| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 520 | 75¢ | 87.5¢ | $455 | +$65 | +$36 | |
| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? | Yes | 378 | 64.8¢ | 91.1¢ | $345 | +$99 | $0 | |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | Yes | 313 | 90.2¢ | 86.6¢ | $271 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 319 | 54.8¢ | 80.5¢ | $257 | +$82 | +$108 | |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 257 | 79.4¢ | 84¢ | $216 | +$12 | +$47 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | No | 188 | 87.6¢ | 89.5¢ | $168 | +$3.58 | −$19 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 212 | 59.7¢ | 69.5¢ | $148 | +$21 | +$118 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | No | 180 | 81.2¢ | 79.5¢ | $143 | −$3.11 | +$8.86 | |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 260 | 47.3¢ | 54.5¢ | $142 | +$19 | +$5.11 | |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 135 | 39.4¢ | 95.1¢ | $129 | +$75 | +$23 | |
| Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? | No | 126 | 91.6¢ | 91.6¢ | $115 | −$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? | Yes | 120 | 61¢ | 86.5¢ | $104 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | No | 115 | 73.2¢ | 88.5¢ | $102 | +$18 | +$8.90 | |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | Yes | 113 | 67.8¢ | 89.6¢ | $101 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 148 | 47.7¢ | 64.5¢ | $96 | +$25 | +$59 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 160 | 59.7¢ | 58.5¢ | $94 | −$2.00 | +$72 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? | No | 109 | 47.9¢ | 84.1¢ | $92 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Will KT Rolster win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026? | No | 146 | 45.3¢ | 55.5¢ | $81 | +$15 | +$73 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 79°F or below on July 25? | No | 80 | 80.5¢ | 100¢ | $80 | +$16 | −$13 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other | No | 80 | 97.6¢ | 99.8¢ | $80 | +$1.76 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 80 | 93.8¢ | 99.6¢ | $80 | +$4.64 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026? | No | 80 | 94.7¢ | 98.2¢ | $79 | +$2.84 | $0 | |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? | No | 80 | 93.8¢ | 97.9¢ | $78 | +$3.27 | −$1.06 | |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 80 | 93.6¢ | 96.4¢ | $77 | +$2.24 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | No | 80 | 92.8¢ | 95.7¢ | $77 | +$2.30 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | No | 157 | 60.2¢ | 48.5¢ | $76 | −$18 | +$19 | |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 80 | 91.5¢ | 94.8¢ | $76 | +$2.66 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026? | No | 80 | 91.6¢ | 93.7¢ | $75 | +$1.64 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be 900,000 or more? | No | 80 | 95.8¢ | 93.5¢ | $75 | −$1.84 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 13? | No | 74 | 72.6¢ | 99.9¢ | $73 | +$20 | +$0.22 | |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | No | 102 | 73.6¢ | 69.5¢ | $71 | −$4.21 | +$33 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | No | 79 | 87.9¢ | 89.5¢ | $71 | +$1.29 | $0 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 131 | 34.3¢ | 53.5¢ | $70 | +$25 | +$96 | |
| Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? | No | 80 | 89.5¢ | 87.5¢ | $70 | −$1.59 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | Yes | 160 | 11.1¢ | 43.5¢ | $70 | +$52 | +$92 | |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? | No | 84 | 86.4¢ | 82.5¢ | $69 | −$3.26 | −$0.02 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 100 | 46.2¢ | 68.5¢ | $69 | +$22 | +$18 | |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | No | 80 | 95.8¢ | 82.7¢ | $66 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 155 | 35¢ | 42¢ | $65 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 80 | 77.5¢ | 79.5¢ | $64 | +$1.60 | +$11 | |
| Will Michigan be the closest Senate race in 2026? | No | 72 | 95.4¢ | 87.7¢ | $63 | −$5.49 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13? | No | 76 | 74.5¢ | 82¢ | $62 | +$5.67 | +$12 | |
| Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | No | 62 | 92.5¢ | 98.6¢ | $61 | +$3.77 | $0 | |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | No | 280 | 38.6¢ | 21.5¢ | $60 | −$48 | $0 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%? | No | 65 | 93.3¢ | 91.2¢ | $59 | −$1.39 | −$0.19 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13? | Yes | 59 | 9.1¢ | 100¢ | $59 | +$54 | $0 | |
| Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | No | 72 | 80.5¢ | 80.5¢ | $58 | +$0.01 | −$0.19 | |
| Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | No | 57 | 93¢ | 99.4¢ | $57 | +$3.65 | +$1.17 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on October 13? | No | 73 | 70.3¢ | 76¢ | $56 | +$4.19 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12? | Yes | 55 | 9.1¢ | 100¢ | $55 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 13? | Yes | 55 | 9.1¢ | 99.7¢ | $55 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | No | 120 | 45.8¢ | 45.5¢ | $55 | −$0.40 | +$33 | |
| Will Nelly Dever win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? | No | 80 | 90.6¢ | 68¢ | $54 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 296 | 14.6¢ | 17.8¢ | $53 | +$9.58 | +$3.78 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 14? | No | 59 | 88.5¢ | 88.5¢ | $52 | −$0.01 | +$0.38 | |
| Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | No | 82 | 57¢ | 62.5¢ | $51 | +$4.56 | +$64 | |
| Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland? | No | 160 | 38.5¢ | 32¢ | $51 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 484 | 11.4¢ | 10.5¢ | $51 | −$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 207 | 3.8¢ | 24.5¢ | $51 | +$43 | +$4.62 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 60 | 81.7¢ | 83.8¢ | $50 | +$1.22 | −$6.37 | |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 41.5 and 43 million views on day 3? | No | 50 | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | $50 | +$2.21 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 68 | 57.6¢ | 73.5¢ | $50 | +$11 | +$8.84 | |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | No | 193 | 29.2¢ | 25¢ | $48 | −$8.20 | +$12 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 13? | No | 48 | 68.8¢ | 100¢ | $47 | +$15 | +$3.07 | |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 13? | Yes | 78 | 9.1¢ | 59¢ | $46 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 14? | No | 59 | 79.6¢ | 77¢ | $46 | −$1.54 | +$6.99 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 120 | 32¢ | 37.5¢ | $45 | +$6.60 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 14? | No | 53 | 77.4¢ | 82¢ | $44 | +$2.47 | $0 | |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in September? | No | 44 | 95.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $43 | +$1.82 | −$4.61 | |
| Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m? | No | 60 | 80.7¢ | 69.5¢ | $42 | −$6.70 | $0 | |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 90 | 3.2¢ | 45.5¢ | $41 | +$38 | +$28 | |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 65 | 53.1¢ | 61.5¢ | $40 | +$5.44 | $0 | |
| Will Leandro Grass win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election? | No | 40 | 90.7¢ | 98.7¢ | $39 | +$3.20 | $0 | |
| Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election? | No | 40 | 67¢ | 98.7¢ | $39 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? | No | 48 | 52.1¢ | 82.5¢ | $39 | +$14 | +$18 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 14? | Yes | 66 | 9.1¢ | 59.5¢ | $39 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 40 | 93.9¢ | 95.3¢ | $38 | +$0.56 | $0 | |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | Yes | 280 | 38.4¢ | 13.5¢ | $38 | −$70 | +$1.00 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be 7,000,000 or more? | No | 40 | 93.4¢ | 94.5¢ | $38 | +$0.42 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 13? | Yes | 37 | 9.1¢ | 100¢ | $37 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | Yes | 433 | 11.1¢ | 8.5¢ | $37 | −$11 | +$49 | |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | Yes | 40 | 81¢ | 91.5¢ | $37 | +$4.20 | $0 | |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? | Yes | 72 | 14.3¢ | 50.5¢ | $36 | +$26 | +$2.80 | |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 40 | 92¢ | 90.5¢ | $36 | −$0.60 | −$32 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 40 | 3.8¢ | 89.1¢ | $36 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Will UK annual inflation be between 2.8% and 3% in September? | No | 40 | 89.3¢ | 88.6¢ | $35 | −$0.28 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | No | 40 | 85¢ | 88.5¢ | $35 | +$1.40 | $0 | |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | No | 45 | 56.6¢ | 78.5¢ | $35 | +$9.80 | +$33 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on October 13? | No | 46 | 57.3¢ | 76.5¢ | $35 | +$8.83 | $0 | |
| Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026? | No | 40 | 83.2¢ | 87.7¢ | $35 | +$1.80 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 81 | 42.2¢ | 42.5¢ | $34 | +$0.26 | +$21 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 55%-60%? | No | 40 | 86.5¢ | 85.5¢ | $34 | −$0.40 | $0 | |
| Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? | No | 80 | 55.5¢ | 42.5¢ | $34 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 13? | No | 49 | 72.2¢ | 68.5¢ | $34 | −$1.83 | +$2.56 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-02 House election by 6%-9%? | No | 40 | 84¢ | 84.1¢ | $34 | +$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 40 | 80.5¢ | 83.5¢ | $33 | +$1.20 | +$4.16 | |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | No | 40 | 66¢ | 83.5¢ | $33 | +$7.00 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 12? | Yes | 33 | 9.1¢ | 100¢ | $33 | +$30 | +$2.09 | |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? | Yes | 73 | 35.4¢ | 45¢ | $33 | +$7.07 | $0 | |
| Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026? | No | 40 | 82.4¢ | 81.9¢ | $33 | −$0.20 | $0 | |