PnL all-time−$32vol $48.2k
PnL 30d−$56gains $2,605 · losses $2,616
PnL 7d−$1.94win rate 7d 57.1%
Win rate70.4%adj 61.7% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$425cash n/a
Positions4 / 31open / all-time
Max drawdown−13.3%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 3d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$80below peak −$133Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 70.4% · shrunk toward 50%54
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable50
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d88
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity87
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5? · Noclosed+$1,750Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? · Noclosed+$850Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026? · Noclosed+$302Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship? · Yesclosed+$17Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September? · Noclosed+$15
Worst markets
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5? · Yesclosed−$1,750Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? · Yesclosed−$850Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026? · Yesopen−$378Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$54Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Noclosed−$15
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | 424 | 94.3¢ | 93.9¢ | $398 | −$1.70 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 106 | 66¢ | 15.5¢ | $16 | −$54 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 21 | 56¢ | 48.4¢ | $10 | −$1.62 | $0 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026? | Yes | 755 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$378 | $0 |
Recent trades
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