Traders/Rank #18,784

0x74f…492c

SportPolitics

Polymarket

PnL all-time−$8,598vol $201k

PnL 30d−$5,704gains $629 · losses $0.90

PnL 7d+$77win rate 7d 100.0%

Win rate51.6%adj 51.5% · 30d 97.5%

Open value$2,427cash n/a

Positions123 / 1,173open / all-time

Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak

Account age8molast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$7,952below peak −$8,067Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

32/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 51.6% · shrunk toward 50%29

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Brazil win on 2026-09-29? · Yesclosed+$94 Republic of Ireland vs. Austria: O/U 0.5 · Overclosed+$69 Korea Republic vs. Uruguay: O/U 0.5 · Overclosed+$61 Denmark vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5 · Overclosed+$57 Greece vs. Netherlands: O/U 0.5 · Overclosed+$48

Worst markets

Korea Republic vs. Venezuela: O/U 0.5 · Overopen−$3,545 Will Korea Republic win on 2026-09-28? · Yesopen−$2,297 Israel vs. Kosovo: O/U 0.5 · Overopen−$566 Will England win on 2026-07-18? · Noopen−$102 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? · Noopen−$102

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
RB Leipzig vs. PSV: O/U 0.5	Over	379	98¢	98.1¢	$372	+$0.38	$0	ended
Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 0.5	Over	300	98.9¢	98.7¢	$296	−$0.60	$0	ended
Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 0.5	Over	300	96.6¢	96.4¢	$289	−$0.60	$0	ended
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 0.5	Over	291	97.6¢	97.6¢	$284	−$0.08	$0	ended
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	200	96.5¢	94.9¢	$190	−$3.30	−$2.14	ended
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?	Yes	37	82¢	87.5¢	$32	+$2.02	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?	Yes	24	84¢	96¢	$23	+$2.86	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?	Yes	23	86¢	96.7¢	$23	+$2.50	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	25	80¢	90.5¢	$22	+$2.61	+$0.18	21d 4h
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	25	81¢	90.6¢	$22	+$2.39	$0	4mo
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat?	No	24	84¢	92.5¢	$22	+$2.04	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-21 House seat?	Yes	23	88¢	96.3¢	$22	+$1.90	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?	No	22	90¢	98.6¢	$22	+$1.91	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-04 House seat?	No	22	90¢	98.1¢	$22	+$1.80	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the LA-05 House seat?	Yes	23	88¢	95.8¢	$22	+$1.78	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat?	No	23	86¢	93.5¢	$22	+$1.75	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the KS-03 House seat?	No	23	88¢	95.5¢	$22	+$1.71	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the FL-17 House seat?	Yes	23	88¢	95.3¢	$22	+$1.66	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?	Yes	22	90¢	97.3¢	$22	+$1.63	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-05 House seat?	No	22	90¢	97.2¢	$22	+$1.60	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-06 House seat?	Yes	22	90¢	95.6¢	$21	+$1.25	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-04 House seat?	No	22	90¢	95.4¢	$21	+$1.20	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the GA-02 House seat?	No	22	90¢	94.6¢	$21	+$1.03	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the LA-04 House seat?	Yes	22	90¢	94.5¢	$21	+$1.01	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-17 House seat?	No	22	90¢	94.5¢	$21	+$1.01	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the FL-19 House seat?	Yes	22	90¢	94.5¢	$21	+$1.01	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the FL-28 House seat?	Yes	22	90¢	94.5¢	$21	+$1.01	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the CA-45 House seat?	No	22	90¢	93¢	$21	+$0.67	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the KS-02 House seat?	Yes	23	88¢	89.5¢	$20	+$0.34	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	24	84¢	83.5¢	$20	−$0.12	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-02 House seat?	Yes	21	78¢	94.5¢	$20	+$3.44	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	23	86¢	81.5¢	$19	−$1.05	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	23	88¢	82¢	$19	−$1.37	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?	No	23	88¢	81.5¢	$19	−$1.49	$0	21d 4h
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	No	15	66¢	77.1¢	$12	+$1.68	$0	3mo
Will the Republican Party win the TX-12 House seat?	Yes	12	82¢	95¢	$12	+$1.59	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-08 House seat?	No	12	86¢	97.5¢	$11	+$1.34	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?	Yes	13	80¢	89.5¢	$11	+$1.19	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat?	Yes	12	85¢	95.5¢	$11	+$1.23	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the SC-04 House seat?	Yes	12	86¢	95.5¢	$11	+$1.11	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-04 House seat?	No	12	86¢	95.5¢	$11	+$1.11	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the TX-04 House seat?	Yes	12	86¢	95¢	$11	+$1.05	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?	No	11	90¢	99.1¢	$11	+$1.01	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-06 House seat?	No	12	83¢	91.4¢	$11	+$1.01	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?	Yes	11	88¢	96.1¢	$11	+$0.92	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-14 House seat?	No	11	88¢	96.6¢	$11	+$0.98	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-04 House seat?	No	11	90¢	97.8¢	$11	+$0.87	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?	Yes	11	88¢	95.5¢	$11	+$0.86	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the NM-03 House seat?	No	11	90¢	97.6¢	$11	+$0.84	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-16 House seat?	No	11	90¢	97.1¢	$11	+$0.79	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?	Yes	12	84¢	90.5¢	$11	+$0.78	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-03 House seat?	Yes	11	90¢	96.9¢	$11	+$0.77	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the TX-22 House seat?	Yes	11	88¢	94.5¢	$11	+$0.74	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat?	Yes	11	90¢	96.4¢	$11	+$0.71	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?	Yes	11	90¢	96.3¢	$11	+$0.70	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?	Yes	12	86¢	93¢	$11	+$0.81	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat?	Yes	11	90¢	96.1¢	$11	+$0.68	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-19 House seat?	No	11	90¢	95.5¢	$11	+$0.61	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the SC-07 House seat?	Yes	11	90¢	95.5¢	$11	+$0.61	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?	No	11	88¢	93.5¢	$11	+$0.62	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the OH-12 House seat?	Yes	11	90¢	95¢	$11	+$0.56	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the TX-08 House seat?	Yes	11	90¢	95¢	$11	+$0.56	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-07 House seat?	No	11	90¢	94.5¢	$11	+$0.50	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?	No	12	84¢	87.3¢	$10	+$0.39	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?	No	11	88¢	90.5¢	$10	+$0.29	$0	21d 4h
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-05 House seat?	No	11	90¢	92.5¢	$10	+$0.28	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat?	Yes	11	90¢	92.5¢	$10	+$0.28	$0	21d 4h
Will the Republican Party win the SC-05 House seat?	Yes	11	90¢	91.5¢	$10	+$0.17	$0	21d 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	6,000	37.5¢	0¢	$0	−$2,250	−$47	ended
Korea Republic vs. Venezuela: O/U 0.5	Over	3,773	93.7¢	0¢	$0	−$3,534	−$11	ended
Israel vs. Kosovo: O/U 0.5	Over	600	94¢	0¢	$0	−$564	−$1.69	ended
ITF Sao Paulo: Carolina Xavier Laydner vs Helena Bueno	Helena Bueno	143	70¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs. Ottawa Redblacks	Ottawa Redblacks	142	70¢	0¢	$0	−$99	$0	ended
ITF Rancho Santa Fe: Alina Shcherbinina vs Jo-Yee Chan	Jo-Yee Chan	142	70¢	0¢	$0	−$99	$0	ended
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	142	70¢	0¢	$0	−$99	$0	ended
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Arantxa Rus vs Chloe Paquet	Chloe Paquet	141	71¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
Set Handicap: Tauson (-1.5) vs Cocciaretto (+1.5)	Tauson	139	72¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
T20 Blast: Kent vs Middlesex	Kent	139	72¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino	Lorenzo Giustino	138	72¢	0¢	$0	−$99	$0	ended
ITF Sao Paulo: Maria Camila Torres Murcia vs Justina Gonzalez Daniele	Maria Camila Torres Murcia	137	73¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
ITF Darmstadt: Mathilde Lollia vs Anouck Vrancken Peeters	Anouck Vrancken Peeters	136	74¢	0¢	$0	−$101	$0	ended
Palermo: Alessandra Mazzola vs Dalila Spiteri	Alessandra Mazzola	136	74¢	0¢	$0	−$101	−$0.11	ended
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	134	74¢	0¢	$0	−$99	$0	ended
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	No	132	76¢	0¢	$0	−$101	−$1.21	ended
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Team Falcons	132	76¢	0¢	$0	−$101	−$0.86	ended
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians	No	132	76¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva	Sara Sorribes Tormo	131	74¢	0¢	$0	−$97	−$0.39	ended
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	131	76¢	0¢	$0	−$99	$0	ended
Major League Cricket: Washington Freedom vs Mi New York	Mi New York	128	78¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	127	78¢	0¢	$0	−$99	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	127	79¢	0¢	$0	−$101	−$1.06	ended
Palermo: Tamara Zidansek vs Alevtina Ibragimova	Tamara Zidansek	127	79¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?	No	127	79¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
Segovia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Miguel Tobon	Miguel Tobon	127	79¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
Winnipeg: Justin Boulais vs Johannus Monday	Justin Boulais	126	79¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
Rome: Danka Kovinic vs Julia Riera	Danka Kovinic	125	80¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?	No	123	81¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 16?	Yes	123	81¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
LoL: UB Alma Mater vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regular Season	FALKE Esports	123	82¢	0¢	$0	−$101	−$0.91	ended
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	123	82¢	0¢	$0	−$101	−$0.41	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
9h ago	BUY Over	FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 0.5	97.6¢	230	$224	52%	32
9h ago	BUY Over	Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 0.5	98.9¢	300	$297	52%	32
9h ago	BUY Over	RB Leipzig vs. PSV: O/U 0.5	98¢	379	$371	52%	32
9h ago	BUY Over	Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 0.5	96.6¢	300	$290	52%	32
9h ago	BUY Over	FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 0.5	97.5¢	61	$60	52%	32
9h ago	SELL Over	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5	94.7¢	100	$95	52%	32
1d ago	BUY Over	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5	96.5¢	150	$145	52%	32
2d ago	BUY Over	SC Freiburg vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 0.5	96¢	230	$221	52%	32
2d ago	BUY Over	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 0.5	95¢	300	$285	52%	32
2d ago	BUY Over	Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 0.5	96.5¢	300	$290	52%	32
2d ago	BUY Over	St. Louis City SC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 0.5	97.4¢	300	$292	52%	32
7d ago	BUY Yes	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-10-06?	98.7¢	67	$66	52%	32
7d ago	BUY Over	Switzerland vs. North Macedonia: O/U 0.5	97.1¢	206	$200	52%	32
7d ago	BUY Over	England vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5	97.8¢	300	$293	52%	32
7d ago	BUY Over	Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 0.5	97.5¢	308	$300	52%	32
8d ago	BUY Over	Romania vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5	96¢	300	$288	52%	32
8d ago	BUY Over	Italy vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5	96.8¢	300	$290	52%	32
9d ago	BUY Over	Wales vs. Denmark: O/U 0.5	94¢	200	$188	52%	32
9d ago	BUY Over	Netherlands vs. Serbia: O/U 0.5	97.9¢	300	$294	52%	32
9d ago	BUY Over	Portugal vs. Norway: O/U 0.5	96.9¢	60	$58	52%	32