PnL all-time−$234vol $54.7k
PnL 30d+$14gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$5.46win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate47.6%adj 48.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$595cash n/a
Positions10 / 94open / all-time
Max drawdown−32.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 9mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$35below peak −$84Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 47.6% · shrunk toward 50%21
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity68
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$274Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026? · Noclosed+$76Will Jensen Huang say "Lidar" during NVIDIA keynote? · Noclosed+$64Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026? · Noclosed+$46Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026) · Yesclosed+$43
Worst markets
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season? · Yesopen−$254Will 60 to 89 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026? · Yesclosed−$117Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100? · Yesopen−$83Will Jennifer Lawrence be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yesopen−$80Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on January 2, 2026? · Yesclosed−$41
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 425 | 26¢ | 90.5¢ | $385 | +$274 | $0 | |
| Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100? | Yes | 198 | 90¢ | 48¢ | $95 | −$83 | $0 | |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B? | No | 87 | 71¢ | 93.9¢ | $82 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? | No | 21 | 93¢ | 100¢ | $21 | +$1.47 | $0 | |
| Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026? | Yes | 53 | 56¢ | 10¢ | $5.30 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B? | No | 5 | 62¢ | 94.7¢ | $4.73 | +$1.63 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | No | 3 | 43¢ | 97.3¢ | $2.92 | +$1.63 | +$3.91 | |
| Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season? | Yes | 747 | 34¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$254 | $0 | |
| Will Jennifer Lawrence be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 730 | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$80 | $0 | |
| Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election? | No | 1 | 71¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.79 | −$15 |
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