sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

fElon

0x7bd…bd75
PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportWeatherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$10.9kvol $3.97M
PnL 30d+$264gains $3,214 · losses $3,092
PnL 7d+$639win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate90.1%adj 88.6% · 30d 76.9%
Open value$14.6kcash n/a
Positions27 / 598open / all-time
Max drawdown−62.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$9,826below peak −$3,770Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58
Adjusted win rateraw 90.1% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable93
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity38

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,981Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Noclosed+$1,111Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yesclosed+$994Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026? · Noclosed+$936Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$633

Worst markets

Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Noclosed−$3,079Will George Russell win the 2025 Canadian GP pole? · Noclosed−$2,711Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yesopen−$2,482Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? · Yesclosed−$2,426Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$2,016

Open positions · 27

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes20.5k28.8¢20.5¢$4,193−$1,706−$776
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes2,78288¢95¢$2,643+$194+$2.14
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No2,02482.4¢83.5¢$1,690+$22+$465
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No3,44049¢27.5¢$946−$739−$75
Will there be at least 4900 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?No78484.1¢94¢$737+$78+$9.32
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,79442.4¢36.5¢$655−$105−$26
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No57290.3¢92.1¢$527+$10+$336
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Yes50873.4¢89¢$452+$79$0
Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes45288.6¢96.5¢$437+$36+$1.56
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes41585.3¢98.1¢$407+$53−$6.66
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No45082¢87.5¢$394+$25$0
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No38978¢94.1¢$366+$62+$137
Will there be at least 4300 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Yes35085.2¢96.9¢$339+$41+$1.94
Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?No39371.7¢76¢$299+$17+$21
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No20092.8¢97.9¢$196+$10$0
Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Yes29550.7¢51¢$151+$0.75+$0.30
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No11062.2¢77.5¢$85+$17$0
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No13132.2¢32¢$42−$0.32$0
Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes4067.5¢88.5¢$35+$8.40$0
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?No1,18129.2¢0¢$0−$344−$3.40
Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?No1,1786¢0¢$0−$71−$2.97
Will there be at least 2750 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?No69559.6¢0¢$0−$414−$137
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?Yes10356.1¢0¢$0−$58−$115
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No6252¢0¢$0−$32−$0.24
Will there be at least 2825 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?No4910.5¢0¢$0−$5.13−$0.18
Will there be at least 2380 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Yes820¢0¢$0−$1.62−$0.04
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?No712¢0¢$0−$0.84+$0.95

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesKash Patel out by December 31?21¢45$9.4590%69
BUY YesKash Patel out by December 31?19.5¢295$5890%69
BUY YesWill there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?94.9¢220$20990%69
BUY NoWill there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?72.4¢184$13390%69
SELL YesWill there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?49¢20$9.8090%69
BUY NoWill there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?34¢5$1.7090%69
BUY NoWill there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?34¢15$5.1090%69
SELL YesKash Patel out by December 31?23¢20$4.6090%69
SELL YesKash Patel out by December 31?22.5¢270$6190%69
SELL YesKash Patel out by December 31?21¢600$12690%69
SELL NoWill there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?34¢40$1490%69
BUY NoWill there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?28¢40$1190%69
SELL NoWill there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?35¢50$1890%69
SELL NoWill there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?76¢155$11890%69
SELL NoWill there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?35¢70$2590%69
SELL NoWill there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?35¢20$7.0090%69
BUY NoWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?82¢84$6990%69
SELL NoWill there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?35¢40$1490%69
SELL NoWill there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?36¢40$1490%69
BUY NoWill there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?35¢354$12490%69