| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 6,266 | 42.9¢ | 65.1¢ | $4,082 | +$1,395 | $0 | |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1,218 | 60.3¢ | 82.5¢ | $1,005 | +$271 | $0 | |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Yes | 1,600 | 49.7¢ | 62.5¢ | $1,000 | +$204 | $0 | |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1,039 | 72.8¢ | 83.3¢ | $866 | +$109 | $0 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 872 | 64.9¢ | 71.2¢ | $621 | +$55 | −$198 | |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | No | 525 | 76.9¢ | 77.5¢ | $407 | +$3.16 | $0 | |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? | No | 412 | 90¢ | 93¢ | $383 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | No | 440 | 51.3¢ | 66¢ | $290 | +$65 | $0 | |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | No | 346 | 67.7¢ | 75¢ | $260 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 440 | 54¢ | 50.5¢ | $222 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 270 | 53.8¢ | 60¢ | $162 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 381 | 62.3¢ | 41.5¢ | $158 | −$80 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 862 | 21.4¢ | 17.5¢ | $151 | −$33 | $0 | |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 253 | 49.7¢ | 58.5¢ | $148 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | No | 190 | 54.4¢ | 75¢ | $143 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | Yamal | 273 | 90.3¢ | 49.5¢ | $135 | −$112 | $0 | |
| Will Ronaldo play with Ronaldo Jr. before the end of 2026? | No | 144 | 82¢ | 88¢ | $127 | +$8.63 | +$3.68 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 200 | 60¢ | 63¢ | $126 | +$6.00 | +$2.00 | |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | No | 100 | 40.1¢ | 82.6¢ | $83 | +$42 | $0 | |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? | No | 100 | 59¢ | 69.5¢ | $70 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 84 | 68.3¢ | 40¢ | $34 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 143 | 42¢ | 23.5¢ | $34 | −$26 | $0 | |
| Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? | Yes | 365 | 18.8¢ | 6¢ | $22 | −$47 | $0 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 20 | 62.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $19 | +$6.20 | $0 | |
| Will Novak Djokovic Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? | No | 20 | 55.3¢ | 61.1¢ | $12 | +$1.15 | $0 | |
| Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 600 | 25¢ | 2¢ | $12 | −$138 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | 40.7¢ | 70¢ | $3.50 | +$1.47 | +$18 | |
| Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | 35.4¢ | 28.5¢ | $2.85 | −$0.70 | +$54 | |
| Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Yes | 3,693 | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$107 | −$1.48 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2,402 | 21.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$522 | −$2.10 | |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | Ben Shelton | 1,330 | 17¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$226 | −$4.23 | |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka | Yoshihito Nishioka | 1,172 | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.41 | |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov | Karen Khachanov | 1,149 | 16.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$194 | −$2.31 | |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi | Luciano Darderi | 1,000 | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$29 | −$0.19 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | No | 800 | 31.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$254 | $0 | |
| China Open, Qualification: Mina Hodzic vs Zhuoxuan Bai | Mina Hodzic | 668 | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$22 | −$0.83 | |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaume Munar vs Jaime Faria | Jaime Faria | 600 | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$19 | −$0.53 | |
| China Open, Qualification: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Olivia Nicholls | Olivia Nicholls | 582 | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16 | −$0.19 | |
| Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Krueger | Mitchell Krueger | 561 | 12.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$68 | −$1.08 | |
| W50 Nanao: Sakura Hosogi vs Michika Ozeki | Michika Ozeki | 549 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$39 | −$0.25 | |
| China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Tiphanie Lemaitre | Tiphanie Lemaitre | 490 | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Rinky Hijikata | Rinky Hijikata | 394 | 18.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$74 | −$1.37 | |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Nuno Borges vs Facundo Acosta | Facundo Acosta | 358 | 8.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | −$0.88 | |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | Aryna Sabalenka | 350 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$109 | $0 | |
| Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Yes | 342 | 5.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18 | −$0.21 | |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp | Botic van de Zandschulp | 340 | 7.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$0.24 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | Yes | 333 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | −$2.60 | |
| Jingshan: Omar Jasika vs Chase Ferguson | Chase Ferguson | 314 | 7.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$0.44 | |
| Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz | Lloyd Harris | 313 | 4.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | −$0.23 | |
| Will FC Arouca win on 2026-09-19? | Yes | 300 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.74 | −$0.09 | |
| China Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Maja Chwalinska | Maja Chwalinska | 300 | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.60 | $0 | |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 294 | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.48 | |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Daniel Altmaier | Daniel Altmaier | 277 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$0.64 | |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | Alex de Minaur | 253 | 30¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$76 | −$2.18 | |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 220 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5 | Over | 220 | 46¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$101 | $0 | |
| Phan Thiet 4: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Philip Sekulic | Philip Sekulic | 220 | 10.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$22 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 217 | 23¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Set Handicap: Denis Shapovalov (-1.5) vs Adrian Mannarino (+1.5) | Denis Shapovalov | 211 | 48.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$103 | −$0.71 | |
| US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx | Francisco Cerundolo | 210 | 51.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$108 | −$0.98 | |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | Daniil Medvedev | 207 | 48.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$2.48 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? | Yes | 206 | 48.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026? | Yes | 204 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa | Mary Stoiana | 202 | 13.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27 | −$0.42 | |
| Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02? | Yes | 201 | 16.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$32 | +$76 | |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? | Yes | 200 | 33.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$67 | −$6.05 | |
| US Open ATP: Tristan Schoolkate vs Flavio Cobolli | Tristan Schoolkate | 200 | 13¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$26 | −$0.41 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? | Yes | 200 | 23¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$46 | $0 | |
| Chengdu Open: Vit Kopriva vs Jia Hu | Jia Hu | 200 | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.60 | $0 | |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Kamilla Rakhimova | Kamilla Rakhimova | 200 | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.20 | −$0.05 | |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | Yes | 200 | 18¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$36 | +$18 | |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | LYON | 200 | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.40 | $0 | |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov | Denis Shapovalov | 200 | 8.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17 | −$0.78 | |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli | Flavio Cobolli | 200 | 10.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria | Jaime Faria | 199 | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.47 | |
| China Open: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Linda Fruhvirtova | Zhuoxuan Bai | 197 | 33.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$65 | −$1.21 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | No | 191 | 33¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$63 | −$2.96 | |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz | Matteo Arnaldi | 190 | 13.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$0.60 | |
| Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev | Hugo Gaston | 188 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.69 | |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Kyrian Jacquet vs Rei Sakamoto | Kyrian Jacquet | 180 | 39.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$70 | −$1.95 | |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-09-18? | Yes | 177 | 23¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$41 | −$0.32 | |
| Singapore Open: Elise Mertens vs Maja Chwalinska | Elise Mertens | 175 | 8.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | −$0.24 | |
| Chengdu Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Adrian Mannarino | Alejandro Tabilo | 167 | 37.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$63 | −$1.71 | |
| LoL: 9Gaming vs CyberCore Esports (BO5) - VCS Finals Playoffs | 9Gaming | 164 | 9.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.68 | |
| China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic | Nuno Borges | 160 | 12.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny | Dane Sweeny | 160 | 15.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24 | $0 | |
| China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli | Flavio Cobolli | 159 | 37.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$59 | −$1.09 | |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | Karmine Corp | 151 | 47¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$71 | −$1.39 | |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe | Daniil Medvedev | 150 | 37.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$57 | −$0.24 | |
| China Open, Qualification: Katarzyna Kawa vs Valeria Savinykh | Valeria Savinykh | 150 | 15.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$23 | −$0.40 | |
| China Open: Sinja Kraus vs Nikola Bartunkova | Sinja Kraus | 148 | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.40 | +$7.01 | |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marco Trungelliti vs Rei Sakamoto | Marco Trungelliti | 146 | 17.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$0.99 | |
| Singapore Open: Kristina Mladenovic vs Nao Hibino | Kristina Mladenovic | 142 | 9.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | +$13 | |
| Hangzhou Open: Roman Safiullin vs Yunchaokete Bu | Yunchaokete Bu | 142 | 28.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | −$1.06 | |
| China Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Talia Gibson | Talia Gibson | 141 | 21.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | −$0.64 | |
| Hangzhou Open: Dane Sweeny vs Taro Daniel | Dane Sweeny | 134 | 28.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$38 | −$0.53 | |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | Adolfo Vallejo | 133 | 25.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$34 | −$0.88 | |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Michael Zheng vs Nicolas Mejia | Michael Zheng | 133 | 31.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$42 | −$1.06 | |
| China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo | Francisco Cerundolo | 133 | 11.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.67 | |
| China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic | Yunchaokete Bu | 129 | 34.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$44 | −$0.66 | |