PnL all-time+$297vol $49.0k
PnL 30d−$273gains $321 · losses $291
PnL 7d−$110win rate 7d 36.4%
Win rate52.1%adj 51.5% · 30d 52.2%
Open value$5,006cash n/a
Positions10 / 58open / all-time
Max drawdown−47.4%of equity peak
Account age31dlast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$270below peak −$474Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
41/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale35
Adjusted win rateraw 52.1% · shrunk toward 50%29
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable59
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity53
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen+$309Will the Labour Party candidate win 50% or more of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? · Noclosed+$67Will the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? · Noclosed+$43No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$33Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noclosed+$31
Worst markets
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Noopen−$607Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yesclosed−$150Israel military action against Lebanon on September 18? · Yesclosed−$46Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yesopen−$24Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yesopen−$17
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2,245 | 83.8¢ | 86.5¢ | $1,942 | +$60 | +$249 | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 4,681 | 48.4¢ | 35.4¢ | $1,657 | −$607 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 600 | 74.5¢ | 71.5¢ | $429 | −$18 | +$3.65 | |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in September? | No | 480 | 88.6¢ | 88.5¢ | $425 | −$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 616 | 65¢ | 62.5¢ | $385 | −$15 | +$2.76 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 322 | 35.7¢ | 28.2¢ | $91 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 15.0k | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | $38 | +$7.51 | $0 | |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 2,480 | 1.6¢ | 1¢ | $24 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 540 | 2.8¢ | 2.2¢ | $12 | −$3.24 | $0 | |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1,330 | 0.6¢ | 0.4¢ | $4.66 | −$3.32 | $0 |
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