sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #1,812

plumbis

0x77f…266c
SharpWhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$58.1kvol $3.50M
PnL 30d+$13.9kgains $19.3k · losses $8,921
PnL 7d+$2,815win rate 7d 74.4%
Win rate66.7%adj 64.4% · 30d 71.0%
Open value$358kcash n/a
Positions42 / 174open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.6%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 6h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$65.7kbelow peak −$470Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

71/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale68
Adjusted win rateraw 66.7% · shrunk toward 50%61
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity85

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$19.0kWill Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? · Yesclosed+$10.1kWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · Noclosed+$7,277Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noclosed+$4,829Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yesopen+$4,667

Worst markets

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$2,312Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? · Yesclosed−$1,316Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$1,286Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noclosed−$868Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yesclosed−$733

Open positions · 42

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo252k91.7¢91.5¢$230k−$488+$802
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No50.0k90¢90.5¢$45.3k+$250$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes37.5k88.3¢95.6¢$35.9k+$2,735+$475
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?No13.6k88.7¢95.5¢$12.9k+$926+$268
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No12.7k72.8¢75.5¢$9,595+$337$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes7,68575¢79.5¢$6,110+$346+$4,321
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes5,00071¢71.5¢$3,575+$25$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes6,10758.3¢58¢$3,539−$22+$619
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?No2,03289¢91.5¢$1,860+$51$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes2,00073¢73.5¢$1,470+$10$0
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No3,50030¢37.5¢$1,313+$263$0
Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?Yes1,02370.8¢99.1¢$1,014+$289+$71
Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?Yes80285.9¢95.9¢$769+$80$0
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?No84660¢73¢$618+$110+$28
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes3,9826¢14¢$557+$319$0
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?No1,30019¢26.5¢$344+$97$0
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes1,30019.6¢26.4¢$343+$88$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes20.0k0.5¢1.4¢$270+$170$0
Will the Republican Party win the PA-10 House seat?Yes1,38020.8¢18.5¢$255−$31$0
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.0k2¢2.5¢$245+$45$0
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes16.0k1.3¢1.3¢$200−$7.99$0
Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Yes40753.9¢41¢$167−$52$0
Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?Yes22072¢69.5¢$153−$5.50$0
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?No21073¢71¢$149−$4.20$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5,0002.7¢2.6¢$128−$7.50$0
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes50.0k0.3¢0.3¢$125−$25$0
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes35.4k0.4¢0.4¢$124−$28$0
Will the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?No42591.1¢26¢$110−$277$0
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?No10084.1¢94.5¢$95+$10$0
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5,0001.9¢1.8¢$87−$7.50$0
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,7412.5¢2.9¢$50+$6.09$0
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-01 House Election?Yes4787.3¢95¢$45+$3.67+$4.57
Plague case in US by December 31?No4286¢87.5¢$37+$0.63$0
Will Everton be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Yes1,00010¢3.3¢$33−$67$0
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0280.4¢0.5¢$23+$2.52$0
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,9640.6¢0.7¢$13+$0.98$0
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes3,9940.2¢0.3¢$9.99+$2.00$0
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes1,00023.8¢0.2¢$1.50−$237$0
Will Liz Huston be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes510.4¢0.8¢$0.38+$0.18$0
Will Harrison Fields be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes50.4¢0.5¢$0.02$0$0
Will Sébastien Schneeberger win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?Yes1412.3¢0¢$0−$3.22−$0.13
Will the PLQ win 28-31 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes62¢0¢$0−$0.12$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?78¢154$12067%71Sharp
BUY NoPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?73¢800$58467%71Sharp
BUY NoWill the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?78.7¢147$11667%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Sébastien Schneeberger win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?2.5¢111$2.7767%71Sharp
BUY NoPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?67¢353$23667%71Sharp
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?32¢1,846$59167%71Sharp
SELL NoSupreme Court vacancy in 2026?89¢2,445$2,17667%71Sharp
BUY YesWill PLQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?3¢80$2.4167%71Sharp
BUY YesWill PLQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?2.1¢5$0.1167%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.4¢5,028$2067%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.3¢50.0k$15067%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.5¢10.4k$5267%71Sharp
BUY NoWill Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?90¢50.0k$45.0k67%71WhaleSharp
SELL NoWill the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?90¢0$0.2967%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Sébastien Schneeberger win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?1.5¢30$0.4567%71Sharp
BUY NoEdi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?89¢2,032$1,80967%71Sharp
BUY YesWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?96¢2,172$2,08567%71Sharp
SELL NoPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?78¢1,250$97567%71Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?71¢971$68967%71Sharp
BUY YesWill PLQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?3.3¢66$2.2067%71Sharp