sharpside
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Traders/Rank #11,860

KingZeManel

0x7bf…7cd6
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+WeatherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$6,464vol $12.6M
PnL 30d−$45gains $2,437 · losses $1,360
PnL 7d+$282win rate 7d 98.2%
Win rate98.2%adj 96.3% · 30d 98.2%
Open value$43.8kcash n/a
Positions100 / 11,595open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$3,194below peak −$13.1kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 98.2% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No25.7k93.2¢97.3¢$25.0k+$1,049+$395
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?No3,25892.9¢92.9¢$3,026−$0.36$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No2,42486.9¢96.6¢$2,341+$234+$127
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?Yes2,12799.9¢100¢$2,127+$2.14$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No1,66995.5¢96.3¢$1,607+$12$0
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 12?Yes1,28799.9¢100¢$1,286+$0.65$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No1,12594.3¢96.8¢$1,089+$28+$6.25
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 12?Yes88599.9¢100¢$884+$0.44$0
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?No74696.5¢97.4¢$726+$6.00$0
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?No63294.4¢96.4¢$609+$13$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No50095.9¢97.9¢$489+$9.75+$21
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?No45590.6¢94.4¢$429+$17+$28
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No44894.5¢95.7¢$429+$5.15$0
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027?No43493.8¢96.2¢$418+$10+$20
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?No44078.5¢90.5¢$398+$53$0
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?No32894.3¢96.3¢$316+$6.41+$2.11
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?No31888.7¢96.2¢$306+$24+$113
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?No29589.8¢97.2¢$286+$22+$41
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?No20094¢97.3¢$195+$6.60+$16
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No20083¢94.5¢$189+$23+$125
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?No18697.2¢97.2¢$181−$0.06$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 12?Yes16799.9¢100¢$166+$0.08$0
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?No17381.7¢87.5¢$151+$9.95$0
Will US annex any territory in 2026?No15696.3¢96.2¢$150−$0.26$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?No15090¢95.5¢$143+$8.25$0
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?No14290¢97.3¢$138+$10+$19
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden before 2027?No13988.9¢96.4¢$134+$10+$4.40
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?No11085¢97.2¢$107+$13$0
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?No10088¢95¢$95+$7.00+$2.00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by October 31?No9091.1¢99.8¢$89+$7.76$0
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No10660.6¢71.5¢$76+$12+$36
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C or higher on October 12?No5999.9¢100¢$59+$0.03$0
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Yes45081¢12.5¢$56−$308$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?No5189.7¢94.6¢$48+$2.48$0
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 12?No2499.9¢100¢$24+$0.01$0
Will Trump's approval rating hit 49% in 2026?No2392.9¢95.5¢$22+$0.59$0
Will Elon register any party before 2027?No1995.8¢95.8¢$18−$0.01$0
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on October 12?No1598¢100¢$15+$0.29$0
Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No32072¢3.9¢$12−$218+$1.94
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Yes10058¢4.9¢$4.90−$53$0
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes515¢62.5¢$3.13+$2.38$0
Will Trump pardon Andrew Tate before 2027?No294¢97.5¢$1.81+$0.06+$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on May 12?No4,83999.8¢0¢$0−$4,828−$0.14
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 17?Yes2,15899.9¢0¢$0−$2,155−$0.10
Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in April?No1,22096.1¢0¢$0−$1,173−$0.24
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?Yes1,11453.3¢0¢$0−$593−$70
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria1,00079.2¢0¢$0−$792$0
Will Trump say "Never Seen Before" during Tribute to America Rally?Yes96871.1¢0¢$0−$688−$2.50
Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his rally in Oklahoma?No76852.7¢0¢$0−$405$0
Will Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation?No59079.6¢0¢$0−$470+$0.46
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?Yes57699.9¢0¢$0−$576−$0.02
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?Yes44565.6¢0¢$0−$292−$8.56
Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 15+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?No40557.2¢0¢$0−$232+$1.00
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?No40599.9¢0¢$0−$404−$0.02
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by July 31, 2026?No38363.9¢0¢$0−$245−$4.42
Will Trump say "Tiger" this week?No30577.9¢0¢$0−$238−$2.10
Will Trump say "Department of War" during remarks at the Pentagon?Yes30071.3¢0¢$0−$214$0
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes30071¢0¢$0−$213$0
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?No30059.3¢0¢$0−$178−$0.22
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?No27123.5¢0¢$0−$64$0
Will Trump say "Veteran" during his remarks in Arlington?Yes23583.9¢0¢$0−$197$0
Will the announcers say "Blood," "Bloody," or "Bloodied" during Benoit Saint-Denis vs Paddy Pimblett?Yes21147¢0¢$0−$99$0
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?No20069¢0¢$0−$138+$9.97
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times at Defense and Innovation Summit?No20071¢0¢$0−$142$0
Will Netanyahu say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?No20077¢0¢$0−$154$0
Will Trump say "Maduro" during Speech to the Nation?No20065¢0¢$0−$130$0
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes20078¢0¢$0−$156$0
Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?No20031.5¢0¢$0−$63+$0.03
Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during remarks at the Pentagon?Yes19044¢0¢$0−$84$0
Will Trump name "Hillary" in April?No18495.9¢0¢$0−$176−$0.29
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 4+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?No15038¢0¢$0−$57$0
Will the announcers say "Blood," "Bloody," or "Bloodied" during McGregor vs Holloway?Yes14645.9¢0¢$0−$67$0
Will Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" in September?Yes13665¢0¢$0−$88−$0.55
Will Trump say "Tariff" during his Science Summit remarks?Yes12755¢0¢$0−$70$0
Will Trump say "Who Are You" this week?No12374.2¢0¢$0−$92−$0.95
Will Trump post "Football" on Truth Social this week?No10989.9¢0¢$0−$98$0
Will Trump say "Ass" during RNC Convention (Night 1)?No10085¢0¢$0−$85$0
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Speech to the Nation?Yes10013¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention (Night 1)?Yes10045¢0¢$0−$45$0
Will Trump say "Handsome" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?Yes10070¢0¢$0−$70$0
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?No10075¢0¢$0−$75$0
Will Trump post "Pope" on Truth Social this week?No10065¢0¢$0−$65$0
Will Melania say "Safe" or "Safer" or "Safety" during her NC remarks?Yes10060¢0¢$0−$60$0
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in September?Yes10077¢0¢$0−$77$0
Will JD Vance say "Illegal Alien" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Yes9775¢0¢$0−$73$0
Will JD Vance say "China" or "Chinese" during RNC Convention?Yes9550¢0¢$0−$47$0
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?Yes8947¢0¢$0−$42$0
Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on August 27?No5097.2¢0¢$0−$49−$0.07
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?Yes5050¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will the announcers say "Armbar" or "Arm Bar" during McGregor vs Holloway?Yes4570¢0¢$0−$32−$11
Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 26°C on September 12?No3692.9¢0¢$0−$33−$0.12
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium?Yes2255¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during Wisconsin events?No2246¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on August 27?Yes1289.5¢0¢$0−$11−$95
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?No1055¢0¢$0−$5.50$0
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C on September 2?Yes597¢0¢$0−$4.85−$0.01
Will the announcers say "Takedown" or "Take down" 5+ times during Benoit Saint-Denis vs Paddy Pimblett?Yes446¢0¢$0−$1.80$0
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?No415.4¢0¢$0−$0.58+$47
Will Trump say "Who Are You" this week?Yes320¢0¢$0−$0.60+$38
Will Trump say "Bunker" in May?No365¢0¢$0−$1.86$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Denver be 49°F or below on October 12?99¢5$4.9598%46
BUY NoWill Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?79.9¢162$13098%46
BUY NoWill Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?99¢11$1198%46
BUY NoWill Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?99.8¢60$6098%46
BUY NoWill Trump say "Vegan" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?99.9¢70$7098%46
BUY YesWill Trump say "Shit" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?99.9¢30$3098%46
BUY NoWill Trump say "Vegan" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?93¢20$1998%46
BUY NoWill Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?90¢11$9.9998%46
BUY YesWill Trump say "Save America Act" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?90¢6$5.8298%46
BUY YesWill Trump say "Save America Act" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?92¢20$1898%46
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 12?99.9¢126$12698%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 12?99.9¢103$10398%46
BUY NoWill Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?97.2¢30$2998%46
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on October 12?98¢5$4.9098%46
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 12?99.9¢209$20998%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 12?99.9¢1,003$1,00298%46
BUY NoWill Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?97.8¢49$4898%46
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on October 12?98¢15$1598%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 12?99.9¢298$29898%46
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 12?99.9¢222$22298%46