sharpside
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Traders/Rank #9,097

a5533

0x758…5d9e
SportPoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$8,237vol $30.4M
PnL 30d−$3.90Mgains $22.4k · losses $12.2k
PnL 7d−$254kwin rate 7d 39.9%
Win rate39.9%adj 40.3% · 30d 39.9%
Open value$54.9kcash n/a
Positions2,000 / 91,355open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 25d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$7,413below peak −$26.8kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

22/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 39.9% · shrunk toward 50%1
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d14
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No5,23699.5¢99.6¢$5,212+$2.95−$19.8k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No5,33385¢82.5¢$4,400−$133−$1,888
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No3,91899.8¢99.9¢$3,912+$1.96−$338
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No4,44682.8¢81.5¢$3,623−$56−$18.6k
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo3,47092¢90.5¢$3,140−$51+$0.06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes3,75580.9¢80.5¢$3,023−$16−$27.4k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes2,40897.2¢97.3¢$2,343+$2.41−$9,527
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No2,32669¢69.5¢$1,617+$12−$8,736
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1,71186.2¢86.3¢$1,476+$0.47−$12.3k
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes2,13263¢63.5¢$1,354+$11−$74
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No1,50986¢86.5¢$1,305+$7.55−$24.1k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No1,00795.5¢96.4¢$970+$8.89−$13.6k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No92795¢95.8¢$888+$6.66−$2,691
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No1,04264¢63.5¢$662−$5.21−$1,473
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No1,03559.5¢56.9¢$589−$28−$279
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No55997.8¢98.1¢$548+$1.40−$13.1k
Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?No46499.2¢99.2¢$460−$0.09−$2,112
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes50381¢81.5¢$410+$2.52−$12.7k
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No42793.8¢93¢$398−$3.46−$8,476
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes35797.9¢98.1¢$350+$0.60−$3,433
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No52461.4¢61.5¢$323+$0.62−$1,066
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No28797.1¢98.3¢$282+$3.43−$51.4k
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Envy (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group DHeroic34467¢66.5¢$228−$1.55−$1.18
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No22298.3¢98.4¢$218+$0.11−$27
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No21897.7¢97.7¢$213−$0.11−$110
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?No24978.6¢82.5¢$205+$9.82−$545
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)BNK FEARX34157¢60¢$205+$10$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes82522¢22.2¢$183+$1.52+$567
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsHANJIN BRION34149¢52.5¢$179+$12$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No60729.8¢29.5¢$179−$1.68+$382
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No17399.6¢100¢$173+$0.61−$130
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes24265.9¢65.5¢$158−$0.94−$609
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming22370.1¢69.5¢$155−$1.44−$65
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No15397.2¢97.3¢$149+$0.09−$8,594
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No19575¢75.5¢$147+$0.97−$1,619
LoL: Anubis Gaming vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsSolary16487¢86.5¢$142−$0.76−$18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes16385¢84¢$137−$1.63−$5,663
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes28645.5¢47.8¢$137+$6.52+$603
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 WinnerFURIA21263¢63.5¢$134+$1.06$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No36536¢35.5¢$129−$1.94+$676
Games Total: O/U 3.5Over17371¢73.5¢$127+$4.36−$69
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes12498¢98.5¢$122+$0.53−$1,172
Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs Akave Esports Black (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Americas Last Chance Qualifier Group StageFlyQuest RED17570.5¢69.5¢$122−$1.76−$45
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No15378¢77.5¢$119−$0.74−$880
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No16270.1¢70.5¢$114+$0.60−$835
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under19457.3¢58.5¢$114+$2.40$0
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No11294.5¢96.2¢$108+$1.90−$851
Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)FURIA Esports34131¢30.5¢$104−$1.71$0
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over18156¢57.5¢$104+$2.66$0
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 15?Yes10299.5¢99.3¢$101−$0.25−$102
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 13?No10198.1¢99.3¢$100+$1.21−$96
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 14?No10099.5¢99.7¢$100+$0.20−$147
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 15?Yes10099.2¢99.8¢$100+$0.55$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 15?Yes10099.3¢99.4¢$100+$0.10−$98
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 14?Yes10098.6¢99.2¢$99+$0.55−$49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 15?No10198.3¢98¢$99−$0.33−$469
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 14?No10098.5¢98.8¢$99+$0.25−$196
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 15?No10098.6¢98.8¢$99+$0.20$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 14?No10197¢97.4¢$98+$0.35−$23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 15?Yes9998.2¢98.5¢$98+$0.24−$143
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 16?Yes10096.2¢97¢$97+$0.80$0
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over16755.9¢57.5¢$96+$2.63$0
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on October 16?No9796.8¢96.8¢$94$0−$1.35
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No10090¢93.5¢$94+$3.51−$126
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes71313.7¢13¢$92−$5.35+$6,696
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 15?No10188.9¢90.5¢$91+$1.66−$17
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No9199.6¢99.7¢$91+$0.05−$70
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No9098.2¢99.1¢$89+$0.78−$826
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes45021¢19.5¢$88−$6.92+$117
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No8797.5¢97.6¢$84+$0.04−$0.04
Will the fight be won by submission?No10071¢82.5¢$83+$12−$101
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 14?No8399.4¢99.5¢$82+$0.08−$360
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?No8199.2¢99.7¢$81+$0.36−$1,070
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No8892.2¢91.1¢$80−$0.92−$28
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 13?No7999.8¢99.9¢$79+$0.08−$44
Will Trump say "Healthcare" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?Yes8295.3¢96.3¢$79+$0.82−$21
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 13?No7698.4¢98.1¢$75−$0.27−$692
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 14?No7499.7¢99.9¢$74+$0.11−$171
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?No7794.5¢96¢$74+$1.13−$70
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster13554.7¢54.5¢$73−$0.22−$2.78
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Yes1,1136.9¢6.5¢$72−$4.37+$5,447
Dana White's Contender Series: Aline Pereira vs. Smilla Sundell (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)Smilla Sundell8981.7¢79.5¢$71−$2.00−$19
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 15?Yes7592.2¢94.9¢$71+$1.98−$2.16
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No10067.9¢70¢$70+$2.05−$333
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?No10465.1¢65.6¢$68+$0.51−$367
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 15?No6997.1¢97.9¢$67+$0.52$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 14?No7680.5¢88.5¢$67+$6.06−$6.62
Will Trump say "Fish" or "Fishing" or "Fisherman" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?Yes7188.3¢94¢$67+$4.01−$6.07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 16?Yes6798.5¢98.9¢$66+$0.23$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 15?No6791¢96.9¢$65+$3.91−$14
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsBNK FEARX15335.2¢40.5¢$62+$8.10+$53
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes42414.3¢14.5¢$61+$0.97+$257
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No7970¢76¢$60+$4.73−$48
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No7180.6¢80¢$56−$0.48−$25
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?No7284.6¢78.5¢$56−$4.37−$45
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under9758¢57.5¢$56−$0.48$0
Counter-Strike: Zomblers vs Overtake (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 PlayoffsZomblers15434¢36¢$55+$3.10+$20
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsDawn Bulls10054¢55¢$55+$1.00$0
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes35815.6¢15.4¢$55−$0.84+$959
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No10062¢54.5¢$55−$7.51−$12

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Daniel Negreanu be 1st on the 2026 Money List at the end of the year?0.2¢5$0.0140%22
SELL NoWill Valve release a new Dota 2 hero by December 31?0.1¢10$0.0140%22
SELL YesWill Patrik Antonius be 1st on the 2026 Money List at the end of the year?0.2¢5$0.0140%22
SELL YesWill Montevideo City Torque be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?0.2¢22$0.0440%22
SELL YesWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of September 14 2026?0.1¢49$0.0540%22
SELL YesWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 14 2026?1¢6$0.0640%22
SELL YesExact Score: Nueva Chicago 3 - 3 CA Patronato Parana?0.1¢14$0.0140%22
SELL NoWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 12?0.2¢11$0.0240%22
SELL YesWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 14 2026?1¢20$0.2040%22
SELL YesWill Roma keep the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Serie A?0.1¢45$0.0540%22
SELL Doosan BearsKBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Doosan Bears0.1¢10$0.0140%22
SELL YesWill Montevideo City Torque be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?1¢8$0.0840%22
SELL YesWill Roma keep the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Serie A?1¢5$0.0540%22
SELL YesWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $610 Week of September 14 2026?0.1¢50$0.0540%22
SELL YesWill Opendoor (OPEN) close above $5.50 end of September?0.1¢7$0.0140%22
SELL YesWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of September 14 2026?0.1¢50$0.0540%22
SELL YesWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of September 14 2026?0.1¢46$0.0540%22
SELL YesWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $315 Week of September 14 2026?0.1¢21$0.0240%22
SELL YesWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 14 2026?0.1¢50$0.0540%22
SELL YesWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026?0.1¢36$0.0440%22