PnL all-time+$18.9kvol $542k
PnL 30d+$1,585gains $1,880 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$40win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate93.3%adj 80.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$94.3kcash n/a
Positions11 / 56open / all-time
Max drawdown−29.9%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$20.5kbelow peak −$208Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
60/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale61
Adjusted win rateraw 93.3% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable58
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity70
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
TikTok sale announced in 2025? · Noclosed−$87Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025? · Yesclosed−$25Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yesopen−$14Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026? · Noopen−$7.93Trump deportation executive order in first 100 days? · Yesclosed−$6.59
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 91.1k | 95.8¢ | 97.4¢ | $88.6k | +$1,408 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 2,083 | 96¢ | 97.7¢ | $2,034 | +$34 | +$425 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1,042 | 96¢ | 97.2¢ | $1,012 | +$12 | +$7,634 | |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026? | No | 671 | 94.7¢ | 94¢ | $630 | −$4.83 | $0 | |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026? | No | 527 | 94.9¢ | 97.4¢ | $513 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? | No | 525 | 95.3¢ | 97.4¢ | $511 | +$11 | +$4.83 | |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026? | No | 521 | 96¢ | 94.5¢ | $492 | −$7.93 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 217 | 92¢ | 90.5¢ | $197 | −$3.26 | $0 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 126 | 90.9¢ | 79.5¢ | $100 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | Yes | 81 | 95.4¢ | 91.1¢ | $74 | −$3.40 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 56 | 94¢ | 94.5¢ | $53 | +$0.28 | $0 |
Recent trades
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