sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #4,670

Gaditima

0x7e5…7b8b
WhaleSportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$477kvol $26.7M
PnL 30d−$461kgains $50.9k · losses $30.4k
PnL 7d−$9,076win rate 7d 53.1%
Win rate53.1%adj 53.0% · 30d 53.1%
Open value$122kcash n/a
Positions799 / 16,386open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 13m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$408kbelow peak −$422kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

30/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 53.1% · shrunk toward 50%33
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No9,35191.8¢84.1¢$7,864−$721−$4,611
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?No8,94996.5¢85.5¢$7,652−$981−$24
Will Kentucky Wildcats Win the 2026 SEC Championship?No5,99099.8¢99.9¢$5,981+$0.81$0
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No12.3k44.8¢45.5¢$5,600+$85−$17
Will Oliver Marmol win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?No5,06099.7¢100¢$5,057+$10−$998
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes6,02777.3¢79.5¢$4,792+$130−$1,408
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes7,23443.1¢57.9¢$4,185+$1,064+$2,199
Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?No4,00078.7¢86¢$3,440+$290$0
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17?No3,06244.2¢98.5¢$3,014+$1,660+$489
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes5,70345.2¢45.5¢$2,595+$18−$13
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex MolcanAlex de Minaur3,66769.9¢70.5¢$2,585+$23$0
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?No2,68666.1¢79.5¢$2,136+$359$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No3,08041.8¢57.5¢$1,771+$484+$2,370
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No2,00073.1¢73.5¢$1,470+$7.58$0
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?No2,32065.8¢61.5¢$1,427−$101−$57
Will Bryce Underwood win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?No1,35599.8¢98.5¢$1,335−$17−$179
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes3,22239.9¢39.8¢$1,282−$1.85+$4,881
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes1,58175.2¢76.5¢$1,209+$21−$362
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Yes1,50033.6¢77¢$1,155+$651$0
Spread: Columbia (-1.5)Marist2,50047¢45.5¢$1,138−$37+$15
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes1,99751.5¢51.5¢$1,029+$0.59$0
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?No1,15469.6¢86.5¢$998+$195−$179
Will Inter Milan be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A?No1,00056¢98.9¢$989+$429$0
Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO?No1,20080.9¢77.5¢$930−$41$0
Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026?Yes2,46473.8¢37.5¢$924−$895−$572
Florida A&M vs. Alabama State: O/U 49.5Over2,00047.3¢44.5¢$890−$55$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No1,00087¢86.5¢$865−$5.00−$310
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?No1,60954.3¢53¢$853−$20−$14
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes88971.1¢95.7¢$850+$218−$30
Will the fight be won by submission?No1,20077.3¢69¢$828−$100$0
Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Yes1,07653.4¢76.5¢$823+$248−$43
Fight to Go the Distance?No1,20064.6¢67¢$804+$29−$29
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes3,02116¢25.5¢$770+$287+$400
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?No1,20950.3¢61.4¢$742+$134$0
Will Ilias Bulaid win by KO or TKO?No1,15960¢62.5¢$725+$29$0
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?No1,02653.9¢69.5¢$713+$160$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes8,53120¢8.2¢$695−$1,008$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?No4,89428¢14¢$685−$684+$27
Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)Ilias Bulaid1,19551.2¢57¢$681+$69+$0.08
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?No1,93429.5¢34.5¢$667+$96$0
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?Yes2,25327.8¢29.5¢$665+$38+$10
Thunder vs. HawksThunder1,77229.8¢37.3¢$661+$132+$294
Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes2,5677.3¢23.9¢$613+$427$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4,47211.7¢13.5¢$604+$81+$341
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs100 Thieves94663¢62.5¢$591−$4.73$0
Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-08-10?No64991¢91¢$591$0−$80
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?Yes59990¢98.2¢$588+$49$0
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?No2,02627¢29¢$587+$40+$117
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs⁠Movistar KOI Fénix1,27546.6¢46¢$586−$7.31$0
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?No1,50060¢38.5¢$578−$323−$54
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes5,13324¢10.5¢$539−$695$0
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes73575.8¢72.5¢$533−$24−$21
Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)Atlanta Dream1,00049¢53¢$530+$40$0
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?Yes1,21240¢43¢$521+$36$0
Will G2 Esports win VALORANT Champions 2026?No67789.2¢75.9¢$514−$90−$170
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?No56751.2¢87¢$493+$203−$43
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?Yes64772¢74.5¢$482+$16$0
Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17?Yes50089.3¢96.1¢$480+$34$0
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Yes2,00015.2¢23.5¢$471+$168$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?Yes1,13137¢41.5¢$469+$51+$138
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Yes2,05321¢22.5¢$462+$31$0
Spread: Washington (-3.5)Washington1,00047¢44.5¢$445−$25$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No2,67318.9¢15.5¢$414−$92+$1.21
Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?No53875¢76.5¢$411+$8.07$0
Will Utah have an undefeated CFB regular season?No52411.9¢78.5¢$411+$349$0
Drake vs. ValparaisoDrake51888.4¢73.5¢$381−$77$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No50071¢74.5¢$373+$18$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes50056¢71.3¢$357+$77$0
Will Josh Hokit be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes1,25821.3¢28.1¢$353+$86+$30
Will Noah Wyle be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Yes60350.3¢57.5¢$347+$44−$0.17
Will Konnor Griffin win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?No33898¢100¢$338+$6.59−$408
Will the Republican Party win the CO-05 House seat?Yes45271.3¢74¢$335+$12$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-22 House seat?Yes6,0007.4¢5.5¢$330−$117$0
Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?No32789.8¢96.9¢$317+$23−$922
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia TigersKia Tigers40082¢77¢$308−$20$0
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No1,45939.1¢20.5¢$299−$271+$4.43
Counter-Strike: Elite Klan vs Royal Foxes Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group CRoyal Foxes Esports50068¢59.5¢$298−$43$0
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes44072.7¢65.5¢$288−$32$0
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05?No56042.4¢50.5¢$283+$45$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?Yes5,06617¢5.5¢$279−$585$0
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)James Madison50059.9¢55.5¢$278−$22$0
Will CDPJuniorFC win on 2026-08-10?Yes40471.6¢67.5¢$273−$16$0
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?No28368.2¢96.1¢$272+$79−$18
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?Yes35951.4¢75.5¢$271+$87−$2.28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No1,10230¢24.5¢$270−$60+$39
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-10-10?No44660.4¢59.5¢$266−$3.81$0
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes1,73323.7¢15.3¢$265−$146+$26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?Yes50049.6¢52.5¢$263+$14$0
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Yes90140.8¢29¢$261−$107+$56
Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima CarpHiroshima Carp37233¢68¢$253+$130+$2.90
Will Michael Harris II win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?No26093.4¢95.8¢$249+$6.02−$65
Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?No33866.9¢73¢$247+$21−$6.50
Hanshin Tigers vs. Hiroshima CarpHanshin Tigers25060¢98¢$245+$95$0
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Single of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes30871¢78¢$240+$22$0
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung LionsSamsung Lions51648.5¢46¢$238−$13$0
Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat?No32661¢71.5¢$233+$34−$0.87
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No25093.7¢92.5¢$231−$3.12$0
Overwatch: Poker Face vs T1 (BO5) - OCS Korea Stage 3 Regular SeasonT123993¢95.5¢$228+$5.84$0
Counter-Strike: Glitchtech Esports vs QUAZAR (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular SeasonQUAZAR38571.2¢59¢$227−$47−$2.26
Will Tucker Wetmore win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes44940.7¢50.5¢$227+$44$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?12¢31$3.7253%30
BUY FlyQuestCounter-Strike: FlyQuest vs madlikewizards (BO1) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group B89¢100$8953%30
BUY FlyQuestCounter-Strike: FlyQuest vs madlikewizards (BO1) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group B89¢150$13453%30
BUY NoNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?5¢250$1353%30
BUY Jakub MensikShanghai Rolex Masters: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Jakub Mensik75¢2,000$1,50053%30
BUY NoWill "Below: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?12¢30$3.6053%30
BUY NoWill the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?54¢24$1353%30
BUY NoWill US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?30¢61$1853%30
BUY ThunderThunder vs. Hawks38¢12$4.6953%30
BUY Chiefs Esports ClubRainbow Six Siege: Chiefs Esports Club vs 7VEN (BO3) - Asia Pacific League Oceania - Stage 2 Playoffs87¢5$4.6953%30
BUY NoWill Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?86.6¢82$7153%30
BUY YesWill Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-10-09?95.1¢463$44053%30
BUY Yomiuri GiantsYomiuri Giants vs. Yokohama BayStars47¢18$8.4653%30
BUY mellrenCounter-Strike: mellren vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #11 Group C65¢366$23853%30
BUY Flavio CobolliShanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli33.1¢17$5.6753%30
BUY NoWill Jeremiyah Love have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?21¢15$3.1553%30
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat?2.5¢543$1453%30
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?87¢1,000$87053%30
BUY OverHawks vs. Spurs: O/U 224.590.5¢5$4.5353%30
BUY OverHawks vs. Spurs: O/U 224.590¢5$4.5053%30