PnL all-time+$623kvol $67.6M
PnL 30d+$4,754gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$2,432win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate49.4%adj 49.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$196kcash n/a
Positions8 / 508open / all-time
Max drawdown−55.3%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$717kbelow peak −$758kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale83
Adjusted win rateraw 49.4% · shrunk toward 50%23
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity45
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? · Yesclosed+$344kWill Polymarket US go live in 2025? · Noclosed+$138kWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? · Yesclosed+$124kBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Noopen+$102kWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? · Noclosed+$72.3k
Worst markets
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 236k | 49.7¢ | 70.5¢ | $166k | +$49.1k | +$52.7k | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 60.0k | 38.1¢ | 48.4¢ | $29.1k | +$6,219 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4,240 | 24¢ | 3.1¢ | $129 | −$888 | −$195 | |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Yes | 2,438 | 26¢ | 3.7¢ | $90 | −$544 | $0 | |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 23 | 7¢ | 92.5¢ | $21 | +$20 | $0 | |
| SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | No | 2,710 | 18.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$505 | $0 | |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 2,045 | 24.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$495 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE? | Yes | 954 | 3.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$34 | $0 |
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