PnL all-time+$9,326vol $497k
PnL 30d+$1,761gains $9,487 · losses $4,622
PnL 7d−$2,212win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate60.2%adj 58.7% · 30d 56.5%
Open value$5,604cash n/a
Positions10 / 130open / all-time
Max drawdown−32.6%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 43m ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$9,135below peak −$2,308Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
62/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale57
Adjusted win rateraw 60.2% · shrunk toward 50%47
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable70
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity67
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? · Noclosed+$2,885Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Noclosed+$2,415Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,459NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,422US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? · Yesclosed+$1,386
Worst markets
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Noclosed−$2,554Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,222Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Noclosed−$1,177Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? · Noclosed−$691Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yesclosed−$690
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | No | 2,560 | 75.9¢ | 73¢ | $1,869 | −$73 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,500 | 64¢ | 63.5¢ | $953 | −$7.50 | $0 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 1,124 | 92¢ | 79.5¢ | $894 | −$141 | $0 | |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | No | 729 | 90¢ | 92.5¢ | $674 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | Yes | 1,896 | 23.7¢ | 22.5¢ | $427 | −$23 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,675 | 15.4¢ | 14.5¢ | $388 | −$24 | +$51 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2,000 | 14¢ | 13.5¢ | $270 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | Yes | 139 | 78.7¢ | 77¢ | $107 | −$2.39 | −$1.86 | |
| Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 265 | 9¢ | 8.5¢ | $23 | −$1.37 | $0 | |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | Yes | 19 | 9.9¢ | 5¢ | $0.96 | −$0.94 | −$47 |
Recent trades
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