sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #440

LulaVaiPerder

0x7f9…3a0e
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$461kvol $11.3M
PnL 30d+$74.1kgains $41.1k · losses $27.4k
PnL 7d+$47.3kwin rate 7d 70.0%
Win rate81.1%adj 79.6% · 30d 74.2%
Open value$732kcash n/a
Positions44 / 440open / all-time
Max drawdown−44.6%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$602kbelow peak −$6,931Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

79/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale81
Adjusted win rateraw 81.1% · shrunk toward 50%99
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable88
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity55

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 44

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No570k74.3¢84.5¢$481k+$58.0k+$59.1k
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes208k54.2¢84.7¢$176k+$63.3k$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No82.7k70¢86.5¢$71.5k+$13.6k$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No1,37283.4¢84.5¢$1,159+$14$0
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No74961.4¢84¢$629+$169+$181
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?No45593¢96¢$437+$14$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?No36683.7¢92.5¢$338+$32$0
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No26565.4¢71¢$188+$15$0
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes100k1¢0¢$0−$1,000−$30
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes100.0k5.3¢0¢$0−$5,300−$151
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes94.3k4.1¢0¢$0−$3,864−$111
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?No64.4k82.7¢0¢$0−$53.2k−$345
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No56.4k83.7¢0¢$0−$47.2k−$298
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No20.5k85.3¢0¢$0−$17.5k−$11.4k
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No16.7k53.5¢0¢$0−$8,966$0
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?No15.0k61.8¢0¢$0−$9,253−$142
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes12.8k57.6¢0¢$0−$7,363−$808
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No6,84664.3¢0¢$0−$4,404−$1,443
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes6,65915¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceCroatia6,10931¢0¢$0−$1,894−$39
Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs5,36379.8¢0¢$0−$4,279−$26
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No4,20875.1¢0¢$0−$3,161−$22
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?Yes4,19695¢0¢$0−$3,985−$953
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Yes4,04979.6¢0¢$0−$3,222$0
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?No4,01662¢0¢$0−$2,490$0
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?No3,89434.7¢0¢$0−$1,350−$395
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 2.5Under3,37189¢0¢$0−$3,000−$9.90
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No3,23732.7¢0¢$0−$1,059−$21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?No3,20588.2¢0¢$0−$2,827$0
Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No3,02881¢0¢$0−$2,453−$23
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?Yes2,28789.2¢0¢$0−$2,041$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?Yes1,63170.2¢0¢$0−$1,145$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?No1,17793.4¢0¢$0−$1,099−$2.90
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes7720.5¢0¢$0−$3.86$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Yes54382.9¢0¢$0−$450$0
Will JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?No43473.2¢0¢$0−$318−$3.41
Will Renan win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?Yes29323.9¢0¢$0−$70−$2.13
Will Renan win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?Yes28230.5¢0¢$0−$86−$2.39
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?No24368¢0¢$0−$165$0
Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?Yes17156.4¢0¢$0−$97−$1.68
Will Carlos Portinho win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?No10989.9¢0¢$0−$98−$0.40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No8010¢0¢$0−$8.00−$0.29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?No4989¢0¢$0−$44−$0.19
Will Renan Filho win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?Yes2051¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.20

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85¢2,837$2,41181%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?67.8¢122$8381%79Sharp
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢100$8481%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85¢271$23181%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?59.1¢10$6.0081%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?68¢19$1381%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?63¢51$3281%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?62.8¢62$3981%79Sharp
SELL NoGianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?88.4¢357$31581%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85¢1,423$1,20981%79Sharp
SELL NoGianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?90¢1,357$1,22181%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85¢14$1281%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85¢18.2k$15.5k81%79WhaleSharp
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85¢4,230$3,59681%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?0.1¢3,620$3.6281%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85¢5,841$4,96581%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?83.7¢19.9k$16.7k81%79WhaleSharp
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84¢609$51181%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84¢1,639$1,37781%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?83¢5,553$4,60981%79Sharp