PnL all-time+$248vol $41.4k
PnL 30d+$2.48gains $2,350 · losses $2,350
PnL 7d+$3.62win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate63.6%adj 57.1% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$529cash n/a
Positions4 / 26open / all-time
Max drawdown−3.6%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 7d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$55below peak −$25Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale34
Adjusted win rateraw 63.6% · shrunk toward 50%43
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable47
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d74
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity96
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1? · Yesclosed+$2,350Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Noclosed+$317Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yesclosed+$9.19Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election? · Yesclosed+$8.87Bitcoin above $71,000 on June 14? · Noclosed+$2.66
Worst markets
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1? · Noclosed−$2,350Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesopen−$323Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Noclosed−$22Will Grünen win the most seats in the next German election? · Yesclosed−$20Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$18
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 330 | 98.6¢ | 98.7¢ | $325 | +$0.33 | $0 | |
| Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | 209 | 95.7¢ | 96.7¢ | $202 | +$1.99 | $0 | |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 650 | 50¢ | 0.3¢ | $1.63 | −$323 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30? | Yes | 10 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
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