PnL all-time+$655vol $218k
PnL 30d−$22gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$5.64win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate48.0%adj 48.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$274cash n/a
Positions12 / 226open / all-time
Max drawdown−66.4%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 8mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$461below peak −$725Oct 15
SharpScore inputs
38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale40
Adjusted win rateraw 48.0% · shrunk toward 50%21
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity34
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the 2025–2026 edition of Dick Clark's New Year's Rockin' Eve have between 22.5 million and 25 million viewers? · Yesclosed+$302Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 75k and 100k? · Yesclosed+$283Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025) · Yesclosed+$205Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January? · Noclosed+$150Will Trump say "Russia" or "Russian" during oil executive meetings on Friday? · Yesclosed+$149
Worst markets
Will the 2025–2026 edition of Dick Clark's New Year's Rockin' Eve have between 22.5 million and 25 million viewers? · Noclosed−$214Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026? · Yesopen−$193Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December? · Yesclosed−$145Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$114Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? · Yesopen−$111
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026? | Yes | 472 | 82.1¢ | 41.2¢ | $194 | −$193 | $0 | |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | No | 80 | 53¢ | 79¢ | $63 | +$21 | −$0.40 | |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 80 | 48¢ | 21¢ | $17 | −$22 | −$0.83 |
Recent trades
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