sharpside
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Traders/Rank #7,152

expectless

0x78c…4710
WhaleWR 60+SportCryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$687kvol $34.5M
PnL 30d−$1,930gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$468win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate63.5%adj 60.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$156kcash n/a
Positions34 / 114open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 2mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$687kbelow peak −$687kOct 11

SharpScore inputs

20/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 63.5% · shrunk toward 50%52
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable69
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 34

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No154k99.3¢99.7¢$153k+$491−$2,351
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes112k13.6¢2.2¢$2,406−$12.8k$0
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No1,42835.9¢5.3¢$75−$438$0
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Yes1,82415¢2¢$36−$237$0
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,000,0001.9¢0¢$0−$18.8k−$7,386
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes600k20.9¢0¢$0−$126k+$44.0k
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes565k0.2¢0¢$0−$1,131$0
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes444k24.9¢0¢$0−$111k−$1,494
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes364k28.3¢0¢$0−$103k−$2,074
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Yes300k26.6¢0¢$0−$79.9k−$1,758
Trump out as President by March 31?Yes150k0.6¢0¢$0−$902$0
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes150k56.2¢0¢$0−$84.2k−$888
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes109k1.5¢0¢$0−$1,610$0
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?Yes108k42.6¢0¢$0−$46.0k$0
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?Yes100.0k14¢0¢$0−$14.0k$0
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes74.5k4.3¢0¢$0−$3,188$0
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?Yes72.5k72¢0¢$0−$52.2k$0
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes57.0k2.2¢0¢$0−$1,277$0
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes50.0k52¢0¢$0−$26.0k−$296
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes40.2k2.9¢0¢$0−$1,159$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No28.1k8.5¢0¢$0−$2,389$0
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes25.6k6.4¢0¢$0−$1,635$0
Will Tanzania win on 2025-12-30?Yes21.4k13.3¢0¢$0−$2,850$0
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes20.0k16¢0¢$0−$3,200$0
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?No17.2k16.8¢0¢$0−$2,882$0
Will Solana reach $160 in December?Yes14.3k0.9¢0¢$0−$124$0
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes12.2k5.6¢0¢$0−$676$0
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?No11.2k33.3¢0¢$0−$3,721$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes10.5k1.5¢0¢$0−$158$0
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Yes9,99914¢0¢$0−$1,400$0
Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes3,97319.6¢0¢$0−$780$0
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?Yes3,0362.6¢0¢$0−$79$0
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?No1,76126.3¢0¢$0−$464$0
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes30419.8¢0¢$0−$60+$10.3k

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?99.8¢145k$145k64%20Whale
SELL NoWill MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?99.7¢24.7k$24.6k64%20Whale
SELL NoWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?99.8¢250k$250k64%20Whale
BUY NoWill MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?99.8¢170k$170k64%20Whale
BUY YesWill England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?56.2¢50.0k$28.1k64%20Whale
BUY YesWill England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?56.2¢50.0k$28.1k64%20Whale
BUY YesWill England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?56¢20.2k$11.3k64%20Whale
SELL YesWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?32.9¢1,821$59964%20
SELL YesWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?18.5¢20.6k$3,81464%20
SELL NoWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?99.3¢100k$99.3k64%20Whale
BUY YesWill Japan win on 2026-06-29?46¢70.0k$32.2k64%20Whale
BUY YesWill Japan win on 2026-06-29?41¢31.8k$13.0k64%20Whale
SELL NoWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?99.3¢50.0k$49.6k64%20Whale
BUY YesWill Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?31¢59.0k$18.3k64%20Whale
BUY YesWill Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?30¢10.5k$3,15864%20
SELL NoWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?99.3¢50.0k$49.6k64%20Whale
BUY YesWill Japan win on 2026-06-29?19¢40.0k$7,59464%20
BUY YesWill Japan win on 2026-06-29?18¢60.8k$10.9k64%20Whale
BUY YesWill Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?28.9¢173k$50.0k64%20Whale
SELL YesWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1.2¢63.5k$76264%20