sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,199

Vodka-

0x784…4d91@vodka_5cl
PnL 10k+1y+SportPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$14.0kvol $1.62M
PnL 30d−$86gains $1,905 · losses $258
PnL 7d+$709win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate58.2%adj 57.9% · 30d 83.3%
Open value$10.2kcash n/a
Positions99 / 1,564open / all-time
Max drawdown−11.6%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 6h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$14.8kbelow peak −$458Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale59
Adjusted win rateraw 58.2% · shrunk toward 50%45
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 99

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?No2,11367.6¢74.1¢$1,564+$136−$0.59
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No1,37180.5¢93.7¢$1,285+$181$0
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No1,00089¢95.5¢$955+$65$0
Will VfB Stuttgart qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No82965.9¢69.5¢$576+$30$0
Will Federico Dimarco (Inter) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season?No69065.4¢70¢$483+$32+$46
Will Brentford qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No58171¢76.5¢$444+$32$0
Will Ousmane Dembélé (PSG) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?No50076¢85¢$425+$45$0
Will Aston Villa qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?No50962.6¢80.5¢$410+$91+$7.49
Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?No50076.6¢79.9¢$399+$16$0
Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?No96750¢39.5¢$382−$101+$11
Will Taylor Fritz Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankingsNo60444.7¢60¢$362+$93$0
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No33187¢89.5¢$296+$8.27+$27
Will Euphoria rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?Yes50053¢56.5¢$283+$18$0
Will AC Milan qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?No37959.6¢67.5¢$256+$30+$26
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No23555.2¢90¢$212+$82+$21
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?No36738.7¢56¢$206+$63$0
Will Alex de Minaur Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankingsNo38133.1¢52.5¢$200+$74+$22
Will Manchester City be deducted 0 Premier League points?Yes50612.5¢30.5¢$154+$91$0
Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Yes29057.2¢48.7¢$141−$25$0
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes50025¢20.5¢$103−$23$0
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-10-12?Yes10029¢100¢$100+$71$0
Will Anthony Joshua rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Yes52917.5¢18¢$95+$2.90$0
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?No11836.3¢73.5¢$86+$44$0
Will Manchester City finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No22932.7¢33.7¢$77+$2.22$0
Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?Yes30038¢24.5¢$74−$41$0
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No17646.3¢38.5¢$68−$14$0
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes40038¢16¢$64−$88$0
Will Luis Díaz (Bayern Munich) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?No5054¢93.4¢$47+$20$0
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes50016¢9¢$45−$35$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,8408.1¢2.4¢$43−$107$0
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No6458¢67.5¢$43+$6.05$0
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Yes5009¢8.5¢$43−$2.50$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes7006.5¢5.9¢$42−$3.85$0
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes1,0002.5¢3.1¢$31+$5.94$0
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes1,0002.6¢2.5¢$25−$1.50$0
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes1,0002.6¢2.4¢$24−$2.50$0
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No33918.9¢6.3¢$21−$43$0
Will Italy win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Yes1,0990.6¢1.7¢$18+$12$0
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes45012¢4¢$18−$36$0
Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes2,0000.7¢0.9¢$17+$3.00$0
Will Monaco qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No4029.9¢38.5¢$15+$3.41$0
Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?No1455¢93¢$13+$5.43$0
Will Zcash dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?Yes6758¢19.5¢$13−$26$0
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes1536¢79.5¢$12+$6.51$0
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes1,0000.9¢1¢$9.50+$0.50$0
Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Yes405.3¢17.5¢$7.00+$4.90$0
Will Barcelona be runner-up in the 2026-27 LaLiga?Yes3249.1¢17¢$5.45−$10+$4.07
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes5004.9¢1.1¢$5.25−$19$0
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes1,0002.9¢0.4¢$3.50−$25$0
Will LeBron James be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No365¢99.4¢$3.00+$1.04$0
Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP RankingsYes98318.9¢0.3¢$2.95−$183+$0.84
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?Yes1322¢8¢$1.03−$1.79$0
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes101.6¢0.2¢$0.01−$0.14$0
Will Arthur Rinderknech win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes9,0000.1¢0¢$0−$8.84−$0.16
Will Ronaldo post about Messi by October 7?No6,1950.4¢0¢$0−$27+$11
Will Valentin Vacherot win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes5,0000.1¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes2,4542.6¢0¢$0−$64−$1.86
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 in August?Yes1,9964¢0¢$0−$79−$7.39
Will Alex de Minaur win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes1,4600.2¢0¢$0−$2.92$0
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?No1,0439.8¢0¢$0−$102+$27
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on August 10?Down1,0029.5¢0¢$0−$95$0
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?No60034.5¢0¢$0−$207−$6.65
UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)Wang Cong60023¢0¢$0−$138−$3.46
UFC Fight Night: Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli (Bantamweight, Main Card)Mehemmedeli Osmanli60015.8¢0¢$0−$95$0
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 in August?Yes5085.1¢0¢$0−$26−$2.75
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-12?Yes4915.7¢0¢$0−$28−$0.48
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?Up36110.2¢0¢$0−$37$0
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-09-19?No30028.3¢0¢$0−$85−$0.15
Rennes: Adrian Mannarino vs Dan AddedDan Added30019¢0¢$0−$57−$2.31
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?Yes30022¢0¢$0−$66−$2.57
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis ShapovalovDenis Shapovalov3004.2¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-10-09?No30033¢0¢$0−$99$0
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances TiafoeFrances Tiafoe30030¢0¢$0−$90$0
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes30012¢0¢$0−$36$0
Spread: Frosinone Calcio (-1.5)Como 190730019.7¢0¢$0−$59$0
China Open, Qualification: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Jie CuiJie Cui30019.3¢0¢$0−$58−$0.86
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?Yes30020¢0¢$0−$60$0
Türkiye vs. Italy: Türkiye O/U 1.5Over30014¢0¢$0−$42$0
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $200 in September?Yes30032¢0¢$0−$96$0
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland end in a draw?Yes25015¢0¢$0−$38$0
Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?No24933.9¢0¢$0−$84+$75
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-09-16?Yes2006¢0¢$0−$12$0
China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak DjokovicYunchaokete Bu20050¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28?Yes20036¢0¢$0−$72−$2.30
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-16?Yes20023¢0¢$0−$46$0
Spread: Frosinone Calcio (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina10044.2¢0¢$0−$44$0
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-10-10?No10033¢0¢$0−$33$0
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-08-29?Yes10032¢0¢$0−$32$0
Spread: Frosinone Calcio (-2.5)ACF Fiorentina10042¢0¢$0−$42$0
Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22?No10020¢0¢$0−$20$0
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Terence AtmaneTerence Atmane10012¢0¢$0−$12−$0.53
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-10-09?No10043¢0¢$0−$43$0
UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)JooSang Yoo10025¢0¢$0−$25−$0.94
US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marton FucsovicsMarton Fucsovics10020¢0¢$0−$20−$0.80
China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak DjokovicNuno Borges10032¢0¢$0−$32$0
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon NakashimaRafael Jodar10017¢0¢$0−$17−$0.71
Set Handicap: Rinderknech (-2.5) vs Shimabukuro (+2.5)Rinderknech619¢0¢$0−$1.17$0
Will Daniil Medvedev advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?Yes421¢0¢$0−$0.89+$5.15
Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?No252.6¢0¢$0−$1.29−$199

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-10-12?29¢100$2958%69
BUY NoWill Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?35.5¢210$7458%69
SELL Ketlen SouzaUFC Fight Night: Ketlen Souza vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)85¢225$19158%69
BUY NoWill Federico Dimarco (Inter) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season?66¢20$1358%69
BUY NoWill Federico Dimarco (Inter) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season?62.3¢364$22658%69
SELL YesWill Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?63¢549$34658%69
SELL NoWill Ronaldo post about Messi by October 7?3¢505$1558%69
BUY Holger RuneShanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier48¢200$9658%69
BUY YesWill Manchester City be deducted 0 Premier League points?13¢230$3058%69
BUY NoWill Manchester City finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?32.2¢129$4258%69
BUY YesWill Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?9¢500$4558%69
SELL YesWill Arthur Fils Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings89¢19$1758%69
SELL YesWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?3.1¢387$1258%69
BUY Wang CongUFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)36¢300$10858%69
SELL NoWill Alex de Minaur Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings45¢154$6958%69
BUY NoWill Taylor Fritz Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings47.6¢289$13858%69
SELL Taylor FritzJapan Open Tennis Championships: Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar9¢500$4558%69
BUY Taylor FritzJapan Open Tennis Championships: Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar13¢500$6558%69
SELL Taylor FritzJapan Open Tennis Championships: Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar51¢300$15358%69
BUY Taylor FritzJapan Open Tennis Championships: Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar41¢300$12358%69