sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,752

breakingcute

0x7df…1f35@shawnli1874
1y+PoliticsOtherCultureCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$3,547vol $716k
PnL 30d−$2,722gains $687 · losses $2,980
PnL 7d−$1,677win rate 7d 33.3%
Win rate45.0%adj 45.2% · 30d 37.8%
Open value$22.4kcash n/a
Positions48 / 669open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 17h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

62/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale51
Adjusted win rateraw 45.0% · shrunk toward 50%13
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable94
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 48

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No5,50278.7¢82.5¢$4,539+$208$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo3,00791.7¢94.5¢$2,842+$85$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No2,50386.8¢93.5¢$2,340+$169$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes2,50084.4¢93.5¢$2,338+$228$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,00067.2¢98.2¢$982+$310$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1,00082.3¢85.4¢$854+$31$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No1,00074.9¢83.5¢$835+$86$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes1,00068.4¢71.5¢$715+$31$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes1,50049.6¢40.6¢$608−$136$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No70473.9¢70.5¢$496−$24$0
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?No50074.8¢95.2¢$476+$102$0
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No61288.8¢77.4¢$473−$69−$52
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes60373.7¢77.5¢$467+$23$0
No one announced as next James Bond?No60078.1¢77.5¢$465−$3.80$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?No50082.4¢85¢$425+$13$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No50066.4¢76.5¢$383+$50+$59
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes50084.2¢72¢$360−$61$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes50059.6¢71.5¢$357+$60$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes60059.3¢37¢$222−$134$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes30465¢72.5¢$221+$23$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes30079¢70.5¢$212−$26$0
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes40043.1¢46.8¢$187+$14$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No20080¢91.5¢$183+$23$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes1,00032.9¢16.5¢$165−$164+$51
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No20064¢71.5¢$143+$15$0
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?No20058.6¢67.8¢$136+$18$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes30041¢44¢$132+$9.00$0
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?No20044¢48¢$96+$8.00$0
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes30029.7¢31.5¢$94+$5.50$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes20045.6¢45.5¢$91−$0.22−$13
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes10054¢70.5¢$71+$17$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes2,00013¢3.3¢$65−$195−$57
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes50024.2¢12.5¢$63−$59$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No7060¢77.5¢$55+$12$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes50036.8¢10.5¢$52−$131$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Yes10029¢46.5¢$47+$18$0
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes30631¢13.5¢$41−$54$0
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes10036¢35.5¢$36−$0.50$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes30014¢11.5¢$35−$7.50$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes37137.3¢7.5¢$28−$111$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes20022¢12.5¢$25−$19$0
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes10035¢17.5¢$18−$18$0
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes10316¢13.5¢$14−$2.56$0
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Yes701.9¢13.5¢$9.43+$8.06$0
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-05 House seat?Yes3004¢1.6¢$4.80−$7.20$0
Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Yes1523¢23¢$3.37$0$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes40011.7¢0.8¢$3.20−$44$0
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Yes2009¢1.4¢$2.80−$15$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House69¢179$12345%62
SELL NoBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?77¢500$38545%62
SELL NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?55¢500$27545%62
BUY NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?73¢200$14645%62
SELL NoWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?75.8¢400$30345%62
SELL NoIran leadership change by October 31?99.3¢21$2145%62
SELL YesWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?95.9¢100$9645%62
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?99.3¢300$29845%62
SELL NoWill GameStop acquire eBay?94¢350$32945%62
SELL NoWill Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?0.5¢300$1.5345%62
SELL NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?9.1¢600$5545%62
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?9.2¢600$5545%62
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House67¢300$20145%62
SELL YesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?15.1¢135$2045%62
SELL YesClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?4¢1,000$4045%62
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?13¢100$1345%62
SELL YesNext Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?22.5¢207$4745%62
SELL YesWill Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?56.2¢234$13245%62
SELL YesWill Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?5.1¢150$7.6445%62
SELL YesWill Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?71¢213$15145%62