PnL all-time−$1,046vol $28.0k
PnL 30d+$413gains $49 · losses $19
PnL 7d−$28win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate95.9%adj 88.1% · 30d 93.9%
Open value$19.7kcash n/a
Positions7 / 113open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 11d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$465below peak −$999Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 95.9% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable68
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d62
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Noopen+$1,003Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Noopen+$492Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Noopen+$9.14Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 23? · Noclosed+$7.13Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Noopen+$6.46
Worst markets
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · Noopen−$1,031Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 6? · Noopen−$50Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 26? · Noclosed−$11Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 22? · Noclosed−$9.70Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 30? · Noopen−$7.98
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 13.6k | 87.9¢ | 95.3¢ | $12.9k | +$1,003 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 6,551 | 90.3¢ | 97.9¢ | $6,410 | +$492 | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 315 | 95.1¢ | 97.2¢ | $306 | +$6.46 | $0 | |
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | No | 101 | 90¢ | 99.1¢ | $100 | +$9.14 | $0 | |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 1,232 | 83.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,031 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 6? | No | 55 | 91¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | −$0.23 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 30? | No | 10 | 79¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.90 | −$0.08 |
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