PnL all-time+$1,727vol $7.43M
PnL 30d+$1,892gains $90 · losses $1.20
PnL 7d+$625win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate81.1%adj 78.4% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$188kcash n/a
Positions11 / 230open / all-time
Max drawdown−62.6%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 7d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$28.9kbelow peak −$261Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
64/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale46
Adjusted win rateraw 81.1% · shrunk toward 50%96
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable79
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d77
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity37
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Noopen+$27.5kWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$2,640Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? · Downclosed+$1,905Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 11? · Noclosed+$1,685Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8? · Upclosed+$973
Worst markets
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Noclosed−$6,000Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? · Upclosed−$2,856Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 10? · Yesclosed−$1,817Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8? · Downclosed−$1,067Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yesopen−$670
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 180k | 81.7¢ | 97.1¢ | $174k | +$27.5k | −$34 | |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 5,000 | 94.5¢ | 94.7¢ | $4,732 | +$5.50 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,000 | 95.5¢ | 97.1¢ | $2,912 | +$46 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,556 | 97.8¢ | 99.3¢ | $2,537 | +$37 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,502 | 97.6¢ | 99¢ | $1,486 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1,000 | 88.6¢ | 97.8¢ | $978 | +$91 | +$216 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 614 | 73.7¢ | 87.5¢ | $537 | +$85 | +$80 | |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 84.0k | 0.9¢ | 0.2¢ | $126 | −$603 | −$67 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 836 | 21.2¢ | 11.5¢ | $96 | −$81 | +$0.82 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 100 | 87¢ | 92.5¢ | $93 | +$5.50 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 64 | 12¢ | 12.5¢ | $8.00 | +$0.32 | −$0.34 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s