PnL all-time−$5,281vol $267k
PnL 30d−$447gains $407 · losses $912
PnL 7d−$554win rate 7d 85.7%
Win rate70.9%adj 70.1% · 30d 89.5%
Open value$1,492cash n/a
Positions4 / 589open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 3h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$4,660below peak −$4,902Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
41/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 70.9% · shrunk toward 50%75
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? · Yesclosed+$308Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$232Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? · Yesclosed+$212Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? · Noclosed+$174Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$161
Worst markets
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 23 above $580? · Yesclosed−$2,022Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,367Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026? · Noclosed−$893Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7? · Noclosed−$864Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? · Noclosed−$573
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 13? | No | 533 | 93.9¢ | 99.3¢ | $529 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 13? | No | 432 | 98.6¢ | 99.9¢ | $431 | +$5.26 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 13? | No | 279 | 97¢ | 100¢ | $279 | +$8.37 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 14? | No | 258 | 98.3¢ | 98.1¢ | $253 | −$0.59 | $0 |
Recent trades
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