sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Unranked

0xOTd

0x79a…bb66
WR 60+PoliticsOtherWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$76vol $1.41M
PnL 30d+$314gains $882 · losses $284
PnL 7d−$69win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate68.7%adj 68.0% · 30d 87.8%
Open value$5,494cash n/a
Positions78 / 583open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 6h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$229below peak −$2,868Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

44/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 68.7% · shrunk toward 50%70
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? · Noclosed+$1,301Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? · Noclosed+$666Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$462Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? · Noclosed+$423US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? · Yesclosed+$274

Worst markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,759Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 17? · Yesclosed−$466Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? · Noclosed−$406US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026? · Yesclosed−$313US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · Noclosed−$300

Open positions · 78

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No34575.8¢74.5¢$257−$4.62$0
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes23488.4¢92.9¢$217+$10+$17
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31?No28184.5¢68¢$191−$46$0
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?No20084.6¢93¢$186+$17$0
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No20086¢86.5¢$173+$1.00$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.725T by October 31?No18082.7¢95¢$171+$22$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?No17591.1¢95.9¢$168+$8.40$0
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No17286.6¢88.5¢$152+$3.28+$2.96
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No61718.5¢24.5¢$151+$37$0
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?No15490.1¢92.5¢$142+$3.77$0
Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No15086¢94¢$141+$12$0
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No15088.4¢91.5¢$137+$4.71$0
Will EUR/USD hit 1.22 (High) in 2026?No15489.6¢88¢$135−$2.51$0
Will Meta’s market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026?No14188.5¢95.3¢$134+$9.58$0
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in October?No15091.3¢89.5¢$134−$2.75$0
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?No15093.2¢82.9¢$124−$16$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?No20076¢59¢$118−$34$0
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?Yes13783.1¢82.2¢$113−$1.27+$3.11
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $900 in October?No10090.5¢96.8¢$97+$6.25$0
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $820 in October?No10095.8¢96.6¢$97+$0.84$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?No10068.9¢93.6¢$94+$25+$5.98
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No10077¢93.5¢$94+$17$0
Will NYC have more than 6.25 inches of precipitation in October?No10094¢91¢$91−$3.00$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No10084¢87.5¢$88+$3.50$0
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No11576.2¢75.5¢$87−$0.79$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No10085¢83.5¢$84−$1.50$0
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $9.75B by October 31?No10092¢83.5¢$84−$8.50$0
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No11578¢71¢$82−$8.05$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?No17053¢45¢$77−$14+$0.53
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?No8467.9¢89.5¢$75+$18$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No40011¢18.5¢$74+$30$0
Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?No8785.4¢80¢$70−$4.72$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?No12179¢57.5¢$70−$26$0
Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?No10066.2¢68.5¢$69+$2.30$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No8078¢85.5¢$68+$6.00+$3.00
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8.75B by October 31?No8090.8¢83¢$66−$6.26$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?No7093.5¢94.8¢$66+$0.88$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?No6092¢97¢$58+$3.00$0
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado by October 31?No5790.2¢96.3¢$55+$3.42$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15.5B by October 31?No5196¢97.6¢$50+$0.79$0
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?No5094¢98.2¢$49+$2.10$0
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $750B by October 31?No5096¢98¢$49+$1.00$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by October 31?No5090¢97.1¢$49+$3.55$0
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un by October 31?No5094¢96.3¢$48+$1.15$0
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?No5588.9¢86.5¢$48−$1.32$0
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?No5088¢94.7¢$47+$3.33$0
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?No5095¢92¢$46−$1.50$0
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $142.5B by October 31?No4792¢98¢$46+$2.79$0
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $230 in October?No5079¢90¢$45+$5.50$0
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?No5090¢89.5¢$45−$0.25$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No5088¢85.5¢$43−$1.25+$42
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $207.5B by October 31?No5086¢84.5¢$42−$0.75$0
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $27B by October 31?No5090.7¢83¢$42−$3.87$0
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?No6084¢68.5¢$41−$9.30$0
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?No6080¢67.5¢$41−$7.50$0
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by December 31?No6066.2¢59¢$35−$4.30$0
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $5.25B by October 31?No5589¢62.5¢$34−$15$0
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $137.5B by October 31?No3982¢86.5¢$34+$1.76$0
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No4081¢83.5¢$33+$1.00$0
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?No6038¢52.5¢$32+$8.70$0
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31?No4558¢54¢$24−$1.78$0
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31?No4072¢55¢$22−$6.74$0
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31?No2578¢54.5¢$14−$5.88$0
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Yes20020.9¢6.5¢$13−$29$0
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $23.5B by October 31?No2081¢50¢$10−$6.20$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No1846¢53.5¢$9.46+$1.33$0
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?No796¢98¢$6.57+$0.13$0
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?Yes2947.1¢20¢$5.88−$7.98−$101
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No386¢93.5¢$3.18+$0.26+$40
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes7063¢0.7¢$0.46−$44$0
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $18.5B by September 30?No28641.9¢0¢$0−$120−$2.56
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $9.75B by September 30?No20064.8¢0¢$0−$130−$1.83
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $19.5B by September 30?No19261.7¢0¢$0−$119−$1.76
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 101.50 in September?No15077.6¢0¢$0−$116−$0.90
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20.5B by September 30?No12790.9¢0¢$0−$115−$3.29
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.325T by September 30?No10347.3¢0¢$0−$49−$1.03
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by September 30?No10068¢0¢$0−$68−$0.87
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $10.25B by September 30?No8788.6¢0¢$0−$77−$0.35

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?94.1¢60$5669%44
BUY NoWill NYC have more than 6.25 inches of precipitation in October?93¢50$4769%44
BUY NoTrump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?89.8¢50$4569%44
BUY NoWill Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?66.1¢90$5969%44
BUY NoWill NYC have more than 6.25 inches of precipitation in October?95¢50$4869%44
BUY NoIran full airspace closure by December 31?78¢115$9069%44
BUY NoWill NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?38¢60$2369%44
SELL NoWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?93¢26$2469%44
BUY NoWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?24¢244$5969%44
BUY NoSaudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?90¢50$4569%44
BUY NoWill Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado by October 31?92¢7$6.3969%44
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84¢100$8469%44
BUY NoWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $820 in October?95.9¢30$2969%44
BUY NoWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $820 in October?95.7¢70$6769%44
BUY NoWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in October?90¢50$4569%44
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85¢100$8569%44
BUY NoWill Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?95¢50$4869%44
BUY NoWill Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?86¢150$12969%44
BUY NoWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?91.1¢175$15969%44
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?88¢50$4469%44