sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #4,878

McMurphy

0x72b…7eeb
1y+PoliticsOtherSportCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$3,585vol $752k
PnL 30d+$8,044gains $1,780 · losses $3,297
PnL 7d+$5,793win rate 7d 33.3%
Win rate32.9%adj 36.4% · 30d 33.3%
Open value$14.4kcash n/a
Positions21 / 100open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3.0ylast trade 38d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,020below peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

18/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 32.9% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noopen+$7,144Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$1,780Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$910Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-12-03? · Yesclosed+$153Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yesopen+$111

Worst markets

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$2,779Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen−$771Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen−$540Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$518Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen−$391

Open positions · 21

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No15.8k48.8¢89.5¢$14.1k+$6,429+$715
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes40034¢61.5¢$246+$110$0
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes1107¢2.9¢$3.19−$4.51$0
New pandemic in 2026?Yes2011¢4.5¢$0.90−$1.30$0
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes208¢2.8¢$0.55−$1.05$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes1017¢2.9¢$0.29−$1.41+$112
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes107¢1.1¢$0.10−$0.59$0
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes1600.7¢0.1¢$0.08−$1.04$0
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes146k0.5¢0¢$0−$769−$1.60
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes37.7k1.4¢0¢$0−$534−$5.91
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes10.0k0.4¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes8,2362.4¢0¢$0−$201−$190
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes7,7001.8¢0¢$0−$140+$236
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes6,2322.3¢0¢$0−$144−$3.91
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes2,5004¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes1500.7¢0¢$0−$1.05−$3.65
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?Yes1001¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?Yes1000.5¢0¢$0−$0.50$0
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes9121.9¢0¢$0−$20−$0.62
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes103.3¢0¢$0−$0.33$0
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes100.8¢0¢$0−$0.08$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?2.4¢4,232$10033%18
BUY YesWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0.1¢40.0k$4033%18
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?11¢2,008$22033%18
BUY YesWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?21.9¢91$2033%18
BUY YesWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1.5¢6,667$10033%18
BUY YesWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1.5¢3,333$5033%18
BUY YesWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?2.5¢4,236$10533%18
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?28.9¢2,334$67333%18
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?34.3¢2,334$80033%18
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?85¢1,290$1,09633%18
SELL YesWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?2.3¢1,000$2333%18
SELL YesWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?0.1¢1,000$1.0033%18
SELL YesWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?0.7¢111$0.7733%18
SELL YesWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?2.7¢6,881$18533%18
SELL YesWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?6.1¢1,755$10733%18
SELL YesWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1.5¢25.9k$40133%18
BUY YesWill Mirassol FC win on 2026-04-19?43¢45$1933%18
SELL YesWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?5.4¢2,000$10833%18
BUY YesWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?12.8¢389$5033%18
BUY YesWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?12.5¢279$3533%18