sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,740

buoys

0x7e3…1a6c@PolyBuoys
WhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$81.6kvol $4.99M
PnL 30d+$4,575gains $22.0k · losses $12.2k
PnL 7d+$2,711win rate 7d 48.3%
Win rate45.5%adj 45.7% · 30d 55.1%
Open value$105kcash n/a
Positions252 / 2,118open / all-time
Max drawdown−33.0%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$95.7kbelow peak −$12.4kOct 11

SharpScore inputs

60/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70
Adjusted win rateraw 45.5% · shrunk toward 50%14
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity67

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?Yes11.5k60¢78.5¢$9,044+$2,126+$485
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Yes15.0k35.9¢47.5¢$7,131+$1,736+$117
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes16.8k48.5¢42.2¢$7,079−$1,072−$188
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes27.4k9.8¢15.1¢$4,121+$1,435$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes10.4k35.2¢38.9¢$4,045+$377−$41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes12.7k30.4¢25.5¢$3,248−$630−$8.19
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes10.4k22.8¢24.5¢$2,555+$173+$281
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes3,93444¢62¢$2,437+$706$0
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes4,15849.2¢54.8¢$2,277+$231$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Yes7,58732.3¢27.5¢$2,086−$363$0
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2,18240¢87.5¢$1,909+$1,037+$249
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?No2,52645.1¢75.5¢$1,907+$767$0
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes3,26638.6¢57.5¢$1,876+$615+$162
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Yes1,93851.8¢89.5¢$1,734+$731+$462
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No2,56543¢62.5¢$1,603+$499$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No2,94641.8¢50.5¢$1,488+$256−$12
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?Yes1,72581.3¢82.5¢$1,423+$22+$512
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No1,81070¢76¢$1,375+$108$0
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Yes1,78264.8¢71.5¢$1,274+$120+$1,033
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes2,65539.9¢44.5¢$1,181+$122$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No1,10655.5¢72.5¢$802+$189−$125
Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes1,94320.2¢40.5¢$787+$395$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes13.9k4.9¢5.1¢$709+$27$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No1,21273.8¢58.5¢$709−$185+$14
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes1,12958.9¢62.5¢$705+$41$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes6,9187.4¢10.2¢$702+$192$0
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Yes2,41629.4¢29¢$701−$9.83$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes94655.5¢73.5¢$695+$170−$90
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Yes77872¢88.5¢$688+$128$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No1,00070¢68.5¢$685−$15$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes1,10050.2¢61.5¢$677+$125$0
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?No1,22963.3¢55¢$676−$102$0
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?No72070.8¢93.7¢$674+$164+$37
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes1,60432.8¢41.5¢$666+$140+$5.45
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?No75672.1¢86¢$650+$105$0
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?Yes1,26451.4¢51¢$645−$4.68$0
Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?Yes97955.3¢65.5¢$641+$100$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes2,36232.7¢26.5¢$626−$147$0
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No1,62029.7¢38.5¢$624+$142$0
Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Yes79970.5¢75.5¢$604+$40+$111
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes1,13245.7¢52.5¢$594+$76$0
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes2,05423.4¢28.5¢$585+$105$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes2,72024.1¢21.5¢$585−$72$0
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Yes2,7149¢21.5¢$583+$339$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes93553.9¢61.5¢$575+$71$0
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?Yes4,88224.6¢11.8¢$574−$629−$45
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No88960.1¢60.5¢$538+$3.23$0
Will Alexi Giannoulias win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?Yes79154.3¢66.5¢$526+$96$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?No59669.3¢87.5¢$522+$108$0
Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?No58876.6¢87.5¢$514+$64$0
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?No62677.9¢80.5¢$504+$16$0
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Yes2,52546¢19.6¢$494−$667−$323
Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Yes64757¢75.5¢$488+$120+$638
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes83740.5¢55.5¢$465+$126+$3.32
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?No69257.4¢67¢$463+$66$0
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes23.6k1.4¢2¢$459+$121$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?No64946¢64.5¢$419+$120$0
Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes1,10829.2¢37.5¢$415+$92$0
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?Yes62371.3¢63.5¢$395−$48$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Yes49177.5¢80.5¢$395+$15$0
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes8,5607.4¢4.5¢$385−$251+$24
Will John Cornyn not endorse anyone in the Texas Senate Election?Yes45775.9¢83.5¢$381+$35$0
Will Democrats win young men in the midterms?Yes44669¢84.5¢$377+$69$0
Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No56849.9¢65.5¢$372+$89−$32
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? No94963.3¢39¢$370−$230$0
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes38.6k1.3¢1¢$367−$130−$11
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?Yes60362.3¢60.5¢$365−$11−$22
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes1,14317.9¢31.5¢$360+$156$0
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?Yes93523.1¢36.5¢$341+$126$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No80841.7¢41.5¢$335−$1.56$0
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes2,10513.7¢15.4¢$323+$35$0
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes40073¢80.5¢$322+$30$0
Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Yes64526.1¢49.5¢$319+$151$0
Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?No45031¢70.5¢$317+$178$0
Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No61846.6¢49¢$303+$15$0
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes50059.6¢60.5¢$302+$4.50$0
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?No36767¢82¢$301+$55+$37
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No77860.5¢38.5¢$300−$171−$11
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes70040¢42.5¢$297+$18$0
Dua Lipa pregnant in 2026?No34868.5¢85¢$295+$57+$59
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes1,43317.3¢20.5¢$294+$45$0
Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Yes48840.7¢60¢$293+$94$0
Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2027?No62746¢46.5¢$291+$3.44+$11
Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?Yes39475.7¢73.5¢$289−$8.78$0
Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government?Yes56526¢51¢$288+$141$0
Will more than 650,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?No28479.5¢98.7¢$280+$54+$138
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Yes27971¢99.6¢$277+$80$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes40047¢68¢$272+$84$0
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes34356.2¢78.5¢$269+$76$0
Will Assimi Goïta be out as President of Mali by June 30, 2027?No35948.2¢74¢$266+$93$0
Will Elizabeth Roy win the 2026 Whitby mayoral election?Yes33470.5¢79¢$264+$28$0
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?Yes73559.1¢35.5¢$261−$174−$59
Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027?No30575.4¢82.5¢$252+$21$0
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes1,05330.2¢23.5¢$248−$70$0
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?Yes26670.4¢93¢$247+$60$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes42164.8¢58.5¢$246−$27−$12
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Yes2,23614.6¢11¢$246−$81$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes50057.2¢49.2¢$246−$40+$59
Will Pedro Pascal be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes1,24129.3¢19.8¢$246−$118$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes30078¢81.5¢$245+$11+$293

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill no listed leader be out before 2027?41.9¢5,159$2,16046%60
SELL YesWill Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?91.1¢1,014$92446%60
SELL YesWill "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?78¢7$5.6546%60
SELL YesWill "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?79.4¢1,220$96946%60
SELL YesWill Bryan Paterson win the 2026 Kingston mayoral election?96¢187$18046%60
SELL NoWill Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?93.7¢192$18046%60
SELL NoLula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?98.6¢197$19546%60
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?29¢772$22446%60
SELL YesWill "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?80¢400$32046%60
BUY YesWill Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?82¢437$35946%60
BUY NoWill there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?27¢73$2046%60
BUY NoWill Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027?75.5¢305$23046%60
BUY NoEritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?57.4¢692$39746%60
BUY NoWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?51¢100$5146%60
BUY YesWill Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?70.2¢200$14046%60
BUY YesWill Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?8¢132$1146%60
BUY YesWill Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?37¢116$4346%60
BUY NoCarles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?12.7¢455$5846%60
BUY YesWill Gord Krantz win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?54.6¢328$17946%60
BUY YesWill Sameera Ali win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?20¢176$3546%60