sharpside
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Traders/Rank #6,282

0x7c4…f27f

0x7c4…f27f
WR 70+WR 60+CryptoPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,591vol $309k
PnL 30d+$634gains $5,024 · losses $4,714
PnL 7d+$586win rate 7d 96.2%
Win rate70.2%adj 69.4% · 30d 77.6%
Open value$397cash n/a
Positions21 / 2,101open / all-time
Max drawdown−45.7%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 6h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,842below peak −$593Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

66/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale46
Adjusted win rateraw 70.2% · shrunk toward 50%74
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity54

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET · Downclosed+$331Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$246Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11AM ET · Upclosed+$121Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? · Yesclosed+$108Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8PM ET · Upclosed+$98

Worst markets

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3PM ET · Downclosed−$513Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8AM ET · Downclosed−$507Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1AM ET · Downclosed−$506Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3PM ET · Downclosed−$505Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3PM ET · Upclosed−$503

Open positions · 21

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No26038.5¢38.3¢$99−$0.69$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes14171¢59.5¢$84−$16$0
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?No18255¢38.5¢$70−$30$0
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes7750¢6.1¢$47+$47$0
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes25639¢16¢$41−$59$0
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?No6155.4¢33.3¢$20−$14$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No985.9¢83.5¢$7.77−$0.22−$0.03
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No990¢85.5¢$7.60−$0.40$0
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes1266¢58.4¢$7.07−$0.93$0
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No1137.6¢45.5¢$4.85+$0.85$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in Massachusetts by November 30, 2026?No30¢98.2¢$3.23+$3.23$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No451.5¢52.5¢$2.30+$0.04−$0.07
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?No3019.8¢4.8¢$1.46−$4.54$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in New Jersey by November 30, 2026?No10¢94.6¢$1.05+$1.05$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes243.5¢23.7¢$0.54−$0.46$0
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Yes275.2¢0.2¢$0−$1.74−$2.74
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10AM ETDown38977¢0¢$0−$300−$4.82
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ETUp33489.8¢0¢$0−$300−$2.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7AM ETDown32991.1¢0¢$0−$300−$1.87
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2AM ETUp31994.1¢0¢$0−$300−$1.23
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30?Yes1073.7¢0¢$0−$4.00−$0.19

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 9AM ET83.4¢360$30070%66
SELL YesWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?2.6¢99$2.5870%66
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6PM ET94.4¢318$30070%66
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12PM ET88¢341$30070%66
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9AM ET85.5¢351$30070%66
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7AM ET94.8¢317$30070%66
SELL YesWill Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?17¢0$070%66
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12PM ET88.8¢338$30070%66
SELL YesWill Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?15¢0$070%66
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3PM ET94.1¢319$30070%66
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12PM ET93.9¢320$30070%66
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9AM ET94.5¢317$30070%66
SELL YesWill Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?15¢0$070%66
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12PM ET79¢380$30070%66
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9AM ET81.8¢367$30070%66
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8AM ET83.8¢358$30070%66
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7AM ET87.1¢345$30070%66
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4AM ET90.4¢332$30070%66
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1AM ET94.9¢316$30070%66
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12AM ET77.1¢389$30070%66