sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,731

gambler13

0x731…0299
1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$3,036vol $2.85M
PnL 30d−$20.8kgains $6,848 · losses $211
PnL 7d−$11.5kwin rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate49.1%adj 49.2% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$18.6kcash n/a
Positions38 / 390open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 13h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$15.3kbelow peak −$24.8kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

33/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 49.1% · shrunk toward 50%23
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable86
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 38

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Yes36.5k32.9¢26.5¢$9,676−$2,342−$748
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes114k5.8¢2.3¢$2,615−$4,022−$160
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes35.6k6.6¢4.2¢$1,477−$872−$333
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes12.9k13.5¢9.5¢$1,223−$512−$1,275
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Yes29.1k22.3¢4¢$1,148−$5,345−$457
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes6,78516.3¢14.5¢$984−$120$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Yes1,59661.9¢49¢$782−$206$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Yes6,1548.4¢8¢$492−$25$0
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes2,2387.7¢5.5¢$123−$49$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?Yes1,0421.7¢1.8¢$18+$0.66$0
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes22519¢5¢$11−$31$0
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?Yes2053¢49¢$9.80−$0.80$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027?Yes2,6930.7¢0.2¢$4.04−$16−$0.28
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?Yes3473.3¢0.6¢$2.08−$9.21$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?Yes5221¢0.3¢$1.31−$3.72+$12
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?Yes1570.3¢0.3¢$0.47$0$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?Yes1382.1¢0.3¢$0.41−$2.48$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes17.4k27.7¢0¢$0−$4,819−$3,097
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes10.9k13.8¢0¢$0−$1,500−$1,337
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes9,9993¢0¢$0−$300$0
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Yes3,5203.1¢0¢$0−$107$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Yes2,9882.5¢0¢$0−$73−$52
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?Yes2,3850.7¢0¢$0−$16+$12
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?Yes2,2370.5¢0¢$0−$12−$0.22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Yes1,89010¢0¢$0−$189−$630
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?Yes1,2482.9¢0¢$0−$36−$1.19
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026?Yes83819.4¢0¢$0−$162−$70
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Trump meets with Putin by September 30?Yes4551.5¢0¢$0−$6.78−$124
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?Yes3953.7¢0¢$0−$15−$5.64
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Yes2000.9¢0¢$0−$1.72$0
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes10019.8¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?Yes582.9¢0¢$0−$1.68−$1.07
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No5049¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?Yes450.2¢0¢$0−$0.09$0
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?Yes224.5¢0¢$0−$1.00−$15
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?Yes205¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes520¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.03

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?30¢25$7.4749%33
SELL YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?29¢5$1.4549%33
SELL YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?29¢10$2.9049%33
BUY YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?30¢100$3049%33
BUY YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?25.6¢6,468$1,65549%33
SELL YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?28.1¢6,426$1,80349%33
BUY YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?33.1¢300$9949%33
BUY YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?30.3¢7,578$2,29449%33
SELL YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?5.3¢1,816$9649%33
SELL YesWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?21¢241$5149%33
SELL YesWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?60.1¢1,028$61849%33
SELL YesWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?22¢12$2.7449%33
SELL YesWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?22¢1,049$23149%33
BUY YesWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?67¢1,028$68949%33
BUY YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?18.2¢1,661$30249%33
BUY YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?41.5¢755$31449%33
BUY YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?32.1¢11.8k$3,79549%33
BUY YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?16.4¢1,400$23049%33
BUY YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?14¢111$1549%33
BUY YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?13¢304$4049%33