sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,233

Decayer

0x7d2…a7d1@themojo_
PnL 10k+1y+CryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$39.4kvol $2.14M
PnL 30d−$3,458gains $4,029 · losses $1,422
PnL 7d−$4,383win rate 7d 44.4%
Win rate58.0%adj 57.7% · 30d 55.6%
Open value$12.8kcash n/a
Positions45 / 548open / all-time
Max drawdown−18.0%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 11h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$41.6kbelow peak −$5,306Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale66
Adjusted win rateraw 58.0% · shrunk toward 50%44
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable91
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity82

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Noclosed+$10.4kOpinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Noclosed+$6,086Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Noopen+$3,328MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$3,276Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Noclosed+$2,281

Worst markets

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · Noopen−$11.7kFlying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Noclosed−$2,398Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Noclosed−$1,798Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Noopen−$1,343Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO? · Noclosed−$1,328

Open positions · 45

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?No6,20667.6¢56.6¢$3,513−$682−$23
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?No3,62340.6¢53.5¢$1,938+$467+$110
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?No2,61856.3¢35.5¢$930−$544−$49
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No3,83326.2¢17.5¢$671−$333+$101
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?No1,98724.8¢33.5¢$666+$173+$35
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?No1,14148.5¢52.1¢$594+$41+$122
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?Yes2,8527.5¢17.5¢$499+$286$0
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027?No66345.5¢74.5¢$494+$192+$94
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026?No47974.2¢96¢$460+$105+$0.89
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10?No47481.1¢93.5¢$443+$59+$11
Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch?No50039.5¢85.5¢$428+$230+$5.04
Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?No65333.9¢64¢$418+$196$0
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No51878.9¢72.8¢$377−$32$0
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?Yes3,1278.8¢10.9¢$339+$64+$53
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027?No57258.4¢53.5¢$306−$28$0
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?No31815¢85.5¢$272+$224+$3,103
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?No9,71912.7¢2.1¢$204−$1,026−$316
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50?No19225.7¢61¢$117+$68$0
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2027?No15449¢60.5¢$93+$18$0
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026No10067.8¢81.5¢$81+$14+$132
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by June 30, 2027?No758¢76¢$5.43+$1.29$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No25.1k45.7¢0¢$0−$11.5k−$219
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?No1,48922.4¢0¢$0−$333−$18
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No1,48514.3¢0¢$0−$212+$8.25
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?No1,24325.5¢0¢$0−$317−$47
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No9903.6¢0¢$0−$36−$1.37
Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?No6612.1¢0¢$0−$14−$0.96
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?Yes59258.3¢0¢$0−$345−$5.52
Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?No5254.8¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5109.8¢0¢$0−$50−$2.26
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?No49510.3¢0¢$0−$51−$625
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)Aiemann Zahabi43523¢0¢$0−$100−$2.31
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?No27538¢0¢$0−$104$0
Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 300.0k by May 31?Yes20453.2¢0¢$0−$109+$2.30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No1789¢0¢$0−$16$0
Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2026?No1774.8¢0¢$0−$8.54$0
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?No14837.8¢0¢$0−$56−$5.58
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No14015.7¢0¢$0−$22−$0.74
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?No12630.9¢0¢$0−$39−$1.88
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?Yes11128.2¢0¢$0−$31−$0.90
Will Solstice launch a token by September 30 2026?No1077.7¢0¢$0−$8.22$0
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?No10254.4¢0¢$0−$55−$1.01
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?No9855.3¢0¢$0−$54−$1.69
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 600.0k by May 31?No9061¢0¢$0−$55−$15
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?No683.7¢0¢$0−$2.53$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?56.7¢299$17058%69
SELL NoPredict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?60.7¢735$44758%69
SELL NoPredict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?64.3¢355$22858%69
SELL NoPredict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?32.8¢633$20858%69
SELL NoPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?3.8¢1,000$3858%69
SELL NoBase FDV above $500M one day after launch?53.1¢1,741$92458%69
SELL NoPredict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?50.1¢1,355$67858%69
BUY NoPredict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?30.5¢832$25458%69
BUY NoPredict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?64¢896$57358%69
BUY NoPredict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?36.8¢633$23358%69
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?10¢1,112$11158%69
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?18¢1,112$20058%69
BUY NoBase FDV above $500M one day after launch?52.7¢461$24358%69
SELL NoWill Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?56.2¢125$7058%69
SELL NoArc FDV above $500M one day after launch?33.9¢329$11158%69
SELL NoWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?55.6¢380$21158%69
BUY NoPredict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?63.9¢930$59458%69
BUY NoPredict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?50¢2,046$1,02358%69
SELL NoWill Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?93.6¢2,078$1,94458%69
BUY NoPredict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?29.9¢501$15058%69