sharpside
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Traders/Rank #523

coali10

0x7bc…8db4
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$394kvol $32.6M
PnL 30d+$9,068gains $65.8k · losses $3,336
PnL 7d+$6,667win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate71.9%adj 69.5% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$84.1kcash n/a
Positions244 / 417open / all-time
Max drawdown−37.2%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 5d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$437kbelow peak −$248kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

70/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale80
Adjusted win rateraw 71.9% · shrunk toward 50%74
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d83
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity63

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes57.1k60¢57.5¢$32.9k−$1,418$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No11.9k60.6¢85.5¢$10.1k+$2,959+$15.9k
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes10.0k29.5¢85.6¢$8,585+$5,620$0
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No6,81947.5¢93.5¢$6,376+$3,135+$38.7k
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No9,67967¢63.5¢$6,146−$339$0
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?No7,37060.5¢71.5¢$5,270+$807+$2,393
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes10.4k58.5¢42.5¢$4,409−$1,661$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No4,38033¢86.5¢$3,788+$2,343$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No5,13929.7¢52.2¢$2,683+$1,159$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes9,96025¢9.5¢$946−$1,544$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes1,6247¢58¢$941+$828$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes4,76236¢19.5¢$929−$786$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No63762.9¢71¢$452+$51$0
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes96.7k0.7¢0.4¢$338−$338$0
US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes6,1645¢2.3¢$139−$169$0
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes2,0055¢3.5¢$69−$31$0
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes4,4631¢0.6¢$27−$18$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes414k5.3¢0¢$0−$21.8k$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes367k11.1¢0¢$0−$40.8k+$420
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes345k9.1¢0¢$0−$31.5k−$9,409
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Yes333k0.2¢0¢$0−$667+$2,268
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes246k16.5¢0¢$0−$40.6k−$0.58
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes212k3¢0¢$0−$6,408+$11.4k
Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?Yes212k0.7¢0¢$0−$1,496−$1.10
Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?Yes212k0.7¢0¢$0−$1,496−$1.12
Will LeBron James play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?Yes212k0.7¢0¢$0−$1,496−$1.14
Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?Yes211k0.7¢0¢$0−$1,495−$0.94
Will LeBron James play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?Yes211k0.7¢0¢$0−$1,495−$1.04
Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?Yes207k0.7¢0¢$0−$1,491−$0.84
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceUnited States206k0.1¢0¢$0−$206−$6.17
Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?Yes204k0.7¢0¢$0−$1,488−$1.48
Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?Yes203k0.7¢0¢$0−$1,487−$0.40
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons200k50¢0¢$0−$100.0k−$2,500
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Liquid200k38¢0¢$0−$76.0k$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes191k2.3¢0¢$0−$4,462−$33
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor191k27.8¢0¢$0−$53.0k$0
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes191k4.3¢0¢$0−$8,151+$119
Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?Yes181k0.8¢0¢$0−$1,465−$0.41
Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?Yes180k0.8¢0¢$0−$1,464−$0.66
Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?Yes177k0.8¢0¢$0−$1,461−$0.65
Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?Yes176k0.8¢0¢$0−$1,460−$0.61
Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?Yes175k0.8¢0¢$0−$1,459−$0.45
Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?Yes175k0.8¢0¢$0−$1,459−$0.52
Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?Yes175k0.8¢0¢$0−$1,459−$0.53
Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?Yes173k0.8¢0¢$0−$1,458−$0.41
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?Yes152k0.9¢0¢$0−$1,436−$0.68
49ers vs. RaidersRaiders150k60¢0¢$0−$90.0k−$1,800
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes145k7.9¢0¢$0−$11.4k$0
Fed rate hike in 2026?No135k37.7¢0¢$0−$50.9k−$190
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?Yes131k1.1¢0¢$0−$1,415−$0.39
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes130k1.4¢0¢$0−$1,763$0
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceBosnia and Herzegovina114k0.1¢0¢$0−$114−$3.42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No113k10.3¢0¢$0−$11.7k+$801
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Yes113k14.7¢0¢$0−$16.6k+$8,001
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Yes112k4.4¢0¢$0−$4,955$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No110k50.2¢0¢$0−$55.3k−$976
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?Yes103k1.4¢0¢$0−$1,447−$3.54
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes100.0k7.1¢0¢$0−$7,100$0
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?Yes98.7k1.7¢0¢$0−$1,727−$15
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shotsNo97.7k64¢0¢$0−$62.5k−$1,112
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes97.6k3.4¢0¢$0−$3,340+$2,505
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?Yes95.1k1.4¢0¢$0−$1,312−$53
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BLynn Vision91.8k6¢0¢$0−$5,491−$256
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No91.2k25.6¢0¢$0−$23.3k−$346
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes90.9k4.8¢0¢$0−$4,405+$16.4k
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Yes83.8k2.5¢0¢$0−$2,087−$16
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes83.7k6.3¢0¢$0−$5,287−$596
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes75.4k22.8¢0¢$0−$17.2k+$18.1k
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Yes74.6k3.5¢0¢$0−$2,644$0
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes74.5k0.3¢0¢$0−$211+$45.1k
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes72.0k8.4¢0¢$0−$6,080$0
Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?Yes70.0k58¢0¢$0−$40.6k−$521
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes69.3k5.2¢0¢$0−$3,608+$4,897
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?Yes68.5k1.9¢0¢$0−$1,296+$76
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No62.2k26¢0¢$0−$16.2k−$272
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes61.1k34.9¢0¢$0−$21.4k−$26
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria60.0k79¢0¢$0−$47.4k$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No54.7k20.6¢0¢$0−$11.3k+$44.6k
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Yes53.2k1.8¢0¢$0−$937$0
O/U 4.5 RoundsUnder53.1k41.9¢0¢$0−$22.3k−$646
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?Yes51.4k2.6¢0¢$0−$1,336−$0.11
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes51.3k0.2¢0¢$0−$121$0
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes50.6k1.5¢0¢$0−$766−$0.03
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes50.6k1.5¢0¢$0−$766−$0.03
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes50.6k1.5¢0¢$0−$766−$0.03
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes50.6k1.5¢0¢$0−$766−$0.03
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes50.6k1.5¢0¢$0−$766−$0.03
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes50.6k1.5¢0¢$0−$766−$0.03
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes50.6k1.5¢0¢$0−$766−$0.03
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes50.6k1.5¢0¢$0−$766−$0.03
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes50.6k1.5¢0¢$0−$766−$0.03
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes50.6k1.5¢0¢$0−$766−$0.03
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes50.6k1.5¢0¢$0−$766−$0.03
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes50.6k1.5¢0¢$0−$766−$0.03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes50.2k0.2¢0¢$0−$100−$40.3k
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsFURIA50.0k56¢0¢$0−$28.0k−$0.06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No50.0k0.8¢0¢$0−$400$0
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceSenegal50.0k34¢0¢$0−$17.0k$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes47.8k3.1¢0¢$0−$1,473$0
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No46.0k7¢0¢$0−$3,218+$5,631

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?2.2¢1,089$2472%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?2¢158$3.2372%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?2.3¢242$5.5772%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?1.9¢7,424$13772%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?2¢22.5k$44072%70Sharp
SELL NoAny of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?68.5¢38.8k$26.6k72%70WhaleSharp
BUY NoAny of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?60.4¢32.5k$19.6k72%70WhaleSharp
BUY NoAny of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?61¢13.6k$8,32072%70Sharp
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?95.8¢20.9k$20.0k72%70WhaleSharp
BUY NoWill Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?38¢967$36772%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?42.7¢700$29972%70Sharp
BUY NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?57¢10$5.7072%70Sharp
BUY NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?57¢20.8k$11.8k72%70WhaleSharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?0.7¢74.2k$51972%70Sharp
SELL NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?45¢18.0k$8,10072%70Sharp
BUY YesKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?3.1¢47.8k$1,47372%70Sharp
BUY YesKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?0.2¢1,226$2.4572%70Sharp
BUY YesWill Ethereum dip to $2,300 in August?8.8¢11.0k$96772%70Sharp
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?11.2¢15.6k$1,74672%70Sharp
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?1.5¢11.2k$16772%70Sharp