$8.63 | |
| Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | No | 203 | 92.6¢ | 94¢ | $191 | +$2.80 | $0 | |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31? | No | 194 | 83.5¢ | 93¢ | $181 | +$18 | +$14 | |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | No | 181 | 94.7¢ | 95.8¢ | $173 | +$1.96 | $0 | |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 157 | 96.6¢ | 97.5¢ | $153 | +$1.41 | $0 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? | No | 150 | 94¢ | 97.2¢ | $146 | +$4.72 | $0 | |
| Will Trump endorse Lula da Silva for President of Brazil? | No | 142 | 91.6¢ | 99.5¢ | $141 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31? | No | 150 | 92.8¢ | 93¢ | $139 | +$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.75% at the end of 2027? | No | 132 | 89.2¢ | 94.5¢ | $124 | +$7.01 | +$7.19 | |
| Will Widow's Bay rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026? | Yes | 294 | 46.1¢ | 38.5¢ | $113 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | No | 114 | 96.1¢ | 96.2¢ | $109 | +$0.07 | $0 | |
| Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026? | No | 108 | 93¢ | 97.4¢ | $105 | +$4.72 | +$20 | |
| Will Teach You a Lesson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026? | Yes | 392 | 31.7¢ | 26.5¢ | $104 | −$20 | +$2.18 | |
| Will Courtyard launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 101 | 84.9¢ | 95¢ | $96 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will Trump endorse Augusto Cury for President of Brazil? | No | 87 | 87.9¢ | 99.1¢ | $86 | +$9.67 | $0 | |
| Will Dolly Parton rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026? | Yes | 90 | 84.9¢ | 95.1¢ | $86 | +$9.17 | +$1.89 | |
| Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | No | 80 | 86¢ | 91.5¢ | $73 | +$4.40 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? | No | 64 | 93.9¢ | 97.7¢ | $63 | +$2.44 | +$1.79 | |
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 61 | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | $60 | +$0.15 | $0 | |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? | No | 63 | 91.9¢ | 94.5¢ | $60 | +$1.66 | +$6.46 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026? | No | 58 | 99.8¢ | 99.8¢ | $58 | $0 | $0 | |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31? | No | 55 | 93.3¢ | 94¢ | $52 | +$0.37 | −$0.04 | |
| Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 94.9¢ | 94.3¢ | $47 | −$0.32 | $0 | |
| Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 40 | 84.9¢ | 97.3¢ | $39 | +$4.95 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes | 510 | 9¢ | 7.5¢ | $38 | −$7.66 | +$29 | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 40 | 90¢ | 81.5¢ | $33 | −$3.40 | $0 | |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 31 | 96.4¢ | 97.9¢ | $30 | +$0.45 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1,487 | 0.6¢ | 1.8¢ | $27 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | No | 138 | 90.4¢ | 17.2¢ | $24 | −$101 | $0 | |
| Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors? | Yes | 20 | 95.1¢ | 98.4¢ | $20 | +$0.66 | +$3.68 | |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $6B? | No | 21 | 91¢ | 87¢ | $18 | −$0.84 | $0 | |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 15 | 95.1¢ | 96.5¢ | $14 | +$0.21 | $0 | |
| Will Oliver Tree rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings of 2026? | Yes | 20 | 57¢ | 62.5¢ | $13 | +$1.10 | $0 | |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by March 31, 2027? | No | 13 | 87.4¢ | 94.5¢ | $12 | +$0.93 | +$5.70 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 13 | 93¢ | 95.5¢ | $12 | +$0.32 | $0 | |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $7B? | No | 9 | 89.8¢ | 84.2¢ | $7.58 | −$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 25, 2026? | No | 6 | 92¢ | 99.4¢ | $5.96 | +$0.44 | $0 | |
