sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,308

lenny4878

0x753…e3ad
PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$412vol $127k
PnL 30d+$682gains $94 · losses $22
PnL 7d+$12win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate56.8%adj 56.1% · 30d 57.1%
Open value$39.2kcash n/a
Positions28 / 205open / all-time
Max drawdown−37.4%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,318below peak −$41Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale37
Adjusted win rateraw 56.8% · shrunk toward 50%40
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable77
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity63

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 28

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No27.5k92.5¢97.8¢$26.8k+$1,442$0
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No3,93988.9¢89.5¢$3,525+$25$0
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?No2,06596.8¢97.3¢$2,008+$8.26$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo81386.1¢91.5¢$744+$44$0
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No74793.8¢97.1¢$724+$24$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No66491.9¢97.8¢$649+$39$0
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No67988.3¢87.5¢$594−$5.59$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No58686.3¢95.8¢$561+$56$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No54392¢96.4¢$524+$24$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes83148.2¢61.5¢$511+$111$0
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No51796.8¢97.6¢$504+$4.13$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes50998.3¢98.3¢$500−$0.04$0
US x China Military clash before 2027?No31695¢97.5¢$308+$7.74$0
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?No21692.4¢97.8¢$212+$12$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No22771¢77.8¢$176+$15$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No15963¢93.7¢$149+$49$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No11289¢97.2¢$109+$9.16$0
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No11289¢96.2¢$108+$8.03$0
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?No10694.7¢98.6¢$104+$4.11$0
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?No10892.7¢93.1¢$100+$0.39$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes27055.6¢23.5¢$63−$87$0
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?No5492.9¢99.7¢$54+$3.63$0
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No5296.3¢98.7¢$51+$1.22$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No4941¢45.5¢$22+$2.20$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No1282¢96.6¢$12+$1.77−$4.19
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes774¢99.3¢$6.71+$1.71$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1926.7¢15.5¢$2.89−$2.11$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No1340¢20.5¢$2.56−$2.44$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House92¢217$20057%58
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?89¢337$30057%58
BUY YesWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?98.3¢509$50057%58
SELL NoWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?98.3¢4,150$4,07857%58
BUY NoRussia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?41¢49$2057%58
BUY NoWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?96.2¢312$30057%58
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?86¢116$10057%58
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET32¢16$5.0057%58
BUY NoWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?88¢568$50057%58
SELL YesZhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?17¢45$7.7357%58
BUY SpiritCounter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs80¢25$2057%58
BUY VitalityCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs67¢7$5.0057%58
BUY NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?99.5¢905$90057%58
BUY Team FalconsCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs58¢9$5.0057%58
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?55¢18$1057%58
BUY YesWill Song Yadong win by KO or TKO?8.8¢57$5.0057%58
SELL NoWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?72.1¢700$50557%58
BUY NoWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?96.2¢1,559$1,50057%58
SELL UpBitcoin Up or Down on August 9?92.5¢106$9857%58
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down on August 9?94¢106$10057%58